MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 23, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Griffin Canning
Chris Sale
48.5%
51.5%
+205
-215
+205
-230
+1½-103
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
4.14
4.29
8.43
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-110
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Taj Bradley
Gavin Williams
47.8%
52.2%
+118
-129
+121
-127
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-175
-1½+170
4.60
4.83
9.43
o8+110
u7½-105
o7½-115
u7½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Ian Seymour
Shane Bieber
41.8%
58.2%
-101
-109
-105
-101
+1½-215
-1½+183

3.64
4.51
8.15
o8½-110
u8½-103
o8½-110
u8½-105
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Pfaadt
Michael McGreevy
40.1%
59.9%
+111
-120
+115
-125
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+165
3.72
4.76
8.48
o8½+108
u8-105
o8-105
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Randy Dobnak
Troy Melton
46.7%
53.3%
+174
-193
+176
-190
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+105
4.37
4.71
9.08
o8-120
u8+107
o8-120
u8+105
Games for Jul 22, 2026
Games for Jul 24, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
41.8%
58.2%
+221
-240
+220
-242
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-123
7
9
-0.36557-0.36577-0.54194
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
41.4%
58.6%
+123
-130
+128
-130
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
8
3
-0.81556-0.82798-0.88295
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
46.4%
53.6%
-210
+193
-210
+197
-1½-135
+1½+125
-1½-130
+1½+120
0
1
-1.09354-1.10259-0.62330
St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves
43.2%
56.8%
+130
-139
+132
-140
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-154
-1½+135
1
7
-0.55823-0.55326-0.56514
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
54.9%
45.1%
+116
-122
+112
-116
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
8
4
-0.78255-0.76012-0.60004
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
48.6%
51.4%
-149
+140
-150
+146
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
4
11
-0.89040-0.90666-0.66553
New York Yankees
Pittsburgh Pirates
61.8%
38.2%
-182
+172
-180
+172
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-110
+1½+100
2
5
-1.01357-1.01107-0.96317
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
49.4%
50.6%
-107
-102
-108
+100


9
10
-0.70492-0.71219-0.68142
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
43.0%
57.0%
+150
-160
+150
-155
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-138
-1½+125
0
11
-0.50078-0.50566-0.56236
Los Angeles Angels
Miami Marlins
47.8%
52.2%
+141
-148
+145
-146
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+160
1
2
-0.52787-0.52337-0.65016
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
39.1%
60.9%
+122
-128
+123
-130
+1½-180
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+175
6
2
-0.80930-0.81556-0.93879
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.2%
66.8%
+255
-280
+260
-275
+1½+125
-1½-135
+1½+125
-1½-135
3
5
-0.32375-0.32121-0.40326
Toronto Blue Jays
Oakland Athletics
48.3%
51.7%
-250
+237
-260
+242
-1½-151
+1½+140
-1½-152
+1½+150
1
5
-1.22588-1.24414-0.65921
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
41.0%
59.0%
+127
-135
+128
-136
+1½-164
-1½+145
+1½-156
-1½+145
6
3
-0.83466-0.83894-0.89172
St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves
47.8%
52.2%
+160
-166
+158
-167
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+112
3
6
-0.48015-0.48224-0.65062
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
38.7%
61.3%
+160
-170
+164
-165
+1½-137
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
8
2
-0.96964-0.97220-0.94809
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks179-8 (0.529)0-0.70952 
Sportsbooks179-7 (0.559)1-0.69898 
DRatings178-9 (0.471)0-0.71558
-0.00606
-0.01660

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.