MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 23, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Kyle Hart
Chris Sale
48.5%
51.5%
+219
-245
+230
-245
+1½+115
-1½-123
+1½+110
-1½-120
4.14
4.29
8.43
o8-108
u8-105
o8-110
u8-110
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Taj Bradley
Gavin Williams
47.8%
52.2%
+128
-140
+130
-138
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+158
4.60
4.83
9.43
o7½+100
u7½-115
o7½+110
u7½-125
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Casey Legumina
Shane Bieber
41.8%
58.2%
-107
-103
-105
+100

-1½+160
+1½-175
3.64
4.51
8.15
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Pfaadt
Michael McGreevy
40.1%
59.9%
+104
-115
+111
-120
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
3.72
4.76
8.48
o7½+100
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-110
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Randy Dobnak
Troy Melton
46.7%
53.3%
+189
-210
+187
-210
+1½-108
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-110
4.31
4.65
8.96
o8-120
u8+103
o8-120
u8½-115
Games for Jul 22, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
61.5%
38.5%
-158
+148
-160
+158
-1½+105
+1½-112
-1½+100
+1½+101
7
6
-0.50587-0.48849-0.48617
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
61.6%
38.4%
-161
+152
-160
+155
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-105
7
5
-0.49671-0.49303-0.48448
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
47.4%
52.6%
+134
-144
+135
-133
+1½-159
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
0
-0.86750-0.85076-0.74589
Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs
49.2%
50.8%
-185
+175
-190
+182
-1½-116
+1½+110
-1½-123
+1½+110
3
6
-1.02427-1.04646-0.67676
Cleveland Indians
Los Angeles Dodgers
31.8%
68.2%
+233
-245
+240
-265
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+130
-1½-135
2
1
-1.21335-1.24372-1.14655
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
50.5%
49.5%
+131
-138
+129
-133
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-155
-1½+160
1
8
-0.55767-0.56815-0.70312
Minnesota Twins
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.0%
44.0%
-133
+128
-129
+133
-1½+116
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-134
2
7
-0.83354-0.83836-0.82032
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
37.7%
62.3%
+148
-156
+150
-156
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+146
5
1
-0.92078-0.92563-0.97485
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
55.9%
44.1%
-143
+138
-140
+142
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
4
10
-0.87570-0.88032-0.81882
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
48.3%
51.7%
+149
-158
+150
-154
+1½-144
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+135
3
13
-0.50428-0.50667-0.65967
St. Louis Cardinals
Boston Red Sox
43.0%
57.0%
+107
-112
+106
-113
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+170
5
6
-0.64942-0.64972-0.56166
Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers
45.9%
54.1%
+110
-117
+108
-115
+1½-198
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
7
0
-0.75717-0.74790-0.77903
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
41.6%
58.4%
+153
-146
+138
-145
+1½-120
-1½+133
+1½-145
-1½+131
4
10
-0.51041-0.53645-0.53818
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
49.8%
50.2%
-108
+103
-109
+105
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-145
12
3
-0.66719-0.66027-0.69623
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
61.6%
38.4%
-198
+185
-200
+200
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+120
2
0
-0.42402-0.40546-0.48448
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
50.7%
49.3%
-109
+148
-110
+105
-1½+135
+1½+115
-1½+135
+1½-145
8
7
-0.57277-0.65817-0.68009
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks179-8 (0.529)0-0.70952 
Sportsbooks179-7 (0.559)1-0.69898 
DRatings178-9 (0.471)0-0.71558
-0.00606
-0.01660

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.