MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 27, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
George Kirby
Kumar Rocker
52.2%
47.8%
-125
+113
-127
+130
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-150
5.45
5.22
10.67
o7½-120
u8-110
o8-105
u8-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Merrill Kelly
Mitch Keller
50.8%
49.2%
+102
-112
+110
-116
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
4.53
4.45
8.98
o9-123
u9½-120
o9-105
u9+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Zack Wheeler
Tyler Phillips
51.7%
48.3%
-175
+160
-170
+160
-1½-105
+1½-109
-1½-105
+1½-110
4.56
4.39
8.95
o7½-115
u7½-105
o7½-115
u7½-105
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Kyle Bradish
Keider Montero
43.6%
56.4%
+102
-112
+103
-110
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+175
4.40
5.06
9.46
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-110
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Max Scherzer
Andrew Alvarez
54.5%
45.5%
+104
-115
+110
-115
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+160
5.20
4.73
9.93
o10+100
u10-120
o10+105
u10-115
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Martin Perez
Zach Thornton
49.5%
50.5%
-115
+104
-112
+105
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
4.76
4.81
9.57
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-110
u8½-105
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Slade Cecconi
Chase Burns
43.0%
57.0%
+143
-158
+150
-158
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+126
4.06
4.79
8.85
o8½-104
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-105
New York Yankees (69-52)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Max Fried
Noah Schultz
47.7%
52.3%
-141
+128
-140
+135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-140
4.78
5.02
9.80
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
David Peterson
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
44.8%
55.2%
-116
+105
-118
+110
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
4.33
4.88
9.21
o9½-107
u9½-110
o9½-105
u9½-110
Houston Astros (70-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Tatsuya Imai
Walbert Urena
53.8%
46.2%
-109
-101
-112
+105
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+145
+1½-160
4.83
4.44
9.27
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-105
u8½-115
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Payton Tolle
Jack Perkins
46.9%
53.1%
-171
+154
-170
+155
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-107
+1½-110
4.96
5.28
10.24
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Brandon Sproat
Tyler Mahle
46.1%
53.9%
-131
+119
-133
+125
-1½+125
+1½-142
-1½+125
+1½-140
4.12
4.52
8.64
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Games for Jul 26, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
46.7%
53.3%
+122
-131
+125
-133
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+155
1
5
-0.58462-0.57583-0.62878
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
52.0%
48.0%
-176
+162
-175
+169
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-105
12
4
-0.46909-0.46007-0.65418
Miami Marlins
Tampa Bay Rays
38.0%
62.0%
+217
-242
+233
-242
+1½+104
-1½-120
+1½+115
-1½-123
0
8
-0.36868-0.35375-0.47758
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
46.2%
53.8%
-111
+101
-112
+105
-1½+140
+1½-159
-1½+146
+1½-155
1
0
-0.66563-0.65406-0.77189
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
49.6%
50.4%
-113
+103
-113
+108
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+141
+1½-150
8
3
-0.65676-0.64512-0.70092
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
47.2%
52.8%
-109
-101
-104
-102
+1½-205
-1½+175

3
1
-0.67472-0.68838-0.75016
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
42.1%
57.9%
+149
-162
+155
-161
+1½-132
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+122
7
8
-0.50048-0.49209-0.54671
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
45.6%
54.4%
-105
-105
-103
-103
-1½+145
+1½-158

8
5
-0.69315-0.69315-0.78465
Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies
39.5%
60.5%
+208
-230
+201
-215
+1½+103
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-118
6
8
-0.38243-0.39659-0.50248
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
48.8%
51.2%
-134
+127
-132
+132
-1½+117
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
8
5
-0.57058-0.56393-0.71707
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
52.7%
47.3%
-156
+146
-150
+144
-1½-102
+1½-115
-1½+106
+1½-120
2
3
-0.91592-0.90177-0.74767
Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins
50.4%
49.6%
-139
+129
-133
+128
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+115
+1½-130
2
7
-0.84665-0.83354-0.70178
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
48.5%
51.5%
-122
+112
-120
+116
-1½+130
+1½-146

0
3
-0.77245-0.77849-0.66382
Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies
31.5%
68.5%
+238
-267
+240
-260
+1½+115
-1½-134
+1½+120
-1½-130
6
12
-0.34122-0.34163-0.37775
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
43.7%
56.3%
+181
-197
+181
-186
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½+110
3
2
-1.05217-1.03939-0.82862
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
52.9%
47.1%
-117
+117
-118
+115
-1½+145
+1½-150
-1½+150
+1½-155
3
5
-0.77473-0.77184-0.75228
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.64858 
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.65432 
DRatings157-8 (0.467)0-0.68211
-0.03353
-0.02779

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.