MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 4, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Tarik Skubal
Javier Assad
59.3%
40.7%
-187
+169
-185
+183
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-118
+1½+105
5.11
4.13
9.24
o9-105
u9-111
o9+100
u9-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Blake Tidwell
MacKenzie Gore
59.9%
40.1%
+174
-193
+176
-190
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+105
5.10
4.06
9.16
o8-107
u8-105
o7½-120
u8-115
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Trey Yesavage
Hayden Wesneski
45.0%
55.0%
+128
-141
+130
-130
+1½-167
-1½+147
+1½-165
-1½+158
4.22
4.75
8.97
o8½+100
u8½-118
o8½-105
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Gabriel Hughes
51.4%
48.6%
-171
+154
-145
+155
-1½-110
+1½-107
-1½+110
+1½-105
5.24
5.08
10.32
o10½-120
u10½+100
o11+100
u11-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Randy Vasquez
Eduardo Rodriguez
60.3%
39.7%
+106
-117
+120
-110
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
4.67
3.60
8.27
o9-103
u9-115
o9+100
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Troy Melton
Emerson Hancock
43.0%
57.0%
+108
-119
+120
-120
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-170
-1½+175
4.16
4.90
9.06
o8+100
u8-120
o7½-120
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 3, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
56.2%
43.8%
+129
-142
+137
-140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+143
10.33
o9½+100
u9½-107
o9-115
u8½+100
6th
BOT
0
2
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
43.0%
57.0%
+273
-310
+258
-260
+1½+125
-1½-145
+1½+130
-1½-120
9.53
o9+100
u9-118
o9+105
u9-115
6th
TOP
0
4
New York Mets (60-60)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
50.2%
49.8%
+117
-129
+127
-125
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-165
-1½+165
8.61
o7½+103
u7½-120
o7½+100
u7½-105
5th
BOT
5
2
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
49.2%
50.8%
+118
-130
+125
-129
+1½-170
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+155
9.33
o9-112
u9-105
o9-115
u9+100
5th
BOT
3
0
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
New York Yankees (69-52)
39.8%
60.2%
+184
-205
+182
-170
+1½-112
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+118
9.21
o8-113
u8-105
o8-110
u8½-120
5th
TOP
0
1
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
48.0%
52.0%
+134
-148
+130
-121
+1½-160
-1½+145

10.58
o9-105
u9-115
o9+100
u9-110
3rd
BOT
0
6
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
39.8%
60.2%
+138
-152
+140
-148
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-155
-1½+140
8.76
o9-114
u9-105
o9-110
u9+100
4th
BOT
0
1
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
33.2%
66.8%
+130
-143
+147
-140
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
8.88
o7½+100
u7½-120
o7½-105
u7½-105
2nd
BOT
0
0
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
51.5%
48.5%
-146
+132
-140
+130
-1½+110
+1½-126
-1½+110
+1½-127
10.47
o9-115
u9-104
o9-115
u9+100
1st
BOT
0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
48.6%
51.4%
+183
-195
+180
-185
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+110
8
6
-0.72165
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
52.6%
47.4%
+150
-134
+150
-158
+1½-130
-1½+145
+1½-130
-1½+120
4
3
-0.64278
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
41.4%
58.6%
+170
-175
+167
-175
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
3
9
-0.53445
Cleveland Indians
Washington Nationals
40.0%
60.0%
+245
-265
+240
-260
+1½+125
-1½-140
+1½+110
-1½-130
7
10
-0.51126
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
62.2%
37.8%
-205
+194
-205
+190
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-125
+1½+110
2
0
-0.47416
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
51.7%
48.3%
+118
-122
+117
-122
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-170
-1½+150
1
7
-0.72699
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
56.1%
43.9%
-182
+183
-190
+180
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-120
+1½+105
1
4
-0.82319
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
60.6%
39.4%
-185
+180
-185
+175
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+115
4
3
-0.50135
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
38.7%
61.3%
+143
-150
+148
-152
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
9
4
-0.94819
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
61.1%
38.9%
-190
+180
-200
+180
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+110
9
2
-0.49192
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
58.7%
41.3%
-205
+192
-200
+200
-1½-135
+1½+125
-1½-130
+1½+125
3
4
-0.88537
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
70.6%
33.9%
-220
+207
-210
+210
-1½-145
+1½+130
-1½-135
+1½+130
4
0
-0.34818
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
48.7%
51.3%
+118
-125
+120
-125
+1½-155
-1½+141
+1½-155
-1½+150
3
6
-0.66773
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
65.4%
35.1%
-233
+215
-240
+220
-1½-158
+1½+150
-1½-150
+1½+145
6
2
-0.42388
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
45.0%
55.6%
+200
-205
+190
-205
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
8
2
-0.79877
Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies
53.8%
45.3%
-151
+145
-150
+145
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+100
7
11
-0.79091
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1 (0.667)0-0.68095 
Sportsbooks32-1 (0.667)0-0.67375 
DRatings31-2 (0.333)0-0.71791
-0.03696
-0.04416

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.