MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 2, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.7%		26.4%


0.97
1.46		2.43


Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)
Orlando City (0-0-0)		32.6%
39.7%		27.6%


1.12
1.27		2.39


New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)
Toronto FC (0-0-0)		25.7%
48.8%		25.4%


1.05
1.55		2.60


Montreal Impact (0-0-0)
Atlanta United (0-0-0)		26.7%
47.1%		26.2%


1.04
1.47		2.51


Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		21.8%
51.3%		27.0%


0.83
1.44		2.27


New England Revolution (0-0-0)
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)		48.3%
25.9%		25.8%


1.51
1.04		2.55


D.C. United (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		23.0%
48.7%		28.2%


0.82
1.33		2.15


Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		32.0%
42.9%		25.1%


1.27
1.52		2.79


Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		40.7%
32.0%		27.4%


1.30
1.12		2.42


Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		50.4%
24.6%		25.0%


1.60
1.04		2.64


FC Dallas (0-0-0)
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)		44.5%
29.5%		26.0%


1.46
1.14		2.60


Austin FC (0-0-0)
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)		25.8%
47.8%		26.4%


1.00
1.46		2.46


Games for Oct 1, 2024
Games for Oct 3, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles Galaxy		37.7%
36.3%		26.0%
+154
+170
+155
+157
2
0		-0.94925-0.98224-0.97514
Seattle Sounders
Colorado Rapids		37.9%
34.8%		27.3%
+282
+101
+255
+120
1
1		-1.34738-1.33439-1.29946
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Dallas		26.5%
49.5%		24.0%
+400
-137
+350
-140
2
2		-1.46020-1.45925-1.42553
Los Angeles FC
Real Salt Lake		44.4%
31.2%		24.5%
+115
+243
+125
+220
1
0		-0.77716-0.83085-0.81229
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo		37.4%
34.5%		28.0%
+305
-105
+295
-105
1
1		-1.35309-1.33332-1.27229
Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC		34.4%
34.3%		31.3%
+290
+110
+280
+105
0
1		-0.76415-0.76613-1.07017
Atlanta United
Chicago Fire		35.2%
36.6%		28.2%
+330
-119
+301
-115
0
3		-0.64179-0.67205-1.00493
San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United		26.8%
51.8%		21.4%
+485
-185
+460
-185
2
2		-1.57988-1.55277-1.54066
Inter Miami CF
Montreal Impact		33.5%
37.9%		28.6%
+160
+180
+161
+170
0
1		-1.06077-1.03733-0.97022
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City		30.0%
43.8%		26.2%
+400
-150
+380
-150
2
1		-1.63887-1.61400-1.20517
Toronto FC
D.C. United		45.2%
29.5%		25.3%
+340
-114
+330
-115
1
7		-0.65608-0.67368-1.22058
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew		30.8%
40.1%		29.2%
+165
+170
+160
+170
2
2		-1.29598-1.30298-1.23272
Portland Timbers
Austin FC		38.0%
33.6%		28.4%
+233
+125
+230
+120
1
4		-0.82947-0.82851-1.09050
New England Revolution
FC Dallas		34.4%
36.1%		29.5%
+110
+266
+110
+230
1
2		-1.29689-1.22520-1.01935
Columbus Crew
Austin FC		39.5%
31.0%		29.5%
+170
+175
+175
+170
0
0		-1.26196-1.23028-1.22109
D.C. United
New York City		26.5%
49.2%		24.3%
+475
-164
+450
-160
1
2		-0.51153-0.53464-0.70958
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks124-3-5 (0.542)0-1.12482 
Sportsbooks124-3-5 (0.542)0-1.10968 
DRatings126-1-5 (0.708)0-1.02796
0.09686
0.08172

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%