MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 16, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Mets (60-60)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Unknown
Unknown
46.4%
53.6%




4.32
4.70
9.02


Games for Jul 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks
44.3%
55.7%
+119
-129
+125
-130
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+160
2
3
-0.59365-0.58016-0.58542
Texas Rangers
Washington Nationals
43.5%
56.5%
-212
+193
-200
+190
-1½-135
+1½+125
-1½-135
+1½+125
3
8
-1.09557-1.07614-0.57132
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
38.1%
61.9%
+195
-210
+210
-224
+1½-102
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-115
3
5
-0.40573-0.38295-0.47931
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
60.8%
39.2%
-212
+193
-210
+205
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-135
+1½+126
0
2
-1.09557-1.12043-0.93746
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago White Sox
42.1%
57.9%
-139
+129
-130
+128
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-128
3
0
-0.56010-0.57435-0.86510
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
39.2%
60.8%
+109
-119
+112
-118
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
6
2
-0.75877-0.76430-0.93705
Chicago Cubs
New York Yankees
33.0%
67.0%
+182
-198
+179
-190
+1½-112
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
3
6
-0.42768-0.43635-0.40106
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
42.0%
58.0%
+184
-201
+180
-178
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-115
-1½+118
5
2
-1.06349-1.02705-0.86641
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.4%
66.6%
+160
-174
+162
-167
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+118
4
11
-0.47353-0.47638-0.40684
New York Mets
San Diego Padres
46.8%
53.2%
+112
-122
+107
-111
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+176
7
5
-0.77245-0.73666-0.75888
Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks
40.7%
59.3%
+193
-212
+195
-205
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½+105
3
7
-0.40699-0.40836-0.52209
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago White Sox
41.4%
58.6%
-102
-108
+102
-107
+1½-205
-1½+185
-1½+155
+1½-175
7
8
-0.67930-0.67178-0.53515
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
39.2%
60.8%
+146
-158
+151
-157
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+135
3
1
-0.91889-0.92953-0.93705
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
39.6%
60.4%
-104
-106
-103
-103
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+192
10
1
-0.69780-0.69315-0.92629
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
39.8%
60.2%
+112
-122
+113
-115
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+180
3
7
-0.61967-0.63006-0.50816
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
42.5%
57.5%
+166
-181
+170
-180
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
0
3
-0.45972-0.45497-0.55352
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.69879 
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.69934 
DRatings157-8 (0.467)0-0.74585
-0.04706
-0.04651

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.