MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+261
+105
+260
+100
0.88
1.12		2.00
o2¾-110
u2¾-108
o2½-135
u2½+115
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+135
+180
+135
+180
1.36
0.90		2.26
o3¼-103
u3¼-115
o3-145
u3+125
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%
+261
-105
+250
+100
1.56
1.14		2.70
o3-112
u3-107
o3-120
u3+100
New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+225
+114
+220
+115
1.14
1.12		2.26
o2¾-122
u3-124
o3+105
u3-125
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+307
-130
+300
-130
1.03
1.38		2.41
o3¼-118
u3¼+100
o3½+105
u3½-125
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%
+279
-115
+285
-115
1.19
1.56		2.75
o3-120
u3+102
o3-120
u3+100
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%
+190
+135
+190
+135
1.04
1.24		2.28
o3+100
u3-118
o3+100
u3-120
Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%
+185
+142
+185
+145
1.09
1.12		2.21
o2¾-110
u2¾-110
o2½-140
u2½+120
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+285
-110
+270
-105
1.36
1.17		2.53
o2¾-106
u2¾-112
o2½-140
u2½+120
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+227
+105
+215
+110
1.14
1.51		2.65
o3¼-115
u3¼-104
o3½+105
u3½-125
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+245
-107
+245
-105
1.56
1.08		2.64
o3½-102
u3½-115
o3½-105
u3½-115
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+333
-115
+300
-110
0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-111
u2½-108
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Sep 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution		32.8%
38.6%		28.5%
+290
+101
+275
-105
1
1		-1.33025-1.36626-1.25397
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC		25.1%
50.3%		24.6%
+160
+177
+150
+190
2
3		-1.03973-1.09637-0.68720
D.C. United
New York Red Bulls		25.3%
48.1%		26.5%
+491
-164
+500
-170
1
4		-0.49618-0.50493-0.73158
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United		37.4%
32.7%		30.0%
+305
-106
+290
-110
2
1		-1.41973-1.41022-0.98470
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC		17.2%
63.8%		19.0%
+422
-145
+430
-164
2
3		-0.53464-0.51767-0.44920
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers		33.4%
39.0%		27.6%
+210
+145
+225
+135
2
0		-1.15594-1.20731-1.09763
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles Galaxy		24.5%
52.5%		23.0%
+395
-127
+395
-130
3
0		-1.62040-1.63276-1.40691
Seattle Sounders
Colorado Rapids		38.7%
34.1%		27.3%
+295
+107
+305
-105
0
1		-0.74769-0.69800-1.07699
Orlando City
Austin FC		39.7%
31.9%		28.4%
+280
+102
+270
+110
2
2		-1.34037-1.34454-1.25998
Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes		47.4%
28.1%		24.5%
+341
-115
+360
-123
1
1		-1.37504-1.33071-1.40813
Minnesota United
FC Dallas		34.0%
37.6%		28.4%
+276
+106
+340
+100
2
1		-1.34584-1.44932-1.07896
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami CF		34.7%
35.5%		29.8%
-107
+328
-105
+300
0
2		-1.47674-1.42549-1.03578
Chicago Fire
New York City		27.4%
46.5%		26.1%
+580
-192
+675
-195
0
1		-0.44055-0.41235-0.76477
Real Salt Lake
Montreal Impact		33.0%
39.2%		27.8%
+440
-150
+525
-160
2
1		-1.71447-1.84320-1.10900
Atlanta United
Nashville SC		30.6%
38.5%		31.0%
+290
+111
+290
+100
2
2		-1.26252-1.27307-1.17244
Toronto FC
D.C. United		48.5%
25.9%		25.6%
+613
-221
+589
-180
2
2		-1.66163-1.58129-1.36442
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%