MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 4, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Randy Vasquez
Eduardo Rodriguez
60.3%
39.7%
+109
-120
+120
-120
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+162
4.67
3.60
8.27
o9+100
u9-117
o9+100
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Troy Melton
Emerson Hancock
43.0%
57.0%
+107
-118
+120
-120
+1½-202
-1½+175
+1½-170
-1½+175
4.16
4.90
9.06
o7½-120
u7½+100
o8+100
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 3, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
48.0%
52.0%
+134
-148
+130
-121
+1½-160
-1½+145

10.58
o9-105
u9-115
o9+100
u9-110
8th
TOP
2
13
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
33.2%
66.8%
+130
-143
+147
-140
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
8.88
o7½+100
u7½-120
o7½-105
u7½-105
7th
BOT
2
4
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
51.5%
48.5%
-146
+132
-140
+130
-1½+110
+1½-126
-1½+110
+1½-127
10.47
o9-115
u9-104
o9-115
u9+100
7th
TOP
1
5
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
59.3%
40.7%
-187
+169
-185
+183
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-118
+1½+105
9.24
o9-105
u9-111
o9+100
u9-105
6th
BOT
1
1
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
59.9%
40.1%
+174
-193
+176
-190
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+105
9.16
o8-107
u8-105
o7½-120
u8-115
5th
BOT
0
2
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
45.0%
55.0%
+128
-141
+130
-130
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+158
8.97
o8½+100
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-115
5th
BOT
2
2
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
51.4%
48.6%
-160
+145
-145
+155
-1½-110
+1½-107
-1½+110
+1½-105
10.32
o10½-120
u10½+100
o11+100
u11-110
4th
TOP
5
5

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
43.0%
55.1%
+255
-270
+250
-270
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-130
4
2
-0.84297
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
52.5%
47.0%
-105
-104
-102
+100
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-165
5
9
-0.75417
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
44.4%
55.6%
+235
-250
+240
-260
+1½+115
-1½-127
+1½+115
-1½-130
3
6
-0.58745
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
49.0%
51.0%
+113
-122
+112
-116
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
3
8
-0.67383
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
60.7%
39.3%
-187
+185
-190
+190
-1½-120
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+120
1
0
-0.49911
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
51.8%
48.2%
+120
-126
+122
-125
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+150
5
7
-0.72882
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
64.0%
36.0%
-130
+124
-130
+125
-1½+115
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-125
10
4
-0.44646
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
48.9%
51.1%
+108
-114
+107
-110
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+175
5
3
-0.71635
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
64.8%
35.2%
-330
+300
-310
+290
-1½-195
+1½+175
-1½-185
+1½+175
3
0
-0.43314
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
58.8%
41.2%
-170
+162
-173
+163
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+105
6
4
-0.53074
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
54.0%
46.0%
-230
+220
-220
+210
-1½-148
+1½+140
-1½-140
+1½+130
3
2
-0.61695
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
53.7%
46.3%
+154
-160
+151
-160
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
1
2
-0.77063
Atlanta Braves
Kansas City Royals
69.7%
30.3%
-133
+126
-135
+127
-1½+115
+1½-120
-1½+115
+1½-130
10
2
-0.36096
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
58.7%
41.3%
-335
+310
-320
+300
-1½-200
+1½+185
-1½-200
+1½+180
3
8
-0.88443
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
56.2%
43.8%
-126
+118
-122
+118
-1½+120
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
10
3
-0.57695
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
46.1%
53.9%
+136
-145
+135
-142
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
0
4
-0.61887
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks65-1 (0.833)0-0.53374 
Sportsbooks65-1 (0.833)0-0.54084 
DRatings65-1 (0.833)0-0.62768
-0.09393
-0.08684

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.