MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 30, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Yohan Ramirez
Rhett Lowder
36.4%
63.6%
-119
+109
-110
+100
-1½+133
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-155
4.02
5.44
9.46
o9½-113
u9½-105
o9½-110
u9½-105
Miami Marlins (51-70)
New York Mets (60-60)
Eury Perez
Nolan McLean
42.4%
57.6%
+113
-125
+114
-120
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-190
-1½+175
3.92
4.71
8.63
o7-115
u7-105
o7-115
u7+105
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Jake Irvin
Grant Holmes
40.8%
59.2%
+136
-150
+140
-150
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-147
-1½+130
4.27
5.24
9.51
o10-108
u10-110
o9½-120
u10-110
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Robbie Ray
JP Sears
47.0%
53.0%
+138
-152
+141
-150
+1½-156
-1½+136
+1½-150
-1½+135
3.84
4.15
7.99
o8½+100
u8+100
o8½+100
u8½-120
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Sonny Gray
Mason Barnett
46.9%
53.1%
-186
+168
-180
+169
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+105
4.96
5.28
10.24
o10-109
u10-110
o10-110
u10-110
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Bryan Woo
Roki Sasaki
34.4%
65.6%
+142
-157
+145
-155
+1½-149
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+130
3.89
5.52
9.41
o9-105
u8½+105
o8½-120
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 29, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
43.5%
56.5%
+116
-128
+120
-125
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+145
10.28
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9+100
9th
BOT
3
0
New York Yankees (69-52)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
47.7%
52.3%
+106
-117
+105
-110
+1½-210
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+185
9.71
o7½+105
u7½-120
o7½+105
u7½-120
7th
TOP
0
0
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
44.8%
55.2%
+100
-110
+100
-105
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-190
-1½+180
8.81
o8½+100
u8+101
o8-115
u8+100
7th
TOP
1
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
32.6%
67.4%
+250
-275
+250
-270
+1½+125
-1½-140
+1½+135
-1½-135
5
2
-1.27165-1.26808-1.11939
Washington Nationals
San Francisco Giants
55.7%
44.3%
+137
-145
+137
-142
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+146
3
5
-0.53820-0.54178-0.81419
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
29.6%
70.4%
+213
-235
+210
-225
+1½+105
-1½-121
+1½+105
-1½-116
2
4
-0.37530-0.38251-0.35112
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
53.0%
47.0%
+120
-130
+122
-128
+1½-160
-1½+148
+1½-155
-1½+146
4
0
-0.80802-0.80930-0.63569
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
46.2%
53.8%
+109
-118
+112
-117
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+175
2
0
-0.75673-0.76222-0.77178
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
63.2%
36.8%
-125
+115
-126
+118
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
2
3
-0.78592-0.79542-0.99878
Philadelphia Phillies
Boston Red Sox
48.2%
51.8%
+120
-129
+120
-129
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
5
11
-0.59162-0.59162-0.65855
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
40.7%
59.3%
+134
-141
+132
-138
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+135
1
2
-0.54837-0.55582-0.52335
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
35.3%
64.7%
+116
-123
+117
-121
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+156
1
7
-0.60941-0.61068-0.43549
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
33.7%
66.3%
+182
-198
+183
-200
+1½-110
-1½-101
+1½-115
-1½+107
4
13
-0.42768-0.42529-0.41038
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
58.7%
41.3%
-152
+144
-150
+140
-1½+108
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-124
5
0
-0.51849-0.52736-0.53212
Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles
65.4%
34.6%
-130
+124
-127
+122
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-130
12
1
-0.58212-0.59064-0.42388
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
36.5%
63.5%
+141
-151
+140
-147
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
5
10
-0.52457-0.53071-0.45418
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
42.7%
57.3%
+142
-152
+143
-147
+1½-165
-1½+159
+1½-170
-1½+150
8
9
-0.52182-0.52560-0.55610
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
30.3%
69.7%
+125
-135
+130
-134
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+141
3
5
-0.57304-0.56488-0.36034
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
47.7%
52.3%
+105
-112
+106
-111
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
3
5
-0.65406-0.65377-0.64852
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks108-2 (0.800)0-0.62633 
Sportsbooks107-3 (0.700)0-0.62896 
DRatings106-4 (0.600)0-0.62864
-0.00231
0.00032

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.