MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 23, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Griffin Canning
Chris Sale
48.5%
51.5%
+210
-235
+225
-240
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-110
4.14
4.29
8.43
o8-108
u8-110
o8-105
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Taj Bradley
Gavin Williams
47.8%
52.2%
+122
-135
+130
-130
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-175
-1½+165
4.64
4.87
9.51
o7½-113
u7½-105
o7½-120
u7½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Ian Seymour
Shane Bieber
41.8%
58.2%
-101
-109
-105
-105
+1½-215
-1½+183

3.64
4.51
8.15
o8½-110
u8½-103
o8½-110
u8½-105
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Pfaadt
Michael McGreevy
40.1%
59.9%
+108
-119
+115
-119
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-185
-1½+170
3.72
4.76
8.48
o7½-120
u8-115
o8-105
u8½-120
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Randy Dobnak
Troy Melton
46.7%
53.3%
+175
-195
+177
-190
+1½-117
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+105
4.41
4.75
9.16
o8-115
u8+107
o8½-105
u8+105
Games for Jul 22, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.0%
44.0%
-103
-105
-106
+101
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-170
6
7
-0.68844-0.71013-0.82091
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
51.2%
48.8%
+110
-117
+113
-118
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
11
4
-0.75717-0.76684-0.67008
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
64.9%
35.1%
-202
+188
-205
+201
-1½-142
+1½+125
-1½-138
+1½+135
4
7
-1.07376-1.10627-1.04720
Texas Rangers
Kansas City Royals
43.2%
56.8%
-147
+138
-145
+140
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-115
8
3
-0.53415-0.53299-0.83889
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
53.2%
46.8%
+112
-117
+109
-110
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
5
3
-0.76222-0.73944-0.63183
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
43.3%
56.7%
+130
-139
+135
-140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+136
3
5
-0.55823-0.54782-0.56761
Houston Astros
New York Mets
52.7%
47.3%
-117
+110
-110
+109
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-158
9
1
-0.63297-0.64890-0.64124
Milwaukee Brewers
Tampa Bay Rays
49.6%
50.4%
+102
-106
+102
-109
+1½-230
-1½+200
+1½-210
-1½+200
5
3
-0.71266-0.71953-0.70154
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
47.8%
52.2%
-110
+100
-106
+103
-1½+145
+1½-160

6
0
-0.67015-0.67158-0.73904
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
49.6%
50.4%
+125
-129
+125
-129
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+155
5
6
-0.58164-0.58164-0.68431
Oakland Athletics
New York Yankees
45.4%
54.6%
+177
-187
+181
-188
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-115
-1½+115
1
2
-0.44086-0.43513-0.60558
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
45.4%
54.6%
+112
-119
+110
-117
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+176
5
3
-0.76638-0.75717-0.79061
Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
37.8%
62.2%
+115
-122
+112
-119
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-178
-1½+165
1
3
-0.61323-0.62491-0.47536
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
46.4%
53.6%
+102
-109
+104
-107

-1½+155
+1½-170
2
3
-0.66744-0.66697-0.62332
Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners
39.8%
60.2%
+134
-141
+137
-143
+1½-165
-1½+146
+1½-155
-1½+146
9
2
-0.86249-0.87326-0.92065
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
55.1%
44.9%
+126
-134
+128
-134
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+150
3
4
-0.57251-0.56867-0.79984
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks179-8 (0.529)0-0.70952 
Sportsbooks179-7 (0.559)1-0.69898 
DRatings178-9 (0.471)0-0.71558
-0.00606
-0.01660

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.