MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 23, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Kyle Hart
Chris Sale
48.5%
51.5%
+214
-240
+220
-240
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-110
4.14
4.29
8.43
o8-107
u8-110
o8-110
u8-110
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Taj Bradley
Gavin Williams
47.8%
52.2%
+125
-138
+130
-130
+1½-182
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+158
4.60
4.83
9.43
o7½+105
u7½-123
o7½+110
u7½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Ian Seymour
Shane Bieber
41.8%
58.2%
-106
-104
-105
-104


3.64
4.51
8.15
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Pfaadt
Michael McGreevy
40.1%
59.9%
+107
-118
+115
-120
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
3.72
4.76
8.48
o7½-120
u8-116
o8-105
u8½-120
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Randy Dobnak
Troy Melton
46.7%
53.3%
+176
-195
+187
-190
+1½-117
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+105
4.31
4.65
8.96
o8-120
u8+103
o8½-105
u8+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 22, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
Houston Astros
40.9%
59.1%
+128
-136
+128
-134
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-162
-1½+150
2
8
-0.56593-0.56867-0.52550
Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox
52.6%
47.4%
-121
+118
-120
+116
-1½+128
+1½-145
-1½+133
+1½-140
6
7
-0.78553-0.77849-0.74568
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
43.8%
56.2%
-119
+110
-117
+112
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-140
6
2
-0.62933-0.62854-0.82574
Philadelphia Phillies
Texas Rangers
48.6%
51.4%
+118
-127
+118
-125
+1½-184
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+168
0
7
-0.59878-0.60195-0.66538
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins
47.8%
52.2%
+147
-151
+145
-151
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+120
6
5
-0.91063-0.90580-0.73827
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
52.5%
47.5%
+165
-175
+162
-170
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-126
-1½+110
12
10
-0.98819-0.97442-0.64443
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
47.1%
52.9%
-155
+148
-146
+145
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-115
4
5
-0.91925-0.89776-0.63665
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
37.2%
62.8%
+178
-188
+175
-184
+1½-119
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+106
4
5
-0.43892-0.44551-0.46536
Washington Nationals
Baltimore Orioles
56.7%
43.3%
+113
-123
+116
-120
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
3
0
-0.77696-0.77849-0.56678
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
52.9%
47.1%
+132
-139
+133
-140
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+145
1
7
-0.55453-0.55144-0.75213
Colorado Rockies
Miami Marlins
49.3%
50.7%
+115
-116
+115
-118
+1½-175
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+165
8
9
-0.62385-0.62019-0.67942
Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds
60.0%
40.0%
-170
+160
-170
+168
-1½-120
+1½+103
-1½-120
+1½+110
8
2
-0.47678-0.46537-0.51064
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
30.4%
69.6%
+154
-162
+161
-165
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+127
1
4
-0.49269-0.47955-0.36269
Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels
41.9%
58.1%
+170
-180
+184
-183
+1½-110
-1½+105
+1½+100
-1½+100
6
2
-1.00641-1.04256-0.86893
Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox
46.7%
53.3%
-121
+112
-118
+116
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+131
+1½-145
7
8
-0.77044-0.77434-0.62891
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
37.2%
62.8%
+153
-161
+155
-163
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
0
2
-0.49517-0.49027-0.46580
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks179-8 (0.529)0-0.70952 
Sportsbooks179-7 (0.559)1-0.69898 
DRatings178-9 (0.471)0-0.71558
-0.00606
-0.01660

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.