MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+245
+112
+245
+105
0.88
1.12		2.00
o2¾-111
u2¾-108
o2½-130
u2½+115
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+146
+175
+140
+175
1.36
0.90		2.26
o3¼+115
u3¼-118
o3-140
u3½-140
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%
+285
-110
+283
-115
1.56
1.14		2.70
o3-110
u3-105
o3-115
u3+100
New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+255
+115
+220
+115
1.14
1.12		2.26
o2½-150
u3-120
o3+105
u3-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+360
-135
+360
-145
1.03
1.38		2.41
o3¼-118
u3¼+100
o3½+105
u3½-125
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%
+305
-115
+300
-120
1.19
1.56		2.75
o3-120
u3+104
o3-120
u3+105
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%
+190
+142
+185
+135
1.04
1.24		2.28
o3+100
u3-115
o3+100
u3-120
Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%
+190
+145
+185
+140
1.09
1.12		2.21
o2¾+100
u2¾-108
o2½-140
u2½+120
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+256
+110
+250
+108
1.36
1.17		2.53
o2¾+110
u2¾-115
o2½-125
u2½+120
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+295
+100
+275
-110
1.14
1.51		2.65
o3¼-118
u3½-123
o3½+105
u3½-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+260
-108
+250
-105
1.56
1.08		2.64
o3½-101
u3½-115
o3½+100
u3½-120
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+375
-125
+360
-130
0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-110
u2½-105
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Oct 2, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids		39.7%
35.8%		24.5%
+565
-215
+590
-185
0
0		-1.64990-1.60351-1.40503
Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United		25.9%
52.4%		21.7%
+350
-125
+340
-120
0
2		-0.61519-0.64409-0.64701
New York Red Bulls
New York City		31.2%
43.3%		25.5%
+445
-140
+420
-135
1
0		-1.71858-1.67547-1.16494
Montreal Impact
Columbus Crew		26.2%
49.2%		24.6%
+210
+130
+240
+130
1
2		-0.86745-0.84346-0.70889
FC Cincinnati
D.C. United		36.6%
36.4%		27.0%
+570
-202
+550
-185
2
4		-0.43041-0.45229-1.01096
Orlando City
New England Revolution		34.6%
39.3%		26.1%
+435
-160
+420
-170
1
2		-0.50048-0.50919-0.93456
Atlanta United
Philadelphia Union		31.4%
43.1%		25.5%
+305
-110
+280
-110
0
1		-0.67023-0.69555-0.84142
New England Revolution
Chicago Fire		38.7%
35.3%		25.9%
+205
+135
+195
+180
3
2		-1.14140-1.05145-0.94889
New York City
New York Red Bulls		37.4%
36.4%		26.2%
+130
+210
+130
+200
1
1		-1.33560-1.31557-1.33891
Nashville SC
Inter Miami CF		36.6%
33.9%		29.5%
+125
+250
+130
+240
5
1		-0.84181-0.87256-1.00600
Vancouver Whitecaps
Colorado Rapids		28.3%
48.9%		22.8%
+480
-170
+500
-180
1
1		-1.51050-1.52657-1.47850
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers		38.5%
37.6%		23.8%
+170
+160
+165
+180
1
2		-0.97692-1.03080-0.97686
Orlando City
Philadelphia Union		34.2%
40.3%		25.6%
+455
-155
+425
-155
1
3		-0.52641-0.53919-0.90991
Chicago Fire
Montreal Impact		36.9%
37.8%		25.3%
+435
-150
+425
+100
0
2		-0.52239-0.59649-0.97283
FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo		43.4%
31.5%		25.1%
+230
+120
+218
+125
2
3		-0.81878-0.84999-1.15614
Seattle Sounders
Real Salt Lake		41.7%
32.7%		25.6%
+220
+135
+210
+135
0
1		-0.88112-0.89495-1.11914
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%