MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+245
+112
+245
+110
0.88
1.12		2.00
o2¾-111
u2¾-108
o2½-130
u2½+115
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+146
+175
+142
+171
1.36
0.90		2.26
o3¼+115
u3¼-118
o3-120
u3+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%
+285
-110
+288
-115
1.56
1.14		2.70
o3-110
u3-105
o3-115
u3+100
New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+255
+115
+259
+115
1.14
1.12		2.26
o2½-150
u3-121
o3+105
u3-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+360
-135
+360
-150
1.03
1.38		2.41
o3¼-118
u3¼+100
o3½+105
u3½-120
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%
+305
-115
+300
-120
1.19
1.56		2.75
o3-120
u3+104
o3-120
u3+105
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%
+190
+140
+185
+136
1.04
1.24		2.28
o3-105
u3-103
o3+100
u3-105
Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%
+190
+145
+185
+142
1.09
1.12		2.21
o2¾+100
u2¾-108
o2½-130
u2½+120
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+256
+110
+250
+112
1.36
1.17		2.53
o2¾+110
u2¾-115
o2½-110
u2½+120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+358
+100
+290
-110
1.14
1.51		2.65
o3¼-118
u3½-117
o3½+105
u3½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+260
-108
+250
-105
1.56
1.08		2.64
o3½-101
u3½-115
o3½+100
u3½-115
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+375
-125
+373
-130
0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-110
u2½-105
o2½-110
u2½-105
Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Oct 2, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin FC		30.5%
45.5%		24.0%
+230
+117
+215
+115
4
3		-1.20164-1.18885-1.18823
Los Angeles Galaxy
Minnesota United		31.8%
45.1%		23.1%
+321
-125
+315
-110
0
3		-0.62125-0.65824-0.79529
Nashville SC
Toronto FC		30.4%
42.8%		26.9%
+125
+240
+120
+230
1
2		-1.25344-1.24434-0.84959
New York City
FC Cincinnati		39.8%
33.8%		26.4%
-140
+375
-140
+370
2
1		-0.56773-0.57263-0.92178
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution		35.4%
36.7%		27.8%
+700
-260
+685
-260
1
1		-1.74086-1.66590-1.27934
D.C. United
Atlanta United		28.0%
47.0%		25.0%
+250
+105
+240
+110
2
3		-0.75385-0.78172-0.75445
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami CF		36.2%
36.8%		27.1%
+275
+115
+260
+125
4
0		-1.34481-1.30674-1.01727
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles Galaxy		29.4%
48.6%		22.0%
+345
-135
+365
-134
1
1		-1.45320-1.44210-1.51386
Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes		38.5%
36.9%		24.6%
+250
+115
+248
+110
4
3		-1.28100-1.29510-0.95355
Colorado Rapids
Portland Timbers		31.9%
44.0%		24.1%
+230
+125
+230
+135
2
2		-1.31193-1.27715-1.42122
Los Angeles FC
Austin FC		43.6%
32.4%		24.0%
+135
+190
+135
+185
2
1		-0.88407-0.89659-0.83071
Minnesota United
Sporting Kansas City		35.1%
40.2%		24.8%
+315
-115
+315
-120
0
4		-0.66068-0.65452-0.91148
Chicago Fire
D.C. United		39.1%
35.1%		25.9%
+450
-165
+475
-145
0
3		-0.50503-0.51241-1.04751
Montreal Impact
Orlando City		28.1%
48.3%		23.6%
+310
-115
+380
-115
4
2		-1.43936-1.57156-1.26904
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United		30.3%
43.6%		26.1%
+633
-240
+585
-235
0
4		-0.38057-0.40094-0.83085
FC Dallas
New York City		32.8%
41.0%		26.2%
+650
-225
+650
-230
3
3		-1.70468-1.65527-1.33922
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%