MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 22, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Anthony Kay
Tyler Alexander
59.3%
40.7%
-118
+107
-117
+110
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+142
+1½-155
5.78
4.81
10.59
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+105
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Keider Montero
Colin Rea
45.4%
54.6%
+109
-120
+115
-118
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+175
3.97
4.46
8.43
o8-108
u8-110
o8-105
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Sandy Alcantara
Peter Lambert
39.0%
61.0%
+100
-110
+102
-105

+1½-210
-1½+190
3.53
4.68
8.21
o8-110
u8-105
o8-115
u8+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 21, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
56.2%
43.8%
-124
+113
-120
+116
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-140
9.02
o10+100
u10-110
o9½-105
u9½+100
5th
TOP
1
2
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
47.8%
52.2%
+131
-144
+130
-125
+1½-170
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+162
9.17
o8-113
u8-105
o8-105
u8-105
4th
TOP
7
3
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
New York Yankees (69-52)
32.4%
67.6%
+161
-178
+161
-175
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+105
9.70
o9-115
u9-105
o8½-115
u9+100
4th
TOP
0
0
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
47.2%
52.8%
+100
-110
-105
-105
+1½-220
-1½+186
+1½-210
-1½+195
8.95
o7½-115
u7½-105
o7½-110
u8-115
3rd
BOT
1
1
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
33.8%
66.2%
+139
-125
+115
-124
+1½-145
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
10.81
o9-110
u9½-110
o9-110
u9-110
2nd
BOT
4
0
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
45.8%
54.2%
-103
-107
+102
-106

+1½-200
-1½+180
8.67
o9+100
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½+100
2nd
BOT
0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
49.8%
50.2%
-166
+156
-165
+161
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-105
6
1
-0.48608-0.47955-0.69693
Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers
52.9%
47.1%
-102
-107
-102
-105
+1½-200
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+180
6
5
-0.70492-0.70029-0.63643
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
49.5%
50.5%
+107
-115
+110
-114
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+176
3
4
-0.64352-0.63864-0.68399
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
36.2%
63.8%
+172
-181
+168
-175
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-110
-1½+105
2
4
-0.45157-0.46143-0.44866
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
47.3%
52.7%
-106
+102
-110
+106
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-155
1
5
-0.71266-0.73191-0.64082
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
36.6%
63.4%
+155
-165
+155
-163
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+131
8
6
-0.95078-0.94794-1.00428
Tampa Bay Rays
Cincinnati Reds
51.1%
48.9%
-129
+120
-127
+123
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
5
10
-0.80616-0.80986-0.71560
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
44.8%
55.2%
+101
-108
-102
+100

+1½-215
-1½+200
2
0
-0.71474-0.68824-0.80372
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
42.1%
57.9%
+188
-205
+190
-207
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-109
3
4
-0.41647-0.41305-0.54607
Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles
54.8%
45.2%
-101
-105
+103
+100
-1½+155
+1½-165

5
9
-0.68363-0.68573-0.79502
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
55.7%
44.3%
-123
+118
-128
+125
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
1
2
-0.78955-0.81676-0.81322
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
29.8%
70.2%
+220
-235
+222
-230
+1½+115
-1½-122
+1½+115
-1½-122
2
4
-0.36844-0.36852-0.35443
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
47.1%
52.9%
-151
+146
-153
+151
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-105
5
6
-0.90822-0.92342-0.63688
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
43.2%
56.8%
-105
-104
-101
-105


3
1
-0.69081-0.70275-0.83958
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
42.4%
57.6%
+159
-169
+163
-164
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
4
5
-0.47907-0.47752-0.55146
Tampa Bay Rays
Cincinnati Reds
51.0%
49.0%
-145
+138
-140
+136
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-120
4
5
-0.87904-0.86569-0.71282
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks169-7 (0.562)0-0.69521 
Sportsbooks169-7 (0.562)0-0.69416 
DRatings168-8 (0.500)0-0.72315
-0.02795
-0.02899

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.