MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+245
+112
+245
+110
0.88
1.12		2.00
o2¾-111
u2¾-108
o2½-130
u2½+115
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+146
+175
+145
+171
1.36
0.90		2.26
o3¼+115
u3¼-118
o3-120
u3+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%
+285
-110
+288
-115
1.56
1.14		2.70
o3-110
u3-105
o3-115
u3+100
New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+263
+115
+260
+100
1.14
1.12		2.26
o2½-150
u3-133
o3+110
u3-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+370
-135
+360
-150
1.03
1.38		2.41
o3¼-118
u3½-118
o3½+105
u3½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%
+318
-115
+300
-125
1.19
1.56		2.75
o3-120
u3+104
o3-120
u3+105
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%
+190
+135
+197
+140
1.04
1.24		2.28
o3-105
u3-103
o3-115
u3+100
Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%
+190
+145
+185
+142
1.09
1.12		2.21
o2¾-103
u2¾-108
o2½-135
u2½+120
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+256
+110
+243
+115
1.36
1.17		2.53
o2¾+110
u2¾-115
o2½-115
u2½-105
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+358
+100
+350
-145
1.14
1.51		2.65
o3¼-118
u3½-117
o3½+105
u3½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+245
-103
+250
-105
1.56
1.08		2.64
o3½+108
u3½-115
o3½+105
u3½-115
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+375
-125
+373
-130
0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-110
u2½-105
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Oct 2, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew		28.3%
45.4%		26.3%
+250
+110
+233
+120
1
2		-0.77718-0.82821-0.79072
Inter Miami CF
Toronto FC		27.5%
48.5%		24.0%
+250
+111
+240
+115
1
0		-1.28583-1.27011-1.29135
Colorado Rapids
San Jose Earthquakes		42.1%
34.3%		23.6%
+185
+145
+180
+145
1
0		-1.08347-1.07937-0.86595
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake		38.3%
35.2%		26.6%
+295
-110
+290
+105
2
3		-0.68268-0.73222-1.04520
Inter Miami CF
FC Cincinnati		33.6%
39.0%		27.4%
+180
+165
+180
+158
1
0		-1.05785-1.07198-1.08931
Columbus Crew
Orlando City		35.4%
37.5%		27.1%
+375
-120
+365
-125
2
3		-0.63064-0.63503-0.98011
Austin FC
Vancouver Whitecaps		39.7%
34.3%		26.0%
+260
+110
+250
+110
1
2		-0.75555-0.76669-1.06976
Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles FC		31.9%
45.4%		22.7%
+215
+130
+220
+128
0
4		-0.85376-0.85644-0.79050
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo		46.0%
30.3%		23.7%
+230
+115
+230
+107
2
0		-1.21817-1.23877-0.77675
New York City
Nashville SC		34.6%
36.9%		28.4%
+175
+165
+170
+170
1
3		-1.00575-1.04146-0.99604
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union		33.5%
40.4%		26.1%
+165
+165
+150
+170
1
0		-1.00283-0.96703-1.09368
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders		33.4%
41.4%		25.3%
+448
-154
+430
-150
2
0		-1.72490-1.69690-1.09724
Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps		38.9%
35.6%		25.5%
+252
+125
+242
+150
1
4		-0.82917-0.90716-1.03347
FC Dallas
Austin FC		36.9%
35.9%		27.2%
+265
+105
+270
+105
5
3		-1.32629-1.33987-0.99745
Colorado Rapids
Sporting Kansas City		32.5%
43.5%		24.0%
+320
-110
+310
-115
1
1		-1.38870-1.38585-1.42657
Minnesota United
Houston Dynamo		45.7%
30.6%		23.7%
+235
+120
+215
+135
2
1		-1.23488-1.17180-0.78290
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%