MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 21, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedPittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Bubba Chandler
Will Warren
32.4%
67.6%
+110
-132
+122
-125
+1½-170
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+160
3.85
5.66
9.51
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9-115
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
PostponedBaltimore Orioles (38-81)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Kyle Bradish
Eduardo Rivera
34.2%
65.8%
-105
-115
+118
-105
+1½-210
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+185
4.54
6.18
10.72
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8-110
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 20, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
47.7%
52.3%
-111
+101
-108
+105
-1½+130
+1½-148

12.20
o13-118
u13+105
o13-110
u13+100
8th
BOT
7
7
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
45.4%
54.6%
+109
-120
+110
-105
+1½-185
-1½+170

9.47
o9-120
u9+100
o9-105
u9+105
6th
BOT
1
5
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
58.7%
41.3%
+119
-131
+122
-126
+1½-171
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
8.99
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½+100
u9½-105
6th
TOP
1
3
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
48.8%
51.2%
+104
-115
+100
-105
+1½-210
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+190
9.23
o7½-105
u7½-108
o7½-105
u7½-110
6th
BOT
3
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Yankees
St. Louis Cardinals
53.4%
46.6%
-127
+126
-126
+122
-1½+125
+1½-137
-1½+130
+1½-145
9
12
-0.81731-0.80544-0.76299
Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins
56.4%
43.6%
-168
+160
-168
+162
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-108
+1½-105
3
2
-0.47844-0.47552-0.57196
Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals
51.9%
48.1%
-150
+143
-146
+145
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-118
5
13
-0.89936-0.89776-0.73266
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
39.8%
60.2%
+256
-270
+250
-275
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-133
4
2
-1.28031-1.27165-0.92030
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
58.4%
41.6%
-174
+164
-172
+168
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
7
0
-0.46780-0.46378-0.53864
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles
46.7%
53.3%
+168
-175
+166
-175
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-118
-1½+110
8
1
-0.99528-0.99056-0.76053
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
37.7%
62.3%
+270
-300
+268
-300
+1½+135
-1½-150
+1½+135
-1½-150
1
13
-0.30775-0.30919-0.47371
Houston Astros
Cleveland Indians
60.8%
39.2%
-124
+117
-116
+115
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+140
+1½-150
0
1
-0.78902-0.76761-0.93611
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
49.1%
50.9%
+128
-133
+127
-136
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
7
1
-0.83354-0.83644-0.71225
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.0%
60.0%
+139
-147
+141
-148
+1½-145
-1½+131
+1½-145
-1½+135
3
8
-0.53242-0.52787-0.51088
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
51.4%
48.6%
+161
-165
+170
-177
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+118
3
2
-0.96511-1.00256-0.66639
New York Yankees
St. Louis Cardinals
55.7%
44.3%
+107
-101
+109
-113
-1½+160
+1½-165

0
1
-0.67366-0.64285-0.81398
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
43.4%
56.6%
+158
-167
+155
-165
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
7
5
-0.96077-0.95078-0.83526
Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins
53.6%
46.4%
-105
+117
-107
+102
-1½+140
+1½-135
-1½+145
+1½-160
3
7
-0.74739-0.71498-0.76688
Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals
59.9%
40.1%
-135
+135
-142
+135
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-126
4
5
-0.85442-0.86664-0.91392
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
57.6%
42.4%
+120
-123
+118
-127
+1½-195
-1½+172
+1½-195
-1½+175
2
6
-0.60110-0.59878-0.85696
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks94-5 (0.444)0-0.69536 
Sportsbooks95-4 (0.556)0-0.69594 
DRatings94-5 (0.444)0-0.70334
-0.00798
-0.00740

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.