MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 30, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Noah Cameron
Bailey Ober
43.5%
56.5%
+116
-128
+120
-125
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+145
4.80
5.48
10.28
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9+100
New York Yankees (69-52)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Ryan Weathers
Sean Burke
47.7%
52.3%
+101
-111
+105
-110
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+185
4.74
4.97
9.71
o7½+105
u7½-120
o7½+105
u7½-120
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Javier Assad
Andre Pallante
44.8%
55.2%
+100
-110
+100
-105
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-190
-1½+180
4.13
4.68
8.81
o8-110
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Yohan Ramirez
Rhett Lowder
36.4%
63.6%
-111
+101
-110
+100
-1½+133
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-155
4.02
5.44
9.46
o9½-110
u9½-105
o9½-110
u9½-105
Miami Marlins (51-70)
New York Mets (60-60)
Eury Perez
Nolan McLean
42.4%
57.6%
+115
-127
+114
-120
+1½-197
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
3.92
4.71
8.63
o7-115
u7-105
o7-115
u7-105
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Jake Irvin
Grant Holmes
40.8%
59.2%
+132
-146
+135
-145
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-147
-1½+130
4.27
5.24
9.51
o10-105
u10-115
o9½-115
u9½+100
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Robbie Ray
JP Sears
47.0%
53.0%
+137
-151
+145
-155
+1½-156
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+135
3.84
4.15
7.99
o8½+100
u8+100
o8½+100
u8½-120
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Sonny Gray
Mason Barnett
46.9%
53.1%
-179
+161
-180
+165
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½+100
4.96
5.28
10.24
o10-115
u10-105
o10½-110
u10-105
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Bryan Woo
Roki Sasaki
34.4%
65.6%
+138
-152
+145
-155
+1½-150
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+130
3.89
5.52
9.41
o9-105
u8½+103
o8½-120
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 29, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
34.2%
65.8%
+164
-180
+162
-175
+1½-132
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
9.82
o8-105
u7½+105
o8-105
u8-105
5th
TOP
1
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
29.5%
70.5%
+200
-220
+208
-220
+1½-102
-1½-118
+1½+100
-1½-115
0
5
-0.39531-0.38680-0.34919
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
60.4%
39.6%
-136
+127
-131
+128
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+120
+1½-132
7
6
-0.56784-0.57290-0.50365
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
38.2%
61.8%
+126
-136
+126
-130
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+147
4
9
-0.56976-0.57821-0.48132
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
65.0%
35.0%
-235
+212
-222
+225
-1½-165
+1½+148
-1½-153
+1½+150
9
2
-0.37631-0.36901-0.43114
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
31.5%
68.5%
+121
-131
+128
-126
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+156
1
3
-0.58663-0.58037-0.37889
Tampa Bay Rays
Atlanta Braves
39.3%
60.7%
+100
-110
+105
-112
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
0
9
-0.67015-0.65406-0.49844
Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox
47.3%
52.7%
+101
-111
+104
-108
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
1
10
-0.66563-0.66479-0.63963
San Francisco Giants
St. Louis Cardinals
42.9%
57.1%
-111
+101
-109
+104
-1½+145
+1½-161
-1½+146
+1½-160
1
3
-0.72144-0.72460-0.56019
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
37.3%
62.7%
+149
-159
+152
-153
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+125
8
4
-0.92766-0.92581-0.98540
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
49.4%
50.6%
-136
+126
-136
+130
-1½+120
+1½-137
-1½+120
+1½-134
7
4
-0.56976-0.56217-0.70571
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
63.4%
36.6%
-162
+149
-163
+155
-1½-110
+1½-108
-1½-105
+1½-110
7
9
-0.93201-0.94794-1.00471
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
49.6%
50.4%
-132
+122
-128
+120
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
5
4
-0.58316-0.59314-0.70043
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
64.8%
35.2%
-169
+156
-167
+159
-1½-112
+1½-108
-1½-103
+1½+100
4
5
-0.95870-0.96317-1.04458
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
42.8%
57.2%
+114
-124
+115
-117
+1½-170
-1½+151
+1½-172
-1½+165
2
2
-0.69673-0.69588-0.70365
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
42.7%
57.3%
-126
+116
-121
+116
-1½+133
+1½-150
-1½+138
+1½-145
4
2
-0.60453-0.61278-0.85008
Cleveland Indians
Oakland Athletics
45.2%
54.8%
+162
-176
+165
-175
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-115
-1½+110
3
2
-0.98235-0.98819-0.79454
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks119-2 (0.818)0-0.63143 
Sportsbooks117-4 (0.636)0-0.63958 
DRatings117-4 (0.636)0-0.63638
-0.00495
0.00319

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.