MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 2, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.7%		26.4%


0.97
1.46		2.43


Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)
Orlando City (0-0-0)		32.6%
39.7%		27.6%


1.12
1.27		2.39


New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)
Toronto FC (0-0-0)		25.7%
48.8%		25.4%


1.05
1.55		2.60


Montreal Impact (0-0-0)
Atlanta United (0-0-0)		26.7%
47.1%		26.2%


1.04
1.47		2.51


Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		21.8%
51.3%		27.0%


0.83
1.44		2.27


New England Revolution (0-0-0)
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)		48.3%
25.9%		25.8%


1.51
1.04		2.55


D.C. United (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		23.0%
48.7%		28.2%


0.82
1.33		2.15


Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		32.0%
42.9%		25.1%


1.27
1.52		2.79


Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		40.7%
32.0%		27.4%


1.30
1.12		2.42


Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		50.4%
24.6%		25.0%


1.60
1.04		2.64


FC Dallas (0-0-0)
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)		44.5%
29.5%		26.0%


1.46
1.14		2.60


Austin FC (0-0-0)
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)		25.8%
47.8%		26.4%


1.00
1.46		2.46


Games for Oct 1, 2024
Games for Oct 5, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United		32.0%
40.1%		27.8%
+275
+105
+265
+100
0
0		-1.33275-1.33139-1.27870
Minnesota United
Portland Timbers		33.5%
39.6%		26.9%
+240
+110
+230
+105
1
0		-1.24695-1.24008-1.09237
Los Angeles Galaxy
San Jose Earthquakes		40.6%
34.7%		24.7%
+224
+120
+221
+110
3
1		-1.18869-1.21588-0.90103
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders		24.6%
53.9%		21.4%
+700
-200
+750
-215
2
2		-1.52993-1.50873-1.53996
Montreal Impact
Nashville SC		28.7%
43.0%		28.3%
+500
-150
+485
-150
1
1		-1.39901-1.34869-1.26302
Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake		30.2%
44.5%		25.4%
+275
+105
+270
+110
1
1		-1.32479-1.29470-1.37212
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire		38.6%
34.0%		27.4%
+195
+135
+190
+140
3
3		-1.35046-1.34950-1.29514
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC		27.3%
48.3%		24.4%
+285
+100
+330
-105
2
0		-1.37208-1.46651-1.29773
Los Angeles FC
Sporting Kansas City		38.1%
36.2%		25.7%
+255
+103
+235
+110
1
2		-0.72844-0.76634-1.01675
Orlando City
Inter Miami CF		39.7%
32.1%		28.2%
+112
+262
+110
+245
2
1		-0.76591-0.78117-0.92286
FC Dallas
Los Angeles FC		30.0%
45.6%		24.4%
+800
-290
+780
-235
0
2		-0.32447-0.34984-0.78528
Los Angeles Galaxy
Vancouver Whitecaps		41.1%
33.6%		25.3%
+120
+230
+120
+220
2
1		-0.81450-0.82508-0.88851
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders		27.6%
47.7%		24.7%
+420
-140
+420
-140
1
2		-0.55377-0.56740-0.74085
Toronto FC
Nashville SC		35.7%
34.2%		30.2%
+290
+105
+275
+105
2
3		-0.74265-0.76529-1.07379
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo		45.4%
29.9%		24.8%
+325
-119
+295
+115
2
2		-1.43334-1.35406-1.39598
Colorado Rapids
Sporting Kansas City		31.9%
42.7%		25.4%
+375
-145
+360
-150
1
3		-0.55323-0.55956-0.84982
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks124-3-5 (0.542)0-1.12482 
Sportsbooks124-3-5 (0.542)0-1.10968 
DRatings126-1-5 (0.708)0-1.02796
0.09686
0.08172

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%