MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 22, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Bubba Chandler
Max Fried
32.4%
67.6%
+161
-178
+170
-180
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+105
3.94
5.76
9.70
o9-115
u9-105
o8½-115
u9+100
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Griffin Jax
Braydon Fisher
47.2%
52.8%
+100
-110
-105
-105
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+195
4.33
4.62
8.95
o7½-115
u7½-105
o7½-110
u8-115
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Kyle Bradish
Eduardo Rivera
33.8%
66.2%
+139
-125
+115
-124
+1½-145
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.57
6.24
10.81
o9-110
u9½-110
o9-110
u9-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Mike King
Martin Perez
45.8%
54.2%
-102
-108
+102
-106

+1½-200
-1½+180
4.11
4.56
8.67
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½+100
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Anthony Kay
Tyler Alexander
59.3%
40.7%
-119
+108
-116
+110
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+142
+1½-155
5.78
4.81
10.59
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+105
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Keider Montero
Colin Rea
45.4%
54.6%
+107
-116
+111
-118
+1½-200
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+175
3.97
4.46
8.43
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-105
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Sandy Alcantara
Peter Lambert
39.0%
61.0%
+100
-110
+103
-110

+1½-205
-1½+180
3.53
4.68
8.21
o8-115
u8-102
o8-115
u8+100
Games for Jul 21, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
56.2%
43.8%
-124
+113
-120
+116
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-140
9.02
o10+100
u10-110
o9½-105
u9½+100
2nd
TOP
0
2
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
47.8%
52.2%
+131
-144
+130
-125
+1½-170
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+162
9.17
o8-113
u8-105
o8-105
u8-105
1st
BOT
1
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
48.8%
51.2%
+150
-158
+148
-158
+1½-136
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
1
4
-0.50269-0.50587-0.66918
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
34.9%
65.1%
+144
-153
+145
-145
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+145
4
3
-0.90646-0.89610-1.05131
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
56.2%
43.8%
-138
+128
-134
+126
-1½+105
+1½-123
-1½+107
+1½-120
6
5
-0.56328-0.57251-0.57611
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
45.7%
54.3%
+117
-124
+119
-127
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
7
-0.60567-0.59673-0.61008
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
60.9%
39.1%
+162
-167
+160
-168
+1½-124
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+110
8
10
-0.47638-0.47844-0.93969
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
39.9%
60.1%
+122
-129
+123
-128
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+172
4
1
-0.81119-0.81180-0.91874
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
55.0%
45.0%
-129
+120
-122
+120
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
1
6
-0.80616-0.79255-0.79884
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
56.0%
44.0%
-109
+100
-102
+102
-1½+140
+1½-157
-1½+145
+1½-160
4
8
-0.71445-0.70310-0.82162
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
45.1%
54.9%
+103
-110
+105
-105

-1½+160
+1½-170
5
10
-0.66291-0.66904-0.59968
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
45.7%
54.3%
+155
-165
+152
-162
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
5
1
-0.95078-0.93928-0.78325
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
42.1%
57.9%
+117
-126
+116
-125
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+156
1
3
-0.60245-0.60613-0.54663
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
55.2%
44.8%
-132
+123
-133
+133
-1½+126
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
6
11
-0.81925-0.84588-0.80194
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
54.2%
45.8%
+110
-118
+115
-120
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
5
6
-0.63113-0.61667-0.78152
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
47.0%
53.0%
+104
-113
+106
-110
+1½-200
-1½+180
+1½-185
-1½+180
12
0
-0.73345-0.73191-0.75449
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.5%
66.5%
+235
-252
+233
-240
+1½+111
-1½-120
+1½+120
-1½-122
9
11
-0.34852-0.35448-0.40833
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
54.9%
45.1%
+102
-106
+100
-105
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+152
+1½-160
3
2
-0.71266-0.70528-0.59889
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks209-11 (0.450)0-0.70922 
Sportsbooks2010-10 (0.500)0-0.70812 
DRatings208-12 (0.400)0-0.73701
-0.02779
-0.02889

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.