Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo 		36.4%
36.1%		27.5%
+108
+215

1.22
1.21		2.43
o3-112
u3-108

Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle		36.5%
37.9%		25.5%
+150
+161

0
1		-1.01849-0.96906
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard		44.8%
30.0%		25.2%
+126
+200

0
2		-1.14366-1.20414
Twente
Groningen		25.1%
49.0%		25.8%
+138
+195

1
1		-1.29667-1.35321
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam		68.9%
13.3%		17.7%
-135
+340

1
0		-0.59893-0.37198
Zwolle
Heracles Almelo		26.6%
48.9%		24.5%
+164
+159

2
8		-1.00103-0.71627
Heerenveen
Ajax		6.6%
81.3%		12.2%
+450
-175

1
1		-1.57804-2.10776
Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven		9.5%
76.2%		14.2%
+1400
-714

2
5		-0.17642-0.27181
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar		15.8%
64.5%		19.7%
+460
-185

1
4		-0.47180-0.43850
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord		36.8%
36.8%		26.4%
+175
+133

3
2		-1.05964-1.00032
Ajax
Twente		79.0%
7.7%		13.3%
+180
+144

3
2		-1.08099-0.23614
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard		48.5%
25.9%		25.6%
+147
+202

2
1		-0.95156-0.72326
Feyenoord
Heracles Almelo		56.0%
20.8%		23.1%
-294
+680

7
0		-0.34439-0.57930
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen		22.2%
53.8%		24.0%
+345
-133

2
0		-1.54356-1.50458
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax		18.5%
59.9%		21.6%
+225
+112

2
0		-1.21706-1.68702
Utrecht
Feyenoord		21.3%
56.2%		22.4%
+575
-235

2
3		-0.41509-0.57602
Heracles Almelo
Twente		32.4%
40.9%		26.6%
+730
-357

1
2		-0.32412-0.89345
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.