Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Points | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Pelicans Sacramento Kings | 37.8% 62.2% | -245 +207 -220 +215 | -6½-115 +6½-105 -6½-109 +6½-105 | 113 117 | -1.15693-1.15236 | -0.47493 | |
| Orlando Magic Dallas Mavericks | 22.0% 78.0% | -275 +226 -270 +240 | -7-110 +7-110 -6½-110 +7½-110 | 138 127 | -0.34946-0.33865 | -1.51299 | |
| Boston Celtics Milwaukee Bucks | 31.8% 68.2% | -2000 +1156 -2000 +1200 | -18-105 +17½-105 -18-105 +18-109 | 133 101 | -0.08029-0.07767 | -1.14684 | |
| Toronto Raptors Memphis Grizzlies | 37.9% 62.1% | -1200 +754 -1000 +750 | -14½-115 +15½-110 -14½-110 +15-105 | 128 96 | -0.11944-0.12170 | -0.97056 | |
| Utah Jazz Houston Rockets | 65.8% 34.2% | +1116 -2000 +1200 -1800 | +18½-105 -18½-110 +18½-105 -18-109 | 106 140 | -0.08283-0.07807 | -1.07183 | |
| Chicago Bulls New York Knicks | 37.4% 62.6% | +795 -950 +750 -950 | +13½-110 -13½-110 +14-110 -13-110 | 96 136 | -0.11644-0.12225 | -0.46801 | |
| Atlanta Hawks Brooklyn Nets | 31.7% 68.3% | -1400 +979 -1600 +1050 | -16½-105 +16½-110 -16-110 +17-110 | 141 107 | -0.09467-0.08837 | -1.14810 | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves Philadelphia 76ers | 17.2% 82.8% | +142 -162 +145 -155 | +3½-105 -3½-110 +3½-109 -3-105 | 103 115 | -0.51181-0.51371 | -0.18890 | |
| Indiana Pacers Charlotte Hornets | 52.4% 47.6% | +945 -1300 +1000 -1500 | +15½-107 -15-115 +16-110 -15-105 | 108 129 | -0.09808-0.09255 | -0.74328 | |
| San Antonio Spurs Los Angeles Clippers | 18.0% 82.0% | +125 -145 +130 -140 | +2½-106 -2-115 +2½-105 -2½-109 | 118 99 | -0.84658-0.85085 | -1.71441 | |
| New Orleans Pelicans Portland Trail Blazers | 34.2% 65.8% | +203 -235 +215 -235 | +6-111 -6-105 +6½-110 -6-109 | 106 118 | -0.38559-0.37333 | -0.41826 | |
| Cleveland Cavaliers Golden State Warriors | 24.5% 75.5% | -450 +358 -450 +400 | -10½-108 +10½-110 -10-115 +10½-109 | 118 111 | -0.23655-0.21869 | -1.40719 | |
| Los Angeles Lakers Oklahoma City Thunder | 66.8% 33.2% | +299 -375 +300 -350 | +9½-111 -9½+100 +9½-110 -9-109 | 96 139 | -0.27571-0.27871 | -1.10118 | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves Detroit Pistons | 42.3% 57.7% | +177 -205 +185 -200 | +5½-108 -5½-110 +5½-109 -5-115 | 108 113 | -0.42991-0.42286 | -0.54924 | |
| Phoenix Suns Charlotte Hornets | 55.0% 45.0% | +192 -225 +195 -220 | +6-110 -6-105 +6-109 -5½-110 | 107 127 | -0.40191-0.40084 | -0.79757 | |
| San Antonio Spurs Golden State Warriors | 24.1% 75.9% | -900 +661 -1000 +750 | -14½-112 +14½-105 -14½-105 +15-109 | 127 113 | -0.13629-0.12170 | -1.42329 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 9 | 8-1 (0.889) | 0 | -0.28999 | |
| Sportsbooks | 9 | 8-1 (0.889) | 0 | -0.28726 | |
| DRatings | 9 | 3-6 (0.333) | 0 | -0.85838 | -0.56839 -0.57112 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | Win Champ. |
Predictions Methodology
The projections for all the NBA games that we provide above are at “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score of the game.
Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.
Related Blog Posts
Journey To March
Announcing Journey to March, a new interactive bracket projection site
Time Value of Money in Sports Betting
Analyzing the disconnect in how bettors think about value.
Randomness, Edge, and Volume in Sports Betting Outcomes
We dig into the data behind variance and expectation.
Top 5 Sweepstakes Sportsbooks
Find out who makes our top five sweepstakes sportsbook list.
2025-2026 NFL Season Preview
Here is our 2025-2026 NFL season preview based on 1,000 simulations.