MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+261
+105
+260
+101
0.88
1.12		2.00
o2¾-112
u2¾-108
o2½-135
u2½+115
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+135
+182
+136
+185
1.36
0.90		2.26
o3¼-104
u3¼-115
o3-145
u3½-140
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%
+272
-110
+253
+100
1.56
1.14		2.70
o3-112
u3-108
o3-112
u3+100
New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+225
+115
+220
+115
1.14
1.12		2.26
o2¾-119
u2¾+102
o3+105
u3-125
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+310
-132
+300
-130
1.03
1.38		2.41
o3¼-118
u3¼+100
o3½+105
u3½-125
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%
+285
-115
+285
-115
1.19
1.56		2.75
o3-120
u3+102
o3-120
u3+100
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%
+190
+135
+190
+135
1.04
1.24		2.28
o3+100
u3-118
o3+100
u3-120
Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%
+195
+135
+198
+145
1.09
1.12		2.21
o2¾-110
u2¾-109
o2½-138
u2½+120
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+257
+103
+262
+105
1.36
1.17		2.53
o2¾-106
u2¾-112
o2½-130
u2½+120
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+227
+104
+241
+105
1.14
1.51		2.65
o3¼-115
u3¼-104
o3½+108
u3½-125
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+245
-107
+245
-105
1.56
1.08		2.64
o3½-102
u3½-115
o3½-102
u3½-115
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+340
-120
+350
-110
0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-112
u2½-108
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Sep 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles FC		28.1%
47.9%		24.0%
+565
-184
+580
-200
1
3		-0.45383-0.44565-0.73649
Real Salt Lake
New York City		25.1%
49.0%		25.8%
+715
-208
+685
-195
0
6		-0.41456-0.43473-0.71268
Inter Miami CF
Seattle Sounders		23.1%
51.1%		25.8%
+340
-109
+460
-115
1
0		-1.49839-1.70633-1.46724
Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+245
+139
+225
+130
1
3		-0.86691-0.86474-0.78697
Los Angeles Galaxy
Chicago Fire		33.5%
40.7%		25.8%
+178
+165
+215
+160
0
0		-1.27737-1.23028-1.35635
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC		31.5%
41.7%		26.8%
+133
+220
+130
+221
1
2		-1.18780-1.19389-0.87548
Austin FC
D.C. United		37.0%
33.5%		29.5%
+289
+101
+275
+100
3
2		-1.38581-1.34458-0.99487
Orlando City
Columbus Crew		29.6%
41.8%		28.5%
+380
-115
+380
-135
2
0		-1.57988-1.60709-1.21591
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls		34.2%
36.5%		29.3%
+384
-122
+380
-127
0
0		-1.33041-1.34569-1.22704
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo		48.8%
26.2%		25.0%
+238
+127
+230
+120
0
0		-1.27050-1.29517-1.38673
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United		27.0%
45.4%		27.5%
+401
-135
+380
-135
0
0		-1.42134-1.37995-1.28953
Nashville SC
San Jose Earthquakes		42.8%
29.2%		27.9%
+170
+191
+150
+190
2
2		-1.21507-1.24067-1.27590
Minnesota United
Austin FC		38.7%
33.1%		28.3%
+250
+107
+255
+105
0
1		-0.75375-0.74343-1.10636
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+165
+184
+180
+173
3
2		-0.99126-1.04703-0.72048
Colorado Rapids
FC Dallas		30.5%
42.4%		27.1%
+335
+101
+305
+110
1
3		-0.71859-0.76774-0.85753
San Jose Earthquakes
Houston Dynamo		34.1%
40.0%		25.9%
+390
-136
+336
-120
3
4		-0.57807-0.64012-0.91599
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%