MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%


0.88
1.12		2.00


Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%


1.36
0.90		2.26


Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%


1.56
1.14		2.70


New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%


1.14
1.12		2.26


Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%


1.03
1.38		2.41


San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%


1.19
1.56		2.75


Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%


1.04
1.24		2.28


Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%


1.09
1.12		2.21


Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%


1.36
1.17		2.53


Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%


1.14
1.51		2.65


Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%


1.56
1.08		2.64


Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+323
-115

0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-112
u2½-105

Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Sep 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Minnesota United
Portland Timbers		32.1%
41.0%		26.9%
+295
-103
+275
+100
1
0		-1.39715-1.35802-1.13560
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC		17.2%
63.8%		19.0%
+453
-166
+470
-165
1
2		-0.49825-0.50397-0.44920
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids		28.7%
45.2%		26.2%
+357
-125
+330
-110
3
2		-1.55306-1.47793-1.24935
Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas		21.7%
54.1%		24.2%
+348
-112
+330
-110
1
1		-1.29960-1.35437-1.41762
Atlanta United
Chicago Fire		34.9%
36.9%		28.2%
+199
+141
+196
+135
3
3		-1.31379-1.31100-1.26528
Toronto FC
Austin FC		41.7%
30.9%		27.5%
+282
+110
+288
+105
0
1		-0.76140-0.73716-1.17571
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union		31.2%
40.8%		28.0%
+278
+107
+275
+100
0
3		-0.75266-0.73012-0.89578
Montreal Impact
New York Red Bulls		28.4%
44.7%		26.8%
+440
-135
+435
-136
1
2		-0.58738-0.59508-0.80459
Orlando City
Inter Miami CF		41.4%
30.4%		28.2%
+200
+158
+200
+145
3
1		-1.12230-1.12948-0.88303
Los Angeles Galaxy
D.C. United		40.2%
33.4%		26.4%
+227
+123
+235
+115
0
3		-0.82908-0.80602-1.09802
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati		42.9%
27.9%		29.2%
+232
+126
+270
+118
2
3		-0.83887-0.77496-1.27809
Austin FC
Seattle Sounders		24.4%
49.5%		26.1%
+558
-179
+510
-160
2
1		-1.90461-1.82282-1.41247
Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles FC		28.1%
47.9%		24.0%
+700
-238
+596
-240
1
1		-1.66988-1.68967-1.42545
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake		41.1%
31.6%		27.2%
+246
+115
+290
+105
0
0		-1.34827-1.35201-1.30026
Inter Miami CF
Nashville SC		26.0%
43.7%		30.3%
+615
-189
+540
-180
1
2		-0.44917-0.48682-0.82826
Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United		20.1%
57.5%		22.4%
+477
-149
+422
-110
0
1		-0.53498-0.62144-0.55266
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67704 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67761 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58677
0.09027
0.09084

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%