MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 17, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Griffin Jax
Jake Bennett
48.5%
51.5%
+110
-121
+111
-125

+1½-190
-1½+165
4.65
4.81
9.46
o9+110
u9-130
o8½-110
u8½-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Roki Sasaki
Gerrit Cole
46.5%
53.5%
-110
+100
-112
+102
-1½+140
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
4.11
4.48
8.59
o9-120
u9+100
o9-120
u9+100
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
48.5%
51.5%
-103
-117

-1½+160
+1½-185

4.65
4.81
9.46
o8½-110
u8½-110

Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Jared Jones
Gavin Williams
40.0%
60.0%
+113
-125
+116
-130
+1½-200
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+170
3.93
4.98
8.91
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-105
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Anthony Kay
Spencer Miles
46.6%
53.4%
+118
-130
+118
-132
+1½-185
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+158
4.69
5.05
9.74
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cal Quantrill
Chris Sale
35.9%
64.1%
+180
-200
+182
-205
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+105
4.35
5.82
10.17
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Sandy Alcantara
Logan Henderson
41.1%
58.9%
+131
-145
+130
-145
+1½-170
-1½+145
+1½-170
-1½+150
3.70
4.64
8.34
o8-115
u8+100
o8-115
u8-105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Bailey Ober
Colin Rea
49.9%
50.1%
+121
-133
+120
-135
+1½-180
-1½+155

5.36
5.36
10.72
o10½-110
u10+100

Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Peter Lambert
31.4%
68.6%




3.72
5.63
9.35


San Diego Padres (67-56)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Mike King
Seth Lugo
54.3%
45.7%
-110
+100
-110
+100
-1½+140
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
4.97
4.51
9.48
o10½-105
u10-107
o10-115
u10-105
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Brady Singer
Gabriel Hughes
51.6%
48.4%
-102
-108
+105
-115
+1½-200
-1½+170
-1½+150
+1½-175
5.10
4.93
10.03
o12-110
u12-105
o12-115
u12-105
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Troy Melton
Reid Detmers
40.8%
59.2%
-106
-114

-1½+160
+1½-185

4.23
5.19
9.42
o8½-110
u8½-110

St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
53.7%
46.3%




4.43
4.05
8.48


Washington Nationals (52-68)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cade Cavalli
Gage Jump
40.7%
59.3%
-103
-105
+100
-110
-1½+155
+1½-180

4.44
5.42
9.86
o9½-120
u10-110
o10-105
u10-110
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Landen Roupp
Bryce Miller
54.6%
45.4%
+136
-147
+137
-155
+1½-180
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+145
4.67
4.19
8.86
o7-120
u7+105
o7-120
u7+100
Games for Jul 16, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
New York Mets (60-60)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
46.4%
53.6%
+106
-117
+112
-118
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+160
9.02
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
4th
TOP
1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
52.2%
47.8%
-115
+106
-116
+112
-1½+153
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
3
5
-0.74282-0.76012-0.73831
New York Yankees
Cleveland Indians
58.3%
41.7%
-113
+105
-112
+105
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+158
+1½-170
5
6
-0.73601-0.73382-0.87500
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
54.9%
45.1%
-112
+105
-110
+103
-1½+160
+1½-180

1
0
-0.65406-0.66291-0.60002
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
43.5%
56.5%
-128
+120
-125
+121
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-138
3
8
-0.80428-0.80100-0.57104
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
56.1%
43.9%
-120
+113
-120
+116
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
1
2
-0.77096-0.77849-0.82351
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
38.2%
61.8%
-117
+110
-115
+110

+1½-240
-1½+220
1
9
-0.75717-0.75294-0.48132
Cleveland Indians
New York Yankees
44.0%
56.0%
+142
-152
+146
-147
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+156
4
2
-0.90002-0.90182-0.82098
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
39.5%
60.5%
+133
-141
+136
-142
+1½-172
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
2
4
-0.55017-0.54356-0.50332
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.3%
58.7%
+168
-178
+170
-179
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-120
-1½+115
5
3
-0.99916-1.00512-0.88348
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
51.1%
48.9%
+123
-132
+130
-136
+1½-175
-1½+163
+1½-175
-1½+161
0
3
-0.58118-0.56217-0.71453
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
42.0%
58.0%
+214
-230
+215
-239
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+110
-1½-118
3
5
-0.37634-0.37176-0.54449
Cleveland Indians
New York Yankees
32.2%
67.8%
+178
-188
+181
-190
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+112
1
4
-0.43892-0.43383-0.38907
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
30.4%
69.6%
+204
-220
+205
-220
+1½-105
-1½-107
+1½-110
-1½-105
7
8
-0.39102-0.38995-0.36255
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
42.1%
57.9%
+180
-190
+185
-195
+1½-127
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+120
7
6
-1.04185-1.05915-0.86472
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
51.2%
48.8%
+125
-135
+129
-133
+1½-185
-1½+168
+1½-185
-1½+170
6
0
-0.82968-0.83602-0.66875
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
55.0%
45.0%
-118
+113
-116
+111
-1½+150
+1½-166
-1½+150
+1½-163
2
0
-0.62452-0.63260-0.59756
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.