MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		32.7%
40.7%		26.6%
+390
-142
+380
-145
1.19
1.36		2.55
o3-102
u3-112
o2½-135
u3-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 16, 2025
Games for Aug 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Toronto FC
Orlando City		33.8%
38.9%		27.2%
+720
-205
+675
-215
2
1		-2.11097-2.08578-1.08382
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York Red Bulls		23.8%
51.1%		25.1%
+425
-143
+397
-140
1
1		-1.39574-1.39143-1.38322
Los Angeles Galaxy
Austin FC		34.0%
39.0%		26.9%
+157
+165
+150
+160
0
2		-1.00174-0.99699-0.94135
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles Galaxy		25.6%
51.7%		22.8%
+480
-180
+470
-174
3
4		-0.44939-0.47270-0.66049
New York Red Bulls
Los Angeles FC		23.9%
52.5%		23.6%
+368
-123
+370
-120
2
2		-1.34723-1.34040-1.44553
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders		18.5%
59.3%		22.2%
+415
-128
+425
-125
2
0		-1.66099-1.67654-1.68697
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids		34.0%
37.9%		28.1%
+475
-155
+465
-150
1
2		-0.53849-0.55356-0.97083
Austin FC
Houston Dynamo		39.9%
32.4%		27.7%
+395
-135
+395
-130
1
0		-1.63173-1.62602-0.91927
Real Salt Lake
Chicago Fire		30.1%
43.0%		26.9%
+276
+100
+245
+115
4
0		-1.35313-1.26330-1.20204
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United		27.0%
45.4%		27.5%
+251
+105
+260
+100
2
1		-1.28754-1.30956-1.30922
New England Revolution
Toronto FC		30.5%
42.5%		27.0%
+223
+130
+210
+135
0
1		-0.85109-0.88768-0.85588
D.C. United
New York City		21.7%
53.5%		24.8%
+418
-140
+395
-125
0
2		-0.57449-0.60495-0.62467
Orlando City
Montreal Impact		43.0%
30.2%		26.7%
+150
+192
+150
+180
2
2		-1.28057-1.29474-1.31923
Portland Timbers
Columbus Crew		29.0%
42.8%		28.2%
+520
-175
+525
-175
2
2		-1.52376-1.45047-1.26642
Nashville SC
Inter Miami CF		35.6%
32.1%		32.3%
+700
-235
+700
-235
1
3		-0.36616-0.40211-1.13606
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United		36.0%
35.1%		28.8%
+188
+137
+200
+130
2
2		-1.37658-1.36187-1.24410
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks43-1-0 (0.750)0-0.81846 
Sportsbooks44-0-0 (1.000)0-0.80978 
DRatings43-1-0 (0.750)0-1.02796
-0.20949
-0.21817

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%