MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.5%		26.6%
+200
+125
+200
+145
0.95
1.45		2.40
o3¼-115
u3¼-102
o3½+105
u3½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		33.7%
37.4%		28.9%
+395
-147
+376
-145
1.07
1.15		2.22
o3-102
u3-118
o3+105
u3-120
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		35.5%
36.7%		27.8%
+228
+121
+217
+120
1.18
1.20		2.38
o2¾-115
u2¾-104
o3+120
u3-125
Orlando City (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		29.6%
41.8%		28.5%
+330
-131
+340
-135
1.00
1.24		2.24
o3-110
u3-109
o3-105
u3-105
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+210
+120
+230
+120
1.19
1.35		2.54
o3-125
u3¼-123
o3-125
u3+110
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+152
+184
+152
+180
1.03
1.52		2.55
o2½-118
u2½-101
o2½-115
u2½+105
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		26.0%
44.1%		29.9%
+145
+200
+140
+195
0.85
1.19		2.04
o2¾-103
u2¾-115
o2½-125
u2½+110
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		39.9%
33.5%		26.6%
+153
+163
+150
+195
1.34
1.21		2.55
o3-108
u3-103
o2½-145
u3+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		41.1%
31.6%		27.2%
+300
-123
+290
-125
1.32
1.12		2.44
o3½-102
u3½-117
o3½+100
u3½-118
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		39.5%
33.9%		26.6%
+387
-148
+370
-145
1.33
1.22		2.55
o3-118
u3+100
o3-120
u3+105
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		24.4%
52.3%		23.2%
+320
-132
+315
-135
1.15
1.79		2.94
o3½-108
u3½-110
o3½+110
u3½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rapids
Inter Miami CF		36.0%
35.4%		28.6%
+210
+135
+270
+128
2
2		-1.32655-1.30663-1.25337
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati		34.8%
35.5%		29.6%
+240
+130
+235
+130
2
1		-1.25520-1.24911-1.05501
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps		51.5%
24.3%		24.2%
+550
-180
+525
-180
0
4		-0.47015-0.48472-1.41416
D.C. United
Columbus Crew		18.9%
56.2%		24.9%
+440
-145
+380
-145
1
1		-1.45009-1.45415-1.38914
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United		29.6%
43.3%		27.1%
+375
-145
+350
-140
0
3		-0.55886-0.58010-0.83739
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+270
+107
+265
+100
2
3		-0.75090-0.74070-1.34258
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles Galaxy		40.5%
33.4%		26.1%
+295
-108
+275
-105
0
1		-0.68703-0.70627-1.09778
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC		35.4%
31.8%		32.9%
+140
+220
+135
+210
2
2		-1.25513-1.29634-1.11258
FC Dallas
Austin FC		35.8%
34.4%		29.8%
+211
+150
+200
+145
1
2		-0.93354-0.93532-1.06682
San Jose Earthquakes
Houston Dynamo		34.1%
40.0%		25.9%
+455
-132
+400
-130
1
2		-0.59050-0.61639-0.91599
New York City
Inter Miami CF		39.7%
31.6%		28.7%
+290
-107
+300
-110
1
1		-1.38059-1.35743-1.24845
Montreal Impact
D.C. United		35.2%
36.2%		28.6%
+320
-122
+325
-125
0
1		-0.62972-0.63085-1.01675
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City		26.8%
46.8%		26.4%
+270
+118
+240
+130
1
1		-1.22758-1.22322-1.33241
Sporting Kansas City
Toronto FC		30.0%
44.2%		25.8%
+208
+155
+200
+165
3
1		-1.14460-1.11685-1.20507
Los Angeles FC
Colorado Rapids		43.0%
32.1%		24.9%
+165
+175
+162
+185
2
3		-1.03795-1.06543-1.13781
Minnesota United
Philadelphia Union		31.0%
42.0%		27.0%
+410
-160
+393
-145
0
2		-0.51770-0.54623-0.86648
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%