MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 11, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Houston Astros (70-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Peter Lambert
Kumar Rocker
61.3%
38.7%
+106
-117
+105
-115
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
5.41
4.22
9.63
o9-105
u8½+100
o8½-110
u8½+105
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Noah Cameron
Kyle Bradish
51.2%
48.8%
+143
-158
+145
-152
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
4.79
4.67
9.46
o9+100
u9-115
o9-105
u9-110
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Javier Assad
Nick Lodolo
42.1%
57.9%
+104
-115
+100
+100
+1½-195
-1½+170

4.09
4.91
9.00
o9½-114
u9½-105
o9½-107
u10-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Reynaldo Lopez
Matthew Liberatore
51.8%
48.2%
-101
-109
-103
+100
+1½-210
-1½+185
-1½+160
+1½-165
4.35
4.16
8.51
o8½-104
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Trey Yesavage
Walker Buehler
46.7%
53.3%
-105
-105
+100
-105
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-205
-1½+190
4.36
4.71
9.07
o8+100
u8-115
o8+100
u8-115
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Brandon Pfaadt
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
29.1%
70.9%
+237
-267
+240
-270
+1½+111
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-125
3.32
5.48
8.80
o9+100
u9-120
o9+100
u9-110
Games for Jul 10, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
New York Yankees (69-52)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
55.1%
44.9%
-188
+169
-180
+170
-1½-120
+1½+101
-1½-115
+1½+102
9.86
o9-110
u9-104
o9-105
u9-105
8th
TOP
4
2
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Mets (60-60)
54.0%
46.0%
+121
-133
+127
-137
+1½-170
-1½+151
+1½-165
-1½+150
10.48
o7½-115
u7½-103
o8+100
u8½-110
8th
TOP
4
0
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
47.9%
52.1%
+140
-155
+150
-155
+1½-156
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+143
8.77
o7½-115
u7½+100
o7½-120
u7½+100
8th
BOT
4
1
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
60.9%
39.1%
-141
+128
-125
+130
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+135
+1½-130
8.91
o9-117
u9+105
o9-115
u9-105
8th
BOT
2
3
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
39.2%
60.8%
-104
-106
+100
-110
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+185
8.99
o7-119
u7+100
o7-120
u7½-115
8th
TOP
1
5
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
55.8%
44.2%
-137
+124
-134
+128
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-145
8.97
o8-105
u8-112
o7½+100
u8-110
3rd
TOP
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
40.3%
59.7%
+195
-217
+201
-213
+1½+103
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-110
6
7
-0.40226-0.39757-0.51621
Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds
42.0%
58.0%
+109
-119
+110
-116
+1½-179
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
5
4
-0.75877-0.75509-0.86838
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
54.4%
45.6%
+103
-113
+108
+100
+1½-192
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+173
0
2
-0.65676-0.67374-0.78507
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
39.5%
60.5%
-240
+214
-245
+224
-1½-140
+1½+128
-1½-140
+1½+127
6
1
-0.37237-0.36090-0.92900
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
65.1%
34.9%
-144
+132
-144
+141
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-110
5
4
-0.54834-0.53244-0.42877
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Angels
49.0%
51.0%
-102
-108
+106
-110
+1½-195
-1½+180
-1½+163
+1½-178
5
7
-0.67930-0.65583-0.67415
New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox
46.9%
53.1%
-159
+146
-155
+146
-1½-103
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
7
1
-0.50811-0.51208-0.75692
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
38.4%
61.6%
+178
-195
+185
-195
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+102
7
3
-1.04299-1.05915-0.95664
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
43.0%
57.0%
+235
-181
+170
-180
+1½+120
-1½+103
+1½-115
-1½+105
5
4
-1.14990-1.00641-0.84364
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
40.6%
59.4%
+163
-178
+164
-174
+1½-121
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
9
3
-0.98730-0.98452-0.90049
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
53.1%
46.9%
-121
+111
-122
+115
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
0
1
-0.76791-0.78001-0.75739
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
42.6%
57.4%
-133
+122
-130
+120
-1½+116
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
3
2
-0.58173-0.59012-0.85449
Houston Astros
Baltimore Orioles
62.7%
37.3%
-120
+110
-116
+115
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-155
7
6
-0.62755-0.62385-0.46711
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
60.7%
39.3%
-164
+150
-160
+151
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
8
6
-0.49707-0.49921-0.49863
St. Louis Cardinals
Tampa Bay Rays
40.0%
60.0%
+153
-167
+160
-167
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+125
2
4
-0.48977-0.47929-0.51146
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
51.3%
48.7%
-106
-104
-111
+105
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
0
6
-0.69780-0.73162-0.72046
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks178-9 (0.471)0-0.71170 
Sportsbooks178-9 (0.471)0-0.71187 
DRatings178-9 (0.471)0-0.73332
-0.02161
-0.02144

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.