MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 1, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Braxton Ashcraft
Andrew Abbott
36.4%
63.6%
-117
+106
-112
+110
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
3.78
5.21
8.99
o8-110
u8+100
o8-115
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Cristopher Sanchez
Shane Baz
57.5%
42.5%
-146
+132
-139
+135
-1½+115
+1½-128
-1½+118
+1½-125
5.29
4.51
9.80
o8-117
u8+100
o8½+100
u8+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Jacob deGrom
Ronel Blanco
40.8%
59.2%
-120
+109
-124
+115
-1½+135
+1½-154
-1½+130
+1½-150
3.68
4.64
8.32
o8-115
u8½-121
o8½-105
u8½-115
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Miles Mikolas
Reynaldo Lopez
40.8%
59.2%
+146
-161
+158
-165
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-125
-1½+120
4.07
5.04
9.11
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9½+100
u9½-115
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Kohl Drake
Parker Messick
41.1%
58.9%
+156
-173
+156
-160
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+130
3.80
4.73
8.53
o8-115
u8-103
o8½-105
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Yankees (69-52)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Max Fried
David Peterson
56.0%
44.0%
+106
-117
+113
+105


4.39
3.76
8.15
o6-110
u6½-120
o6½+105
u6½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Luinder Avila
Ryan Feltner
45.3%
54.7%
+113
-124
+115
-120
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+158
4.96
5.44
10.40
o11½-115
u11½-105
o12-105
u11½-105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Tyler Mahle
Walker Buehler
47.0%
53.0%
+131
-145
+130
-135
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-157
-1½+140
3.84
4.15
7.99
o8-115
u8½-120
o8½-105
u8½-110
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Payton Tolle
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
40.0%
60.0%
+145
-160
+153
-160
+1½-145
-1½+128
+1½-140
-1½+130
4.45
5.51
9.96
o7½+100
u7½-117
o7½-105
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Robert Gasser
Brent Suter
51.6%
48.4%
-145
+131
-125
+135
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+135
+1½-120
4.80
4.64
9.44
o9-105
u9-110
o9+100
u9-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Framber Valdez
Jack Perkins
37.1%
62.9%
-172
+155
-140
+153
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½+115
+1½+100
3.87
5.22
9.09
o10½-110
u10+100
o10½-110
u10½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 31, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
46.2%
53.8%
+150
-163
+152
-160
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+127
8.94
o7½-103
u7½-115
o7½-105
u8-105
FINAL
FINAL
0
1
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
47.5%
52.5%
+147
-163
+150
-160
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
10.85
o7-115
u7-103
o7½+105
u8-120
7th
BOT
3
3
Miami Marlins (51-70)
New York Mets (60-60)
42.4%
57.6%
+113
-125
+115
-125
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-180
-1½+160
9.62
o8½-117
u8½-103
o9-105
u9-115
6th
BOT
6
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
46.7%
53.3%
+143
-153
+150
-156
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+134
3
4
-0.51909-0.50464-0.63004
Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies
49.7%
50.3%
+101
-110
+106
-110
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+165
2
12
-0.66771-0.65583-0.68792
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
47.1%
52.9%
-133
+123
-132
+125
-1½+135
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-146
6
0
-0.57975-0.57725-0.75317
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
45.1%
54.9%
+112
-121
+115
-122
+1½-190
-1½+171
+1½-185
-1½+170
2
5
-0.62140-0.61323-0.59931
Pittsburgh Pirates
Minnesota Twins
25.9%
74.1%
+169
-184
+176
-185
+1½-120
-1½+104
+1½-115
-1½+100
6
2
-1.00898-1.02661-1.35058
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
41.5%
58.5%
+132
-140
+130
-136
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
2
-0.85583-0.84390-0.88003
Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox
34.0%
66.0%
+163
-176
+165
-179
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-120
-1½+120
4
8
-0.46767-0.46259-0.41480
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
57.6%
42.4%
+118
-128
+120
-128
+1½-180
-1½+166
+1½-195
-1½+180
5
0
-0.79924-0.80428-0.55083
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
44.3%
55.7%
-114
+107
-115
+106
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
1
0
-0.64546-0.64582-0.81398
New York Yankees
Cleveland Indians
54.5%
45.5%
-123
+115
-120
+116
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-145
3
7
-0.78202-0.77849-0.78651
Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox
40.4%
59.6%
+171
-186
+180
-185
+1½-115
-1½-102
+1½-110
-1½-101
3
5
-0.44942-0.43838-0.51753
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
50.8%
49.2%
-114
+106
-114
+105
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
4
0
-0.64777-0.65009-0.67737
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
49.3%
50.7%
+135
-143
+140
-145
+1½-155
-1½+139
+1½-155
-1½+145
0
4
-0.54412-0.53299-0.67930
Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
57.7%
42.3%
-120
+113
-115
+114
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+131
+1½-140
1
8
-0.77096-0.76297-0.86071
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.8%
62.2%
+135
-143
+138
-143
+1½-165
-1½+148
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
5
-0.54412-0.53883-0.47461
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
41.4%
58.6%
+145
-150
+145
-147
+1½-152
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+145
5
2
-0.90421-0.89938-0.88095
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.66317 
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.66721 
DRatings147-7 (0.500)0-0.70161
-0.03844
-0.03441

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.