MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%


0.88
1.12		2.00


Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%


1.36
0.90		2.26


Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%


1.56
1.14		2.70


New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%


1.14
1.12		2.26


Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%


1.03
1.38		2.41


San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%


1.19
1.56		2.75


Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%


1.04
1.24		2.28


Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%


1.09
1.12		2.21


Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%


1.36
1.17		2.53


Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%


1.14
1.51		2.65


Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%


1.56
1.08		2.64


Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+323
-115

0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-112
u2½-105

Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Sep 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Dallas		21.6%
53.9%		24.5%
+256
+121
+275
+110
1
2		-0.81597-0.76619-0.61810
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC		25.7%
48.8%		25.4%
+245
+133
+225
+140
0
0		-1.20718-1.21019-1.36920
D.C. United
Philadelphia Union		20.4%
55.6%		24.0%
+395
-127
+395
-135
0
0		-1.36712-1.37781-1.42662
New York City
Orlando City		31.0%
41.6%		27.4%
+223
+147
+215
+140
1
1		-1.20058-1.21963-1.29642
Los Angeles Galaxy
Columbus Crew		24.6%
50.5%		24.9%
+367
-138
+330
-120
0
2		-0.56909-0.62493-0.68367
Montreal Impact
FC Cincinnati		31.4%
40.4%		28.2%
+408
-143
+415
-160
0
3		-0.56493-0.52420-0.90580
Colorado Rapids
Atlanta United		31.3%
41.7%		27.0%
+377
-130
+325
-130
0
4		-0.59207-0.62282-0.87431
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles Galaxy		25.6%
51.7%		22.8%
+292
-110
+260
+101
1
2		-0.66918-0.72311-0.66049
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers		19.7%
57.7%		22.6%
+201
+140
+200
+135
1
3		-0.90103-0.89416-0.55050
Los Angeles FC
Real Salt Lake		47.5%
27.9%		24.6%
+130
+214
+130
+206
3
0		-0.85264-0.86427-0.74518
Philadelphia Union
Colorado Rapids		38.0%
34.6%		27.5%
+230
+130
+220
+125
2
1		-1.21325-1.21295-0.96793
Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo		50.6%
24.7%		24.7%
+209
+150
+205
+150
1
0		-1.14835-1.14119-0.68189
Minnesota United
Sporting Kansas City		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+298
+100
+280
+100
0
3		-0.71445-0.73326-0.90780
FC Dallas
Austin FC		35.8%
34.4%		29.8%
+207
+145
+208
+140
1
0		-1.15100-1.15566-1.02739
New England Revolution
Inter Miami CF		40.3%
30.7%		29.0%
+140
+213
+135
+207
1
2		-1.16671-1.16607-1.18019
New York City
New York Red Bulls		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+289
+116
+265
+119
0
1		-0.80214-0.82608-1.05045
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67704 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67761 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58677
0.09027
0.09084

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%