MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 6, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Brandon Pfaadt
Walker Buehler
33.8%
66.2%
+113
-125
+112
-120
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.28
4.95
8.23
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-110
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kevin Gausman
Landen Roupp
46.4%
53.6%
-107
-103
-103
+100
-1½+155
+1½-171
-1½+155
+1½-170
4.35
4.73
9.08
o7½-110
u7½-105
o7½-110
u7½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Kyle Freeland
Eric Lauer
33.3%
66.7%
+206
-230
+210
-237
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-120
4.27
5.99
10.26
o10-110
u10-105
o10-110
u10+100
Games for Jul 5, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
New York Yankees (69-52)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
47.1%
52.9%
-121
+110
-120
+113
-1½+145
+1½-165

9.01
o7½+105
u7+100
o7-115
u7½-120
9th
TOP
5
1
Houston Astros (70-50)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
56.3%
43.7%
-102
-108
+104
-108
+1½-192
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+165
9.06
o10-110
u10-107
o10+100
u10-110
7th
BOT
7
12
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
40.0%
60.0%
+110
-121
+113
-117
+1½-185
-1½+163
+1½-180
-1½+165
9.41
o9-110
u9-105
o9-110
u9-105
5th
BOT
1
3
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
52.9%
47.1%
-120
+109
-114
+107
-1½+141
+1½-161
-1½+143
+1½-160
8.54
o8-110
u8-105
o8-110
u8+100
4th
BOT
0
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Yankees
San Francisco Giants
47.1%
52.9%
-129
+121
-130
+124
-1½+118
+1½-130
-1½+125
+1½-135
7
5
-0.58960-0.58212-0.75377
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
51.6%
48.4%
+112
-122
+114
-117
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
5
2
-0.77245-0.76725-0.66231
San Diego Padres
Kansas City Royals
54.3%
45.7%
+120
-130
+118
-121
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-178
-1½+160
3
4
-0.59012-0.60859-0.78301
Chicago White Sox
Milwaukee Brewers
51.2%
48.8%
+286
-310
+297
-330
+1½+138
-1½-145
+1½+145
-1½-160
3
6
-0.29464-0.28384-0.71773
Texas Rangers
Miami Marlins
50.6%
49.4%
-121
+111
-120
+112
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
6
0
-0.62358-0.62315-0.68031
Washington Nationals
Cleveland Indians
46.8%
53.2%
+127
-126
+120
-122
+1½-160
-1½+153
+1½-175
-1½+160
5
2
-0.81783-0.79255-0.75892
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets
37.9%
62.1%
-108
-102
-105
-103
-1½+152
+1½-172
-1½+155
+1½-170
5
4
-0.67930-0.68844-0.97125
Pittsburgh Pirates
Toronto Blue Jays
32.9%
67.1%
+156
-165
+159
-170
+1½-139
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+119
4
5
-0.48696-0.47823-0.39896
Oakland Athletics
Atlanta Braves
46.9%
53.1%
+223
-250
+213
-234
+1½+110
-1½-128
+1½+110
-1½-122
1
3
-0.36008-0.37571-0.63335
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
35.8%
64.2%
+140
-149
+140
-149
+1½-152
-1½+140
+1½-145
-1½+135
8
4
-0.89040-0.89040-1.02786
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
61.5%
38.5%
+127
-124
+117
-122
+1½-165
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
4
3
-0.81387-0.78504-0.48617
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
38.5%
61.5%
+138
-144
+139
-148
+1½-156
-1½+150
+1½-155
-1½+140
4
3
-0.87738-0.88637-0.95472
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
51.6%
48.4%
+127
-138
+127
-133
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-180
-1½+165
5
7
-0.56518-0.57197-0.72497
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.3%
66.7%
+254
-290
+270
-299
+1½+117
-1½-135
+1½+125
-1½-135
1
4
-0.32201-0.30797-0.40528
New York Yankees
San Francisco Giants
48.7%
51.3%
-104
-106
+100
-105
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+184
7
3
-0.69780-0.70528-0.71879
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
49.1%
50.9%
+148
-162
+145
-155
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
0
9
-0.50206-0.51371-0.67440
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.79712 
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.79474 
DRatings21-1 (0.500)0-0.71902
0.07810
0.07572

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.