MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 4, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Ryan Gusto
Grant Holmes
39.8%
60.2%
+138
-152
+140
-148
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-155
-1½+140
3.85
4.91
8.76
o9-114
u9-105
o9-110
u9+100
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Jared Jones
Logan Henderson
33.2%
66.8%
+130
-143
+147
-140
+1½-164
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
3.57
5.31
8.88
o7½+100
u7½-120
o7½-105
u7½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Joe Ryan
Randy Dobnak
51.5%
48.5%
-152
+139
-140
+130
-1½+105
+1½-122
-1½+110
+1½-127
5.31
5.16
10.47
o9-116
u9+100
o9-115
u9+100
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Tarik Skubal
Javier Assad
59.3%
40.7%
-184
+166
-185
+183
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+105
5.11
4.13
9.24
o9-110
u9-103
o9+100
u9-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Blake Tidwell
MacKenzie Gore
59.9%
40.1%
+174
-193
+176
-190
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+105
5.10
4.06
9.16
o8-107
u8-110
o7½-120
u8-115
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Trey Yesavage
Hayden Wesneski
45.0%
55.0%
+128
-141
+126
-130
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+158
4.22
4.75
8.97
o8½+100
u8½-118
o8½-105
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Gabriel Hughes
51.4%
48.6%
-171
+154
-145
+155
-1½-110
+1½-107
-1½+110
+1½-105
5.24
5.08
10.32
o10½-120
u10½+100
o11+100
u11-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Randy Vasquez
Eduardo Rodriguez
60.3%
39.7%
+105
-116
+120
-110
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
4.67
3.60
8.27
o9+100
u9-115
o9+100
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Troy Melton
Emerson Hancock
43.0%
57.0%
+108
-119
+120
-120
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-170
-1½+175
4.16
4.90
9.06
o8+100
u8-120
o7½-120
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 3, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
56.2%
43.8%
+129
-142
+137
-140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+143
10.33
o9½+100
u9½-107
o9-115
u8½+100
3rd
BOT
0
0
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
43.0%
57.0%
+273
-310
+258
-260
+1½+125
-1½-145
+1½+130
-1½-120
9.53
o9+100
u9-118
o9+105
u9-115
3rd
TOP
0
1
New York Mets (60-60)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
50.2%
49.8%
+117
-129
+127
-125
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-165
-1½+165
8.61
o7½+103
u7½-120
o7½+100
u7½-105
2nd
BOT
3
0
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
49.2%
50.8%
+118
-130
+125
-129
+1½-170
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+155
9.33
o9-112
u9-105
o9-115
u9+100
3rd
BOT
0
0
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
New York Yankees (69-52)
39.8%
60.2%
+184
-205
+182
-170
+1½-112
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+118
9.21
o8-113
u8-105
o8-110
u8½-120
1st
BOT
0
0
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
48.0%
52.0%
+134
-148
+130
-121
+1½-160
-1½+145

10.58
o9-105
u9-115
o9+100
u9-110
1st
BOT
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
43.1%
56.9%
+115
-123
+115
-121
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+155
0
1
-0.56433
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
63.7%
36.3%
-375
+340
-400
+340
-1½-220
+1½+200
-1½-215
+1½+200
8
5
-0.45050
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
57.0%
43.0%
-215
+200
-215
+195
-1½-140
+1½+125
-1½-130
+1½+120
3
8
-0.84462
Cleveland Indians
Washington Nationals
47.4%
52.6%
-164
+155
-160
+155
-1½-109
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
2
8
-0.64230
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
56.3%
43.7%
-143
+138
-139
+140
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-105
1
6
-0.82888
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
37.6%
62.4%
+265
-290
+260
-275
+1½+140
-1½-155
+1½+140
-1½-150
4
5
-0.47111
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
55.0%
45.0%
-113
+105
-113
+105
-1½+135
+1½-153
-1½+145
+1½-150
3
1
-0.59806
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
43.3%
56.7%
+158
-163
+155
-165
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
4
3
-0.83757
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
56.0%
44.0%
-162
+155
-164
+155
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½+105
+1½-110
9
0
-0.57962
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
60.7%
39.3%
-174
+165
-180
+170
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+105
1
0
-0.49880
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
66.1%
33.9%
-415
+375
-430
+370
-1½-245
+1½+210
-1½-240
+1½+210
6
3
-0.41344
Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies
55.1%
44.9%
-172
+165
-170
+163
-1½-119
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+100
2
3
-0.80100
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
45.3%
54.7%
+130
-138
+135
-138
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+135
5
6
-0.60307
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
50.5%
49.5%
-138
+133
-135
+130
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+125
+1½-135
4
2
-0.68260
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
57.9%
42.1%
-265
+245
-280
+245
-1½-175
+1½+160
-1½-170
+1½+165
4
9
-0.86507
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
53.0%
47.0%
-103
-105
+100
-108
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+185
0
3
-0.75536
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks62-4 (0.333)0-0.74195 
Sportsbooks62-4 (0.333)0-0.74729 
DRatings62-4 (0.333)0-0.78864
-0.04669
-0.04135

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.