Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 13, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Heracles Almelo
PSV Eindhoven 		13.0%
69.2%		17.8%
+1600
-833

0.91
2.33		3.24
o4¼-112
u4¼-108

Fortuna Sittard
Zwolle 		33.0%
41.7%		25.3%
+165
+160

1.29
1.49		2.78
o2¾-108
u2¾-111

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Twente
Utrecht		25.3%
50.9%		23.8%
+176
+156

1
1		-1.26976-1.43553
Zwolle
Feyenoord		11.5%
72.0%		16.4%
+1350
-625

1
6		-0.19275-0.32782
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard		83.3%
5.7%		10.9%
-101
+260

3
1		-0.73748-0.18221
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen		57.1%
21.0%		21.9%
-107
+260

2
0		-0.68161-0.56021
AZ Alkmaar
Twente		64.7%
15.6%		19.7%
+205
+120

0
1		-0.83637-1.85796
Heracles Almelo
Fortuna Sittard		39.7%
33.7%		26.6%
+265
-111

1
1		-1.39626-1.32561
Heerenveen
Zwolle		44.7%
30.2%		25.1%
-113
+295

1
2		-1.41952-1.19789
Zwolle
Groningen		19.7%
57.3%		23.0%
+625
-230

2
2		-1.57707-1.46885
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen		60.4%
18.2%		21.3%
+151
+158

1
3		-0.99579-1.70249
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam		29.9%
45.7%		24.4%
+310
-111

1
1		-1.30697-1.41223
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar		29.4%
45.6%		25.0%
-116
+250

5
1		-0.68074-1.22302
Ajax
Utrecht		72.8%
11.0%		16.2%
+141
+178

1
2		-1.07728-2.21128
Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle		36.5%
37.9%		25.5%
+150
+161

0
1		-1.01849-0.96906
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard		44.8%
30.0%		25.2%
+126
+200

0
2		-1.14366-1.20414
Twente
Groningen		25.1%
49.0%		25.8%
+138
+195

1
1		-1.29667-1.35321
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam		68.9%
13.3%		17.7%
-135
+340

1
0		-0.59893-0.37198
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.