Upcoming Games for September 29, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) San Francisco Giants (78-43) | Michael McGreevy Hayden Birdsong | 40.0% 60.0% | +110 -120 +110 -115 | +1½-190 -1½+165 +1½-185 -1½+170 | 3.65 4.71 | 8.36 | o8½+105 u8½-125 o8½+113 u8+100 | |||
| Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) Washington Nationals (52-68) | Aaron Nola Jake Irvin | 56.1% 43.9% | -156 +143 -165 +150 | -1½+100 +1½-120 -1½-102 +1½-116 | 4.62 3.98 | 8.60 | o8+100 u8-120 o8+100 u8-120 | |||
| Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Ryan Pepiot Quinn Priester | 48.5% 51.5% | -114 -104 | -1½+147 +1½-167 | 4.65 4.81 | 9.46 | o8½-105 u8½-115 | |||
| Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79) New York Yankees (69-52) | Bailey Falter Clarke Schmidt | 34.4% 65.6% | +160 -175 +175 -178 | +1½-137 -1½+117 +1½-130 -1½+115 | 3.89 5.51 | 9.40 | o8½-105 u8½-115 o8½-105 u8½-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Texas Rangers (42-78) Los Angeles Angels (61-61) | Undecided Undecided Jack Kochanowicz | 39.3% 60.7% | 4.88 6.01 | 10.89 | ||||||
| Miami Marlins (51-70) Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) | Ryan Weathers Undecided Undecided | 38.3% 61.7% | 4.02 5.24 | 9.26 | ||||||
| San Diego Padres (67-56) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Martin Perez Brandon Pfaadt | 60.3% 39.7% | +169 -185 +165 -180 | +1½-126 -1½+106 +1½-125 -1½+108 | 4.67 3.60 | 8.27 | o9+100 u9-120 o9+100 u9-120 | |||
| New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | David Peterson Colin Rea | 42.9% 57.1% | -116 +106 -115 +105 | -1½+145 +1½-165 -1½+140 +1½-159 | 4.01 4.75 | 8.76 | o8-110 u8-110 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
| Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | Anthony Banda Ryan Feltner | 60.8% 39.2% | 5.65 4.51 | 10.16 | ||||||
| Houston Astros (70-50) Cleveland Indians (58-61) | Ryan Gusto Nick Sandlin | 55.9% 44.1% | +162 -182 | +1½-139 -1½+119 | 4.46 3.85 | 8.31 | o7½-110 u7½-110 | |||
| Oakland Athletics (68-53) Seattle Mariners (65-56) | Mitch Spence Logan Gilbert | 52.8% 47.2% | +151 -165 +152 -162 | +1½-150 -1½+130 +1½-148 -1½+130 | 5.08 4.79 | 9.87 | o7½-105 u7½-115 o7½-105 u7½-115 | |||
| Chicago White Sox (71-50) Detroit Tigers (58-64) | Jonathan Cannon Undecided Undecided | 57.8% 42.2% | 4.96 4.14 | 9.10 | ||||||
| Baltimore Orioles (38-81) Minnesota Twins (54-67) | Albert Suarez Bailey Ober | 39.2% 60.8% | +148 -167 | +1½-149 -1½+129 | 4.68 5.81 | 10.49 | o7½-110 u7½-110 | |||
| Cincinnati Reds (65-57) Chicago Cubs (54-69) | Hunter Greene Caleb Kilian | 51.6% 48.4% | -119 +101 | -1½+142 +1½-162 | 4.27 4.09 | 8.36 | o7-120 u7+100 | |||
| Kansas City Royals (52-67) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | Alec Marsh Charlie Morton | 38.5% 61.5% | 3.96 5.17 | 9.13 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies Los Angeles Dodgers | 34.7% 65.3% | +286 -330 +290 -325 | +1½+140 -1½-158 +1½+145 -1½-150 | 4 1 | -1.37682-1.38186 | -1.05722 | |
| Chicago White Sox Milwaukee Brewers | 46.8% 53.2% | +160 -175 +169 -167 | +1½-136 -1½+120 +1½-138 -1½+130 | 5 12 | -0.47276-0.46647 | -0.63119 | |
| San Diego Padres Kansas City Royals | 54.5% 45.5% | -128 +118 -131 +125 | -1½+130 +1½-148 -1½+125 +1½-140 | 11 8 | -0.59724-0.57869 | -0.60673 | |
| Minnesota Twins Houston Astros | 38.5% 61.5% | -101 -108 +106 -108 | +1½-205 -1½+180 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 6 1 | -0.70966-0.72737 | -0.95472 | |
| Oakland Athletics Atlanta Braves | 50.9% 49.1% | +196 -218 +200 -220 | +1½-105 -1½-115 +1½+105 -1½-115 | 2 4 | -0.40066-0.39531 | -0.71111 | |
| Texas Rangers Miami Marlins | 43.7% 56.3% | -137 +126 -132 +127 | -1½+120 +1½-139 -1½+125 +1½-143 | 2 8 | -0.83570-0.82924 | -0.57408 | |
| Washington Nationals Cleveland Indians | 49.1% 50.9% | +195 -217 +208 -220 | +1½+100 -1½-115 +1½+102 -1½-115 | 1 7 | -0.40226-0.38680 | -0.67527 | |
| Detroit Tigers Boston Red Sox | 36.1% 63.9% | +150 -164 +155 -163 | +1½-145 -1½+126 +1½-143 -1½+130 | 3 7 | -0.49707-0.49027 | -0.44715 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks New York Mets | 36.3% 63.7% | +107 -117 +111 -118 | +1½-205 -1½+185 +1½-205 -1½+185 | 9 10 | -0.63974-0.62891 | -0.45037 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Toronto Blue Jays | 33.2% 66.8% | +165 -180 +168 -180 | +1½-135 -1½+120 +1½-133 -1½+115 | 3 5 | -0.46185-0.45770 | -0.40405 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Baltimore Orioles | 63.3% 36.7% | +130 -142 +136 -138 | +1½-150 -1½+138 +1½-155 -1½+140 | 1 3 | -0.55443-0.54858 | -1.00245 | |
| St. Louis Cardinals Philadelphia Phillies | 38.8% 61.2% | +180 -198 +189 -200 | +1½-110 -1½-102 +1½-109 -1½-105 | 2 4 | -0.43017-0.41806 | -0.49081 | |
| Cincinnati Reds Chicago Cubs | 51.6% 48.4% | +124 -134 +125 -130 | +1½-165 -1½+146 +1½-170 -1½+150 | 5 4 | -0.82538-0.82055 | -0.66231 | |
| New York Yankees Los Angeles Angels | 55.8% 44.2% | -165 +151 -158 +161 | -1½-115 +1½-103 -1½-105 +1½+105 | 8 3 | -0.49462-0.48591 | -0.58383 | |
| Washington Nationals Atlanta Braves | 44.7% 55.3% | +163 -178 +166 -180 | +1½-125 -1½+110 +1½-120 -1½+106 | 3 1 | -0.98730-0.99696 | -0.80562 | |
| Detroit Tigers Boston Red Sox | 46.4% 53.6% | +107 -117 +110 -117 | +1½-205 -1½+175 +1½-202 -1½+180 | 5 0 | -0.74957-0.75717 | -0.76682 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 7-8 (0.467) | 0 | -0.74152 | |
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 7-8 (0.467) | 0 | -0.74019 | |
| DRatings | 15 | 8-7 (0.533) | 0 | -0.69475 | 0.04677 0.04544 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.