MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
D.C. United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		20.4%
55.6%		24.0%
+270
-107
+275
-113
0.92
1.70		2.62
o3-125
u3ΒΌ-122
o3-120
u3+110
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Fire
D.C. United		38.8%
33.2%		28.1%
+305
-110
+320
-112
0
4		-0.67023-0.67062-1.10337
Orlando City
FC Cincinnati		41.5%
30.4%		28.0%
+382
-130
+380
-118
1
0		-1.59830-1.58831-0.87895
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City		20.2%
56.7%		23.1%
+310
-110
+265
+105
1
1		-1.37516-1.35375-1.46521
Los Angeles Galaxy
San Jose Earthquakes		42.1%
33.1%		24.8%
+285
+100
+258
-105
3
2		-1.36410-1.32535-0.86472
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers		24.7%
50.2%		25.2%
+294
-112
+280
+115
1
2		-0.67276-0.74672-0.69005
Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+458
-170
+440
-145
0
3		-0.49710-0.53787-0.78697
Columbus Crew
Houston Dynamo		51.1%
23.3%		25.6%
+350
-125
+335
+116
0
2		-0.60923-0.70477-1.45526
Vancouver Whitecaps
Chicago Fire		24.7%
50.7%		24.6%
+212
+125
+205
+126
1
0		-1.17176-1.15148-1.39897
Seattle Sounders
Austin FC		40.7%
31.0%		28.3%
+311
-110
+285
+102
2
1		-1.44804-1.37283-0.89919
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC		31.5%
41.7%		26.8%
-105
+275
-108
+285
1
3		-1.35019-1.37972-0.87548
Montreal Impact
New York City		24.5%
50.4%		25.1%
+393
-132
+360
-132
0
2		-0.59499-0.60899-0.68568
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution		27.2%
45.5%		27.3%
+185
+155
+185
+150
0
1		-0.96443-0.96029-0.78779
Nashville SC
Inter Miami CF		35.6%
32.1%		32.3%
+550
-205
+515
-205
0
0		-1.61888-1.58548-1.12986
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United		27.0%
45.4%		27.5%
+280
-105
+260
-105
2
1		-1.35406-1.32013-1.30922
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United		34.3%
37.9%		27.8%
+220
+122
+228
+120
1
1		-1.33701-1.30726-1.28121
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers		19.7%
57.7%		22.6%
+181
+135
+235
+135
3
2		-1.06717-1.18264-1.62283
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks116-1-4 (0.727)0-0.99028 
Sportsbooks116-1-4 (0.727)0-1.00578 
DRatings113-4-4 (0.455)0-1.11348
-0.12320
-0.10770

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%