NBA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 4, 2025

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		PointsTotal
Points		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Utah Jazz (0-0)
Indiana Pacers (0-0)		53.1%
46.9%
+950
-1800
+1150
-1400
+17-105
-17-115
+17-105
-17-109
107.9
106.5		214.4
o238-113
u239-110
o238½-110
u239-110
Sacramento Kings (0-0)
Charlotte Hornets (0-0)		40.7%
59.3%
-575
+455
-550
+430
-11-115
+11-105
-10½-110
+11-109
101.6
104.8		206.4
o216½-107
u216½-110
o215½-110
u216½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Phoenix Suns (0-0)
Boston Celtics (0-0)		48.0%
52.0%
+660
-1000
+700
-900
+14-103
-14½-105
+14-105
-14-109
109.8
110.8		220.6
o226-115
u226½-108
o226½-110
u227-105
Detroit Pistons (0-0)
Toronto Raptors (0-0)		34.9%
65.1%
-600
+475
-600
+500
-11½-110
+11½-105
-11½-109
+12-110
103.9
108.6		212.5
o226½-105
u226½-110
o226-105
u227-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Oklahoma City Thunder (0-0)
Houston Rockets (0-0)		36.0%
64.0%
-225
+195
-225
+205
-5½-110
+5½-107
-6-109
+6-109
111.2
115.7		226.9
o227-110
u227½-112
o226½-110
u228-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cleveland Cavaliers (0-0)
San Antonio Spurs (0-0)		32.5%
67.5%
-800
+580
-800
+600
-13-110
+13-110
-13-109
+13-105
108.4
114.0		222.4
o241-115
u241½-110
o241-110
u242+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Portland Trail Blazers (0-0)
Chicago Bulls (0-0)		43.0%
57.0%
+185
-215
+210
-225
+5½-105
-5½-115
+6-109
-5½-110
110.4
113.0		223.4
o235-110
u235-110
o234½-105
u235-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Denver Nuggets (0-0)
Golden State Warriors (0-0)		50.4%
49.6%
-115
-103
-120
+100
-1-110
+1-109
-1-109
+1½-105
107.3
107.1		214.4
o236½-110
u236½-110
o236-110
u237-110
New Orleans Pelicans (0-0)
Los Angeles Lakers (0-0)		24.6%
75.4%
+750
-1200
+750
-1000
+15-107
-15-110
+15½-110
-15-109
107.6
115.5		223.1
o222½-110
u222½-107
o222-110
u222½-105
Dallas Mavericks (0-0)
Los Angeles Clippers (0-0)		36.5%
63.5%
+385
-470
+425
-480
+10½-112
-10-110
+10½-109
-10½-105
112.0
116.5		228.5
o226-110
u226-107
o226-110
u226½-105
Games for Feb 25, 2021
Games for Apr 5, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		Final
Points		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers		43.0%
57.0%
-103
-115
+105
-115
+1-110
+1-120
+1½-110
-1-109
123
116		-0.71988-0.74028-0.84441
Minnesota Timberwolves
Brooklyn Nets		20.3%
79.7%
-900
+650
-850
+800
-14½-105
+14-105
-14-109
+14-109
105
90		-0.13815-0.11705-1.59524
Portland Trail Blazers
Toronto Raptors		46.9%
53.1%
-205
+175
-185
+175
-5-105
+5½-115
-4½-110
+5-109
112
103		-0.43245-0.44482-0.75660
Memphis Grizzlies
Miami Heat		46.7%
53.3%
-220
+190
-210
+195
-5½-110
+5½-105
-5½-109
+5½-109
110
108		-0.40651-0.40573-0.76119
Milwaukee Bucks
Philadelphia 76ers		37.9%
62.1%
-650
+500
-610
+600
-11½-110
+11½-107
-11½-109
+11½-109
126
113		-0.17589-0.15382-0.97125
Orlando Magic
Washington Wizards		37.0%
63.0%
-1300
+800
-1400
+900
-15-113
+15-105
-15-115
+15½-109
109
97		-0.11302-0.10178-0.99344
New Orleans Pelicans
Los Angeles Clippers		16.0%
84.0%
+1000
-2000
+1700
-1800
+18-105
-18-110
+18½-110
-18-109
98
114		-0.09117-0.05699-0.17465
Detroit Pistons
Oklahoma City Thunder		44.1%
55.9%
+550
-750
+575
-750
+13-110
-13-107
+13-110
-12½-109
103
119		-0.16073-0.15522-0.58164
San Antonio Spurs
Denver Nuggets		36.0%
64.0%
+120
-130
+125
-135
+2½-110
-2-114
+2½-109
-2½-105
113
106		-0.80802-0.82968-1.02151
Atlanta Hawks
Dallas Mavericks		36.1%
63.9%
+145
-163
+150
-150
+3½+100
-3½-113
+4-110
-3-109
118
120		-0.50595-0.51083-0.44852
Utah Jazz
Houston Rockets		65.8%
34.2%
+775
-1100
+900
-1100
+15-107
-15-110
+16-110
-15-109
105
143		-0.11750-0.10354-1.07183
Miami Heat
Boston Celtics		37.3%
62.7%
+395
-500
+425
-455
+10½-112
-10½-105
+10½-109
-10-105
124
103		-1.63414-1.66845-0.98661
New York Knicks
Cleveland Cavaliers		42.0%
58.0%
+410
-515
+430
-450
+10½-110
-10½-106
+10½-105
-10-115
105
124		-0.21039-0.20750-0.54505
Charlotte Hornets
Indiana Pacers		34.9%
65.1%
+750
-1200
+800
-1100
+15-105
-15-106
+15½-110
-14½-115
105
119		-0.11997-0.11441-0.42945
Sacramento Kings
Washington Wizards		40.6%
59.4%
-800
+580
-800
+650
-13½-106
+13½-110
-13½-109
+13½-105
111
116		-1.95221-2.03692-0.52091
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets		28.6%
71.4%
+105
-123
+115
-130
+1½-107
-1½-110
+2-105
-2-109
140
139		-0.75647-0.79536-1.25117
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks65-1 (0.833)0-0.33098 
Sportsbooks65-1 (0.833)0-0.32725 
DRatings60-6 (0.000)0-0.98702
-0.65604
-0.65978

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win Champ.

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the NBA games that we provide above are at “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score of the game.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.

Related Blog Posts

A Simple Formula for Unknown Probabilities

The rule of succession and it’s implications for how we make predictions

Best Online Sportsbook Rewards Program

Evaluating the best online sports book rewards programs

A Summary of Different No-Vig Methods

Exploring the pros and cons of each no-vig method.

Caesar’s Rewards: The Value of Tier Credits

How much is each Caesar’s Rewards status worth in terms of a dollar value?

Projected 2024 NFL Team Totals

Our NFL preview of team totals for the 2024 season.

All Blog Posts