MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 23, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Griffin Canning
Chris Sale
48.5%
51.5%
+193
-215
+200
-220
+1½-103
-1½+100
+1½-105
-1½-110
4.14
4.29
8.43
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Taj Bradley
Gavin Williams
47.8%
52.2%
+115
-127
+115
-125
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
4.60
4.83
9.43
o8+110
u7½-105
o7½-115
u7½+100
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Ian Seymour
Shane Bieber
41.8%
58.2%
-105
-105
-105
-101


3.64
4.51
8.15
o8½-110
u8½-103
o8½-110
u8½-105
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Pfaadt
Michael McGreevy
40.1%
59.9%
+113
-124
+118
-125
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
3.72
4.76
8.48
o8½+105
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-115
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Randy Dobnak
Troy Melton
46.7%
53.3%
+171
-189
+175
-190
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+105
4.37
4.71
9.08
o8-127
u8+107
o8-120
u8½-115
Games for Jul 22, 2026
Games for Jul 24, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
59.3%
40.7%
-118
+107
-117
+110
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+142
+1½-155
10.59
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+105
8th
TOP
4
2
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
45.4%
54.6%
+112
-123
+115
-118
+1½-187
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+175
8.43
o8-105
u8-112
o8-105
u8-110
8th
BOT
4
1
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Houston Astros (70-50)
39.0%
61.0%
-104
-106
+102
-105
+1½-220
-1½+186
+1½-210
-1½+190
8.21
o8-110
u8-105
o8-115
u8+100
8th
BOT
2
4

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
45.4%
54.6%
+130
-140
+130
-135
+1½-185
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+168
1
2
-0.55696-0.56352-0.60435
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
48.7%
51.3%
-108
-101
-108
+101
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
4
3
-0.67690-0.67201-0.71920
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
38.6%
61.4%
+216
-235
+220
-240
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-118
2
1
-1.16835-1.18136-0.95280
St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves
45.6%
54.4%
+214
-230
+215
-235
+1½+109
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-120
3
2
-1.15954-1.16616-0.78601
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
54.1%
45.9%
-152
+142
-154
+145
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
6
5
-0.52182-0.51473-0.61456
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
36.4%
63.6%
+112
-120
+112
-118
+1½-173
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+160
1
5
-0.62315-0.62672-0.45190
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
40.1%
59.9%
+154
-164
+155
-165
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
0
10
-0.49089-0.48848-0.51271
Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles
59.3%
40.7%
-110
+102
-109
+101
+1½-210
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+185
1
4
-0.72177-0.71701-0.89850
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
43.0%
57.0%
+155
-165
+160
-165
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
3
5
-0.48848-0.48102-0.56236
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
28.2%
71.8%
+285
-306
+300
-310
+1½+130
-1½-145
+1½+140
-1½-143
2
5
-0.29612-0.28566-0.33090
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
36.5%
63.5%
-103
-107
-101
-103
-1½+150
+1½-169

4
2
-0.70249-0.69802-1.00827
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
29.9%
70.1%
+270
-300
+270
-304
+1½+140
-1½-155
+1½+150
-1½-160
1
2
-0.30775-0.30688-0.35558
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
59.1%
40.9%
-124
+117
-121
+115
-1½+125
+1½-141
-1½+134
+1½-145
7
5
-0.60567-0.61493-0.52667
New York Yankees
Pittsburgh Pirates
63.1%
36.9%
-194
+183
-199
+181
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-127
+1½+115
16
0
-0.42886-0.42834-0.46048
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
37.4%
62.6%
+248
-263
+240
-260
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-133
7
4
-1.25882-1.23998-0.98366
St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves
37.7%
62.3%
+150
-157
+152
-158
+1½-140
-1½+123
+1½-130
-1½+122
0
3
-0.50367-0.49956-0.47331
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks147-7 (0.500)0-0.71150 
Sportsbooks147-6 (0.536)1-0.70012 
DRatings146-8 (0.429)0-0.73979
-0.02829
-0.03968

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.