MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		29.3%
40.8%		30.0%
+182
+148
+180
+150
0.92
1.15		2.07
o2¾-123
u2¾+105
o3+110
u3-125
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		32.7%
40.7%		26.6%
+360
-147
+380
-145
1.19
1.36		2.55
o2¾-110
u2¾-110
o2½-135
u2½+115
Games for Aug 16, 2025
Games for Aug 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Union
D.C. United		46.8%
26.7%		26.6%
+200
+131
+200
+130
2
2		-1.34419-1.33594-1.32550
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes		54.7%
23.5%		21.8%
+115
+227
+105
+225
1
3		-1.21500-1.22926-1.44855
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City		23.8%
50.4%		25.8%
+240
+122
+233
+120
1
0		-1.24970-1.25078-1.43620
FC Dallas
Toronto FC		28.1%
45.4%		26.5%
+280
+105
+280
+100
1
3		-0.74248-0.74087-0.78889
Seattle Sounders
Philadelphia Union		32.7%
39.4%		27.8%


3
2		-1.11636
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC		28.7%
46.7%		24.5%
+610
-220
+610
-220
2
3		-0.40264-0.41284-0.76083
San Jose Earthquakes
Nashville SC		22.7%
51.7%		25.6%
+330
-110
+311
-110
1
1		-1.33861-1.31461-1.36289
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United		32.3%
41.1%		26.6%
+300
-105
+290
-110
1
2		-0.69681-0.69589-0.88989
Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas		21.7%
54.1%		24.2%
+180
+178
+170
+176
0
2		-1.04214-1.06415-0.61447
Atlanta United
Chicago Fire		34.9%
36.9%		28.2%
+200
+127
+190
+130
0
0		-1.40039-1.37690-1.26528
Seattle Sounders
D.C. United		47.3%
26.2%		26.5%
+255
+110
+260
+110
1
2		-0.76970-0.76949-1.34121
Colorado Rapids
FC Cincinnati		36.2%
35.4%		28.4%
+390
-130
+375
-140
1
2		-0.58075-0.58193-1.03801
Inter Miami CF
New England Revolution		24.2%
49.0%		26.8%
+135
+175
+146
+175
4
1		-0.89588-0.92321-1.41927
Real Salt Lake
Philadelphia Union		23.7%
51.0%		25.3%
+328
-120
+341
-125
2
1		-1.48263-1.51873-1.44045
Montreal Impact
Columbus Crew		21.4%
53.4%		25.2%
+465
-167
+400
-160
0
0		-1.49303-1.49633-1.37714
Toronto FC
Orlando City		33.8%
38.9%		27.2%
+720
-205
+675
-215
2
1		-2.11097-2.08578-1.08382
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks106-1-3 (0.750)0-0.94948 
Sportsbooks107-0-3 (0.850)0-0.95468 
DRatings105-2-3 (0.650)0-1.10315
-0.15367
-0.14848

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%