MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 11, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kyle Freeland
Tyler Mahle
38.1%
61.9%
+128
-141
+130
-136
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
4.22
5.46
9.68
o8½-115
u8½+103
o8½-115
u8½+100
New York Yankees (69-52)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Cam Schlittler
PJ Poulin
55.1%
44.9%
-188
+169
-180
+170
-1½-120
+1½+101
-1½-115
+1½+102
5.20
4.66
9.86
o9-110
u9-104
o9-105
u9-105
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Logan Gilbert
Griffin Jax
39.2%
60.8%
-105
-105
+100
-110
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+185
3.93
5.06
8.99
o7-119
u7+100
o7-120
u7½-115
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Mets (60-60)
Eduardo Rivera
Freddy Peralta
54.0%
46.0%
+121
-133
+127
-137
+1½-170
-1½+151
+1½-165
-1½+150
5.45
5.03
10.48
o7½-115
u7½-103
o8+100
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Tanner Bibee
Eury Perez
47.9%
52.1%
+140
-155
+150
-155
+1½-156
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+143
4.28
4.49
8.77
o7½-115
u7½+100
o7½-120
u7½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Shane Drohan
Bubba Chandler
60.9%
39.1%
-141
+128
-125
+130
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+135
+1½-130
5.02
3.89
8.91
o9-115
u9-103
o9-115
u9-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Cristopher Sanchez
Casey Mize
55.8%
44.2%
-132
+120
-128
+122
-1½+128
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
4.79
4.18
8.97
o7½-110
u7½-105
o7½+100
u7½-105
Houston Astros (70-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Peter Lambert
Kumar Rocker
61.3%
38.7%
+103
-113
+105
-115
+1½-192
-1½+175
+1½-185
-1½+170
5.40
4.21
9.61
o9+100
u8½+103
o8½-110
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Noah Cameron
Kyle Bradish
51.2%
48.8%
+137
-151
+133
-143
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+137
5.04
4.91
9.95
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-110
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Javier Assad
Nick Lodolo
42.1%
57.9%
+103
-113
+100
+100
+1½-190
-1½+175

4.12
4.94
9.06
o10-110
u10-107
o10-110
u10-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Reynaldo Lopez
Matthew Liberatore
51.8%
48.2%
-102
-108
-103
+100
+1½-210
-1½+185
-1½+160
+1½-165
4.40
4.21
8.61
o8½+100
u8½-120
o8½+105
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Trey Yesavage
Walker Buehler
46.7%
53.3%
-104
-106
+100
-106
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-205
-1½+190
4.34
4.69
9.03
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-115
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Brandon Pfaadt
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
29.1%
70.9%
+236
-265
+240
-270
+1½+109
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-125
3.32
5.48
8.80
o9+100
u9-120
o9+100
u9-110
Games for Jul 10, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
45.7%
54.3%
+113
-125
+112
-105
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
9.66
o8½-110
u8½-105
o9+105
u8½+100
7th
BOT
0
1
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
48.4%
51.6%
+161
-179
+160
-174
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+110
10.48
o9-107
u9+100
o9-110
u9-110
6th
TOP
2
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
49.5%
50.5%
-222
+200
-220
+213
-1½-145
+1½+125
-1½-136
+1½+125
6
0
-0.39439-0.38166-0.70302
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
50.4%
49.6%
-137
+126
-135
+127
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+114
+1½-120
5
4
-0.56840-0.56920-0.68579
Oakland Athletics
Washington Nationals
53.0%
47.0%
+127
-138
+126
-131
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
2
3
-0.56518-0.57675-0.75583
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
43.9%
56.1%
-120
+110
-119
+110
-1½+135
+1½-150

8
1
-0.62755-0.62933-0.82237
New York Yankees
Miami Marlins
50.8%
49.2%
+131
-143
+140
-140
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+156
1
3
-0.55137-0.53900-0.70940
Cleveland Indians
Tampa Bay Rays
39.0%
61.0%
+140
-153
+145
-150
+1½-157
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+149
5
6
-0.52415-0.51896-0.49377
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
37.2%
62.8%
+174
-190
+175
-190
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½-105
6
2
-1.02789-1.03022-0.98862
Chicago Cubs
Toronto Blue Jays
38.4%
61.6%
-101
-109
+100
-105
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+176
5
4
-0.71192-0.70528-0.95589
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
49.5%
50.5%
-215
+194
-204
+201
-1½-159
+1½+139
-1½-148
+1½+140
21
3
-0.40437-0.40218-0.70302
Texas Rangers
San Francisco Giants
34.1%
65.9%
-104
-106
-102
-105

-1½+150
+1½-170
2
1
-0.69780-0.70029-1.07444
Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners
35.2%
64.8%
+132
-144
+136
-142
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+141
2
9
-0.54834-0.54356-0.43424
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.3%
66.7%
+250
-285
+255
-285
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-130
1
6
-0.32640-0.32247-0.40528
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
60.3%
39.7%
-157
+144
-155
+147
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-100
+1½-115
10
5
-0.51336-0.51046-0.50609
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
51.7%
48.3%
-128
+118
-118
+115
-1½+126
+1½-140
-1½+140
+1½-140
8
12
-0.79924-0.77184-0.72703
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago White Sox
50.4%
49.6%
-172
+157
-173
+162
-1½-108
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-105
7
6
-0.47955-0.47144-0.68607
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
32.3%
67.7%
+150
-164
+158
-168
+1½-130
-1½+116
+1½-140
-1½+123
3
11
-0.49707-0.48138-0.39068
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks156-9 (0.400)0-0.73909 
Sportsbooks156-9 (0.400)0-0.73783 
DRatings155-10 (0.333)0-0.76199
-0.02290
-0.02416

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.