MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+261
+105
+260
+100
0.88
1.12		2.00
o2¾-110
u2¾-108
o2½-135
u2½+115
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+135
+180
+135
+180
1.36
0.90		2.26
o3¼-103
u3¼-115
o3-145
u3+125
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%
+261
-105
+250
+100
1.56
1.14		2.70
o3-112
u3-107
o3-120
u3+100
New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+225
+114
+220
+115
1.14
1.12		2.26
o2¾-122
u3-124
o3+105
u3-125
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+307
-130
+300
-130
1.03
1.38		2.41
o3¼-118
u3¼+100
o3½+105
u3½-125
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%
+279
-115
+285
-115
1.19
1.56		2.75
o3-120
u3+102
o3-120
u3+100
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%
+190
+135
+190
+135
1.04
1.24		2.28
o3+100
u3-118
o3+100
u3-120
Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%
+185
+142
+185
+145
1.09
1.12		2.21
o2¾-110
u2¾-110
o2½-140
u2½+120
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+285
-110
+270
-105
1.36
1.17		2.53
o2¾-106
u2¾-112
o2½-140
u2½+120
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+227
+105
+215
+110
1.14
1.51		2.65
o3¼-115
u3¼-104
o3½+105
u3½-125
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+245
-107
+245
-105
1.56
1.08		2.64
o3½-102
u3½-115
o3½-105
u3½-115
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+333
-115
+300
-110
0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-111
u2½-108
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Sep 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls		39.8%
32.8%		27.4%
+785
-300
+850
-335
0
2		-0.32392-0.30933-1.11590
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy		38.7%
35.1%		26.2%
+328
-119
+320
-118
1
1		-1.42238-1.37662-1.33964
Los Angeles FC
Seattle Sounders		35.7%
38.0%		26.3%
+188
+145
+215
+140
1
1		-1.34159-1.29277-1.33591
Orlando City
New England Revolution		32.6%
39.2%		28.2%
+419
-145
+390
-145
1
1		-1.45745-1.45004-1.26677
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders		18.5%
59.3%		22.2%
+410
-130
+450
-144
0
4		-0.57994-0.54607-0.52283
New England Revolution
Sporting Kansas City		33.1%
39.1%		27.8%
+137
+216
+128
+215
2
1		-0.88201-0.86907-1.10615
San Jose Earthquakes
Nashville SC		22.7%
51.7%		25.6%
+374
-120
+350
-120
0
0		-1.39078-1.36732-1.36289
Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps		38.5%
33.8%		27.7%
+152
+208
+180
+190
1
2		-1.14917-1.05231-1.08441
Austin FC
Los Angeles Galaxy		31.2%
42.4%		26.4%
+329
-121
+300
-120
1
4		-0.62371-0.64764-0.85807
Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake		26.9%
47.6%		25.5%
+350
-107
+300
+105
0
3		-0.67438-0.72735-0.74248
Vancouver Whitecaps
Sporting Kansas City		20.3%
57.2%		22.5%
+305
+110
+340
-105
1
0		-1.40993-1.50648-1.59371
Nashville SC
Colorado Rapids		32.9%
37.3%		29.8%
+372
-109
+345
-115
3
1		-1.57397-1.53721-1.11124
New York City
Minnesota United		32.2%
40.5%		27.3%
+111
+251
+100
+255
1
0		-0.76845-0.73702-1.13361
Portland Timbers
Inter Miami CF		40.8%
31.2%		28.0%
+210
+145
+190
+135
1
2		-0.91004-0.90515-1.16398
FC Cincinnati
Montreal Impact		32.7%
39.1%		28.2%
+335
-120
+335
-135
3
4		-0.63117-0.58798-0.93864
FC Dallas
Orlando City		29.1%
43.4%		27.4%
+204
+155
+210
+140
3
1		-1.12442-1.15607-1.23316
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%