MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 17, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Griffin Jax
Jake Bennett
48.5%
51.5%
+116
-128
+114
-122
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+165
4.65
4.81
9.46
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Roki Sasaki
Gerrit Cole
46.5%
53.5%
-115
+104
-110
+104
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-159
4.11
4.48
8.59
o9-120
u9+100
o9-115
u9+100
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
48.5%
51.5%
-103
-117

-1½+160
+1½-185

4.65
4.81
9.46
o8½-110
u8½-110

Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Jared Jones
Gavin Williams
40.0%
60.0%
+113
-125
+116
-120
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.93
4.98
8.91
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-105
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Anthony Kay
Spencer Miles
46.6%
53.4%
+118
-130
+120
-128
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+158
4.69
5.05
9.74
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cal Quantrill
Chris Sale
35.9%
64.1%
+180
-200
+185
-200
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-123
-1½+105
4.35
5.82
10.17
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Sandy Alcantara
Logan Henderson
41.1%
58.9%
+126
-139
+130
-140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
3.70
4.64
8.34
o8-115
u8+100
o8-115
u8-105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Bailey Ober
Colin Rea
49.9%
50.1%
+121
-133
+120
-130
+1½-155
-1½+155
+1½-155
-1½+137
5.36
5.36
10.72
o10½-110
u10+100
o10½+100
u10½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Dean Kremer
Peter Lambert
31.0%
69.0%
-107
-103
+100
-110
-1½+150
+1½-175
+1½-200
-1½+175
3.73
5.68
9.41
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Mike King
Seth Lugo
54.3%
45.7%
-110
+100
-110
+100
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
4.97
4.51
9.48
o10½-105
u10-107
o10-115
u10-105
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Brady Singer
Gabriel Hughes
51.6%
48.4%
-105
-105
+105
-107


5.10
4.93
10.03
o12+100
u12-110
o12-105
u12-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Troy Melton
Reid Detmers
40.8%
59.2%
-105
-105
+100
-108
-1½+160
+1½-175
+1½-205
-1½+180
4.23
5.19
9.42
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-115
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
53.7%
46.3%
-114
-106

-1½+140
+1½-165

4.43
4.05
8.48
o9-120
u9+100

Washington Nationals (52-68)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cade Cavalli
Gage Jump
40.7%
59.3%
-103
-105
+100
-105

+1½-185
-1½+170
4.44
5.42
9.86
o9½-120
u10-110
o10-110
u10-110
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Landen Roupp
Bryce Miller
54.6%
45.4%
+136
-147
+137
-145
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-162
-1½+145
4.67
4.19
8.86
o7-120
u7+105
o7-120
u7+100
Games for Jul 16, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
New York Mets (60-60)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
46.4%
53.6%
+106
-117
+112
-118
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+160
9.02
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
7th
BOT
3
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
42.7%
57.3%
+162
-172
+162
-170
+1½-160
-1½+141
+1½-160
-1½+150
3
7
-0.47225-0.47387-0.55769
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
35.5%
64.5%
+161
-171
+159
-165
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
10
9
-0.97339-0.96037-1.03682
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Indians
58.7%
41.3%
-107
-101
-108
+106
+1½-250
-1½+210

0
1
-0.70739-0.72737-0.88506
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
55.1%
44.9%
+148
-142
+150
-155
+1½-162
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+155
7
1
-0.89821-0.92410-0.59615
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
41.1%
58.9%
+120
-120
+119
-123
+1½-185
-1½+176
+1½-190
-1½+182
4
0
-0.78845-0.79206-0.88960
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
49.5%
50.5%
-103
-103
-103
+100
+1½-235
-1½+200
+1½-220
-1½+200
6
3
-0.69315-0.68583-0.70239
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Indians
49.4%
50.6%
+116
-120
+115
-120
+1½-210
-1½+195
+1½-210
-1½+195
1
2
-0.61452-0.61667-0.68074
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
43.3%
56.7%
+137
-145
+138
-146
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-159
-1½+145
2
9
-0.53820-0.53529-0.56761
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
29.8%
70.2%
+280
-305
+270
-290
+1½+133
-1½-145
+1½+130
-1½-140
1
6
-0.29969-0.31004-0.35422
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
41.5%
58.5%
+181
-187
+181
-190
+1½-128
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
2
3
-0.43578-0.43383-0.53543
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
39.4%
60.6%
+131
-141
+133
-136
+1½-158
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
5
-0.55384-0.55661-0.50145
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
40.4%
59.6%
+109
-117
+113
-115
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
10
1
-0.75464-0.76048-0.90547
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
52.0%
48.0%
+128
-137
+130
-138
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-164
-1½+150
3
6
-0.56460-0.55953-0.73301
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
42.5%
57.5%
+165
-175
+160
-170
+1½-131
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
2
9
-0.46561-0.47678-0.55352
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
46.7%
53.3%
+125
-128
+129
-132
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+160
8
1
-0.81676-0.83418-0.76066
Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
32.3%
67.7%
+150
-159
+155
-158
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+137
4
2
-0.93009-0.94063-1.12880
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.