MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+245
+112
+245
+105
0.88
1.12		2.00
o2¾-111
u2¾-108
o2½-130
u2½+115
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+146
+175
+140
+175
1.36
0.90		2.26
o3¼+100
u3¼-118
o3-140
u3½-140
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%
+285
-110
+283
-115
1.56
1.14		2.70
o3-110
u3-105
o3-115
u3+100
New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+223
+117
+220
+115
1.14
1.12		2.26
o2½-150
u3-124
o3+105
u3-125
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+360
-135
+360
-145
1.03
1.38		2.41
o3¼-118
u3¼+100
o3½+105
u3½-125
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%
+305
-115
+300
-120
1.19
1.56		2.75
o3-120
u3+104
o3-120
u3+105
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%
+190
+142
+185
+135
1.04
1.24		2.28
o3+100
u3-115
o3+100
u3-120
Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%
+190
+145
+185
+140
1.09
1.12		2.21
o2¾+100
u2¾-108
o2½-140
u2½+120
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+256
+110
+250
+108
1.36
1.17		2.53
o2¾-102
u2¾-115
o2½-125
u2½+120
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+265
+100
+275
-110
1.14
1.51		2.65
o3¼-118
u3¼-101
o3½+105
u3½-125
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+260
-108
+250
-105
1.56
1.08		2.64
o3½-101
u3½-115
o3½+100
u3½-120
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+375
-125
+360
-130
0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-110
u2½-105
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Oct 2, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo		34.8%
40.5%		24.7%
+375
-130
+350
-115
0
0		-1.41358-1.36477-1.39910
Austin FC
Colorado Rapids		32.6%
42.0%		25.4%
+625
-225
+610
-175
0
3		-0.39369-0.43100-0.86802
Orlando City
Nashville SC		35.7%
36.1%		28.3%
+450
-140
+432
-140
2
2		-1.36289-1.34908-1.26390
Sporting Kansas City
FC Dallas		35.5%
38.6%		25.8%
+220
+115
+210
+110
3
1		-1.18738-1.18202-1.03431
New York City
Chicago Fire		38.4%
36.1%		25.5%
+115
+255
+110
+270
0
2		-1.28035-1.32137-1.01949
Minnesota United
D.C. United		43.5%
31.4%		25.1%
+450
-159
+410
-110
1
3		-0.52339-0.61349-1.15935
New England Revolution
Montreal Impact		41.2%
33.1%		25.7%
+135
+205
+155
+183
4
1		-0.87782-0.95540-0.88778
Philadelphia Union
New York Red Bulls		38.7%
35.2%		26.1%
+235
+130
+225
+130
1
1		-1.22960-1.22758-1.34220
Inter Miami CF
Atlanta United		30.3%
43.4%		26.3%
+570
-200
+575
-210
0
1		-0.42941-0.42492-0.83418
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC		27.5%
48.6%		23.9%
+320
-120
+310
-120
2
3		-0.64219-0.65089-0.72097
Los Angeles Galaxy
Austin FC		35.8%
39.3%		24.8%
+135
+190
+155
+175
0
2		-1.08859-1.02051-0.93341
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas City		36.3%
38.4%		25.3%
+301
+105
+300
+100
2
1		-1.39618-1.41371-1.01330
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire		35.6%
36.5%		28.0%
+170
+178
+161
+170
0
0		-1.27454-1.27029-1.27404
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers		29.0%
46.9%		24.2%
+270
+113
+250
+110
1
6		-0.74902-0.76402-0.75784
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes		50.2%
29.0%		20.8%
+170
+174
+170
+165
0
2		-1.01355-1.01556-1.23763
FC Dallas
Vancouver Whitecaps		43.3%
31.3%		25.4%
+215
+130
+211
+125
0
1		-0.85878-0.85750-1.16072
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%