MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 16, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Mets (60-60)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Christian Scott
Aaron Nola
46.4%
53.6%
+107
-117
+112
-118
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+160
4.32
4.70
9.02
o9½-105
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
Games for Jul 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Rays
Atlanta Braves
48.7%
51.3%
+125
-140
+120
-138
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-160
-1½+140
5
6
-0.56639-0.57882-0.66775
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
41.5%
58.5%
+138
-143
+142
-142
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+162
1
4
-0.53883-0.53311-0.53543
Houston Astros
Philadelphia Phillies
60.6%
39.4%
-148
+139
-143
+140
-1½+117
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-125
3
2
-0.53128-0.53536-0.50125
Houston Astros
Philadelphia Phillies
48.3%
51.7%
+102
-110
+100
-106
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+168
+1½-180
5
0
-0.72177-0.70761-0.72675
Houston Astros
Philadelphia Phillies
51.3%
48.7%
-120
+110
-120
+114
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
0
7
-0.76336-0.77347-0.71978
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
46.9%
53.1%
+109
-119
+110
-114
+1½-210
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+190
6
5
-0.75877-0.75080-0.75805
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
54.7%
45.3%
+125
-132
+125
-127
+1½-185
-1½+171
+1½-185
-1½+176
3
4
-0.57725-0.58467-0.79147
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
51.1%
48.9%
+102
-105
+105
-107
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+180
6
10
-0.67627-0.66458-0.71562
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
44.1%
55.9%
+133
-141
+136
-142
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+158
5
0
-0.86003-0.86912-0.81812
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
50.8%
49.2%
-120
+111
-120
+114
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
2
4
-0.76589-0.77347-0.70970
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
45.8%
54.2%
+126
-135
+130
-133
+1½-175
-1½+159
+1½-170
-1½+160
2
3
-0.57111-0.56627-0.61330
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
37.6%
62.4%
+166
-176
+167
-178
+1½-136
-1½+125
+1½-130
-1½+125
2
4
-0.46345-0.46054-0.47177
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
48.3%
51.7%
+103
-113
+106
-112
+1½-210
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+190
5
8
-0.65676-0.65174-0.65965
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
39.1%
60.9%
+105
-115
+107
-116
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-200
-1½+191
2
0
-0.74028-0.74748-0.93889
Cleveland Indians
New York Yankees
40.5%
59.5%
+156
-163
+158
-160
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
1
5
-0.48875-0.48849-0.51993
New York Yankees
Cleveland Indians
62.0%
38.0%
-154
+145
-150
+149
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-120
4
2
-0.51473-0.51243-0.47857
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.