MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 4, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Randy Vasquez
Eduardo Rodriguez
60.3%
39.7%
+108
-119
+120
-115
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-185
-1½+165
4.67
3.60
8.27
o9-103
u9-115
o9+100
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Troy Melton
Emerson Hancock
43.0%
57.0%
+108
-119
+120
-120
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-170
-1½+175
4.16
4.90
9.06
o8+100
u7½+100
o8+100
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 3, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
56.2%
43.8%
+129
-142
+137
-140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+143
10.33
o9½+100
u9½-107
o9-115
u8½+100
9th
TOP
1
3
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
43.0%
57.0%
+273
-310
+258
-260
+1½+125
-1½-145
+1½+130
-1½-120
9.53
o9+100
u9-118
o9+105
u9-115
9th
TOP
0
5
New York Mets (60-60)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
50.2%
49.8%
+117
-129
+127
-125
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-165
-1½+165
8.61
o7½+103
u7½-120
o7½+100
u7½-105
8th
BOT
6
2
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
49.2%
50.8%
+118
-130
+125
-129
+1½-170
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+155
9.33
o9-112
u9-105
o9-115
u9+100
8th
BOT
4
3
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
New York Yankees (69-52)
39.8%
60.2%
+184
-205
+182
-170
+1½-112
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+118
9.21
o8-113
u8-105
o8-110
u8½-120
7th
BOT
0
2
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
48.0%
52.0%
+134
-148
+130
-121
+1½-160
-1½+145

10.58
o9-105
u9-115
o9+100
u9-110
6th
TOP
2
7
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
39.8%
60.2%
+138
-152
+140
-148
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-155
-1½+140
8.76
o9-114
u9-105
o9-110
u9+100
8th
TOP
0
3
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
33.2%
66.8%
+130
-143
+147
-140
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
8.88
o7½+100
u7½-120
o7½-105
u7½-105
5th
TOP
2
3
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
51.5%
48.5%
-146
+132
-140
+130
-1½+110
+1½-126
-1½+110
+1½-127
10.47
o9-115
u9-104
o9-115
u9+100
4th
BOT
1
2
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
59.3%
40.7%
-187
+169
-185
+183
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-118
+1½+105
9.24
o9-105
u9-111
o9+100
u9-105
4th
TOP
1
1
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
59.9%
40.1%
+174
-193
+176
-190
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+105
9.16
o8-107
u8-105
o7½-120
u8-115
3rd
TOP
0
2
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
45.0%
55.0%
+128
-141
+130
-130
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+158
8.97
o8½+100
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-115
3rd
BOT
0
0
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
51.4%
48.6%
-160
+145
-145
+155
-1½-110
+1½-107
-1½+110
+1½-105
10.32
o10½-120
u10½+100
o11+100
u11-110
2nd
BOT
0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
59.2%
40.0%
-270
+248
-280
+260
-1½-175
+1½+165
-1½-170
+1½+155
14
7
-0.52427
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
40.2%
59.8%
+185
-190
+190
-200
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-110
4
1
-0.91068
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
54.4%
45.9%
+105
-110
+100
-104
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+185
2
4
-0.77927
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
66.3%
35.7%
-240
+222
-230
+225
-1½-153
+1½+150
-1½-150
+1½+140
6
2
-0.41033
Cleveland Indians
Washington Nationals
44.4%
55.6%
+132
-138
+131
-135
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+145
2
8
-0.58697
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
56.4%
43.9%
-150
+142
-151
+145
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
5
6
-0.82250
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
42.0%
58.0%
+172
-177
+175
-183
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+110
4
5
-0.54523
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
58.9%
41.1%
-230
+225
-240
+220
-1½-145
+1½+145
-1½-140
+1½+140
3
1
-0.52926
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
72.0%
32.9%
-182
+175
-190
+180
-1½-120
+1½+120
-1½-125
+1½+115
3
4
-1.11301
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
60.3%
39.7%
-173
+166
-175
+165
-1½-115
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+105
0
8
-0.92372
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
43.0%
55.1%
+255
-270
+250
-270
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-130
4
2
-0.84297
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
52.5%
47.0%
-105
-104
-102
+100
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-165
5
9
-0.75417
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
44.4%
55.6%
+235
-250
+240
-260
+1½+115
-1½-127
+1½+115
-1½-130
3
6
-0.58745
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
49.0%
51.0%
+113
-122
+112
-116
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
3
8
-0.67383
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
60.7%
39.3%
-187
+185
-190
+190
-1½-120
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+120
1
0
-0.49911
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
51.8%
48.2%
+120
-126
+122
-125
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+150
5
7
-0.72882
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.67930 
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.68116 
DRatings10-1 (0.000)0-0.85750
-0.17820
-0.17634

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.