MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 16, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Mets (60-60)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Unknown
Unknown
46.4%
53.6%




4.32
4.70
9.02


Games for Jul 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox
46.7%
53.3%
+197
-217
+201
-215
+1½+105
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-118
3
7
-0.40003-0.39659-0.63010
Texas Rangers
Washington Nationals
41.7%
58.3%
-175
+161
-170
+161
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+105
7
2
-0.47130-0.47531-0.87414
Chicago Cubs
New York Yankees
37.9%
62.1%
+145
-157
+147
-157
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
3
0
-0.91497-0.91985-0.97112
Atlanta Braves
Tampa Bay Rays
44.2%
55.8%
-105
-105
-102
+104
+1½-211
-1½+190
+1½-200
-1½+180
2
1
-0.69315-0.67844-0.81579
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
58.0%
42.0%
-129
+119
-125
+117
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-140
12
2
-0.59365-0.60404-0.54430
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
49.1%
50.9%
-139
+129
-131
+125
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-153
4
3
-0.56010-0.57869-0.71044
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers
26.4%
73.6%
+181
-197
+185
-195
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½+105
2
5
-0.42952-0.42580-0.30714
New York Mets
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.0%
44.0%
+123
-133
+132
-134
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+145
9
0
-0.82107-0.84525-0.58014
Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox
45.7%
54.3%
-125
+115
-127
+122
-1½+130
+1½-139
-1½+120
+1½-130
5
4
-0.60825-0.59064-0.78336
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
44.4%
55.6%
+201
-222
+215
-230
+1½-105
-1½-112
+1½+105
-1½-110
1
6
-0.39331-0.37533-0.58695
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
38.3%
61.7%
-140
+130
-135
+130
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+130
+1½-130
5
1
-0.55696-0.56352-0.96079
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
35.8%
64.2%
-130
+120
-136
+131
-1½+114
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-125
6
10
-0.80802-0.84637-0.44239
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
32.4%
67.6%
-120
+110
-120
+115
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+138
+1½-145
14
1
-0.62755-0.61667-1.12630
Philadelphia Phillies
Tampa Bay Rays
42.7%
57.3%
+118
-127
+127
-130
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+152
3
1
-0.79735-0.82551-0.85139
St. Louis Cardinals
Miami Marlins
52.2%
47.8%
+112
-119
+120
-123
+1½-180
-1½+164
+1½-170
-1½+166
3
0
-0.76638-0.79454-0.65101
Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox
46.7%
53.3%
-123
+113
-120
+120
-1½+128
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-148
6
2
-0.61582-0.60614-0.76179
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.69879 
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.69934 
DRatings157-8 (0.467)0-0.74585
-0.04706
-0.04651

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.