MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 22, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Eric Lauer
Aaron Nola
56.2%
43.8%
-120
+109
-120
+111
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
4.83
4.19
9.02
o9½-120
u9½+100
o9½-105
u9½+100
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Bailey Ober
Slade Cecconi
47.8%
52.2%
+126
-139
+130
-125
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+162
4.47
4.70
9.17
o8-113
u8-105
o8-105
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Bubba Chandler
Max Fried
32.4%
67.6%
+160
-177
+165
-170
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+118
3.94
5.76
9.70
o9-115
u9-105
o8½-115
u9+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Griffin Jax
Braydon Fisher
47.2%
52.8%
-104
-106
-103
+100
+1½-215
-1½+190

4.33
4.62
8.95
o8+105
u7½-105
o7½-110
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Kyle Bradish
Eduardo Rivera
33.8%
66.2%
+139
-123
+122
-124
+1½-145
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+165
4.57
6.24
10.81
o9-110
u9½-110
o9-110
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Mike King
Martin Perez
45.8%
54.2%
-102
-108
+103
-110
+1½-210
-1½+186

4.11
4.56
8.67
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Anthony Kay
Tyler Alexander
59.3%
40.7%
-119
+108
-110
+110
-1½+140
+1½-160

5.78
4.81
10.59
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Keider Montero
Colin Rea
45.4%
54.6%
+105
-116
+110
-115
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-200
-1½+175
3.97
4.46
8.43
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-105
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Sandy Alcantara
Peter Lambert
39.0%
61.0%
+100
-110
+105
-110
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+180
3.53
4.68
8.21
o8-115
u8-102
o8-115
u8+100
Games for Jul 21, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
47.7%
52.3%
-139
+126
-135
+132
-1½+105
+1½-118
-1½+110
+1½-120
10.57
o11½+100
u11½-115
o11½-105
u11½-115
9th
BOT
8
0
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
57.3%
42.7%
+127
-140
+126
-120
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+162
8.78
o9+100
u8½+101
o8½-120
u8½+100
7th
TOP
2
14
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
50.4%
49.6%
+149
-165
+150
-155
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+140
9.46
o8½+100
u8+103
o8-110
u8½-110
9th
BOT
5
3
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
45.4%
54.6%
+126
-139
+130
-120
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+162
9.44
o8½-115
u8½-104
o9-115
u8½+100
8th
TOP
1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
55.8%
44.2%
-143
+135
-140
+133
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
3
5
-0.86833-0.85830-0.81721
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
45.7%
54.3%
+105
-114
+108
-115
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+175
7
5
-0.73814-0.74790-0.78375
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago Cubs
37.9%
62.1%
+111
-121
+112
-117
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
4
2
-0.76791-0.76222-0.97093
Cincinnati Reds
New York Yankees
37.4%
62.6%
+262
-290
+260
-278
+1½+135
-1½-145
+1½+135
-1½-138
4
3
-1.30612-1.29408-0.98425
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
58.1%
41.9%
+146
-155
+148
-155
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+126
14
7
-0.91442-0.91925-0.54239
Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals
58.8%
41.2%
-155
+145
-150
+149
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
6
7
-0.91198-0.91389-0.88795
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
53.2%
46.8%
+139
-145
+138
-145
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-152
-1½+145
6
3
-0.88150-0.87904-0.63096
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
47.8%
52.2%
+189
-200
+185
-200
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
1
4
-0.41806-0.42286-0.65091
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
51.7%
48.3%
+140
+153
-158
+152

-1½+100
+1½-110
7
0
-0.66713-0.49956-0.66027
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
45.1%
54.9%
-111
+103
-113
+104
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
2
3
-0.72654-0.73345-0.59968
Philadelphia Phillies
Toronto Blue Jays
43.4%
56.6%
+169
-179
+169
-178
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
3
4
-0.45706-0.45781-0.56900
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
43.3%
56.7%
+145
-150
+146
-150
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+140
3
2
-0.90421-0.90666-0.83676
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
48.8%
51.2%
+150
-158
+148
-158
+1½-136
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
1
4
-0.50269-0.50587-0.66918
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
34.9%
65.1%
+144
-153
+145
-145
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+145
4
3
-0.90646-0.89610-1.05131
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
56.2%
43.8%
-138
+128
-134
+126
-1½+105
+1½-123
-1½+107
+1½-120
6
5
-0.56328-0.57251-0.57611
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
45.7%
54.3%
+117
-124
+119
-127
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
7
-0.60567-0.59673-0.61008
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks178-9 (0.471)0-0.69450 
Sportsbooks179-8 (0.529)0-0.69375 
DRatings178-9 (0.471)0-0.72504
-0.03054
-0.03128

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.