MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 11, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Trey Yesavage
Walker Buehler
46.7%
53.3%
-105
-105
-102
-105
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+190
4.36
4.71
9.07
o8+100
u8-115
o8+100
u8-115
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Brandon Pfaadt
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
29.1%
70.9%
+240
-270
+243
-270
+1½+115
-1½-132
+1½+115
-1½-125
3.32
5.48
8.80
o8½-115
u8½-105
o9+105
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 10, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
55.8%
44.2%
-137
+124
-134
+128
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-145
8.97
o8-105
u8-112
o7½+100
u8-110
6th
TOP
4
1
Houston Astros (70-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
61.3%
38.7%
+102
-111
+105
-115
+1½-195
-1½+183
+1½-185
-1½+190
9.63
o9-105
u8½-104
o8½-110
u8½+105
2nd
BOT
2
0
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
51.2%
48.8%
+143
-158
+145
-152
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
9.46
o9+100
u9-115
o9-105
u9-110
2nd
BOT
0
1
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
42.1%
57.9%
+104
-115
+108
+100
+1½-195
-1½+175

9.00
o9½-114
u9½-105
o9½-110
u10-110
2nd
BOT
0
0
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
51.8%
48.2%
-103
-107
-103
-105
+1½-210
-1½+180
-1½+160
+1½-180
8.51
o8½-105
u8½-114
o8½-105
u8½-115
1st
BOT
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
42.6%
57.4%
-133
+122
-130
+120
-1½+116
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
3
2
-0.58173-0.59012-0.85449
Houston Astros
Baltimore Orioles
62.7%
37.3%
-120
+110
-116
+115
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-155
7
6
-0.62755-0.62385-0.46711
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
60.7%
39.3%
-164
+150
-160
+151
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
8
6
-0.49707-0.49921-0.49863
St. Louis Cardinals
Tampa Bay Rays
40.0%
60.0%
+153
-167
+160
-167
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+125
2
4
-0.48977-0.47929-0.51146
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
51.3%
48.7%
-106
-104
-111
+105
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
0
6
-0.69780-0.73162-0.72046
Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds
42.0%
58.0%
-142
+130
-138
+135
-1½+110
+1½-127
-1½+110
+1½-123
3
2
-0.55443-0.55036-0.86838
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
43.0%
57.0%
+246
-280
+235
-263
+1½+120
-1½-140
+1½+115
-1½-133
4
8
-0.33091-0.34501-0.56236
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
35.8%
64.2%
-215
+194
-216
+213
-1½-140
+1½+122
-1½-140
+1½+140
5
3
-0.40437-0.38349-1.02678
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Angels
53.9%
46.1%
-117
+107
-115
+106
-1½+137
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-159
8
3
-0.63974-0.64582-0.61854
New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox
55.5%
44.5%
-162
+148
-155
+150
-1½-105
+1½-114
-1½+100
+1½-115
1
5
-0.92958-0.92410-0.81006
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
42.9%
57.1%
+212
-238
+213
-235
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
1
12
-0.37513-0.37530-0.56070
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
38.3%
61.7%
+172
-188
+181
-186
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+100
2
6
-0.44674-0.43645-0.48279
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
59.7%
40.3%
-119
+109
-120
+115
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-145
3
1
-0.63156-0.61667-0.51631
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
42.6%
57.4%
+103
-111
+100
-105
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-196
-1½+175
2
11
-0.66083-0.68116-0.55426
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
59.8%
40.2%
-305
+266
-278
+255
-1½-180
+1½+165
-1½-170
+1½+165
6
7
-1.32343-1.28395-0.91016
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
51.3%
48.7%
-168
+154
-165
+153
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-115
9
3
-0.48737-0.49153-0.66656
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks188-10 (0.444)0-0.73087 
Sportsbooks188-10 (0.444)0-0.73241 
DRatings189-9 (0.500)0-0.73738
-0.00651
-0.00497

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.