Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 13, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Groningen
Zwolle 		48.3%
26.0%		25.7%
+148
+190

1.52
1.05		2.57
o2¾-125
u3-125

Games for Mar 12, 2026
Games for Mar 14, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen		50.8%
24.3%		24.9%
-139
+340

2
1		-0.57748-0.67710
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar		50.9%
24.7%		24.3%
+180
+150

1
1		-1.31524-1.41453
Feyenoord
Utrecht		47.0%
28.1%		24.9%
+106
+250

1
0		-0.77046-0.75577
Sparta Rotterdam
Fortuna Sittard		36.5%
37.6%		25.9%
+137
+216

2
2		-1.25576-1.35282
Heerenveen
Twente		36.5%
36.6%		26.8%
+450
-167

0
5		-0.50322-1.00392
Utrecht
Heerenveen		37.1%
36.2%		26.7%
+400
-135

1
1		-1.39139-1.32189
Fortuna Sittard
Heracles Almelo		26.4%
48.9%		24.6%
+240
+120

1
2		-0.83034-0.71486
Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven		29.2%
45.9%		24.9%
+370
-149

0
3		-0.55123-0.77873
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam		44.7%
28.9%		26.4%
+190
+152

0
2		-0.95529-1.24109
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht		22.2%
55.7%		22.1%
+270
+106

1
0		-1.34128-1.50544
Heracles Almelo
Feyenoord		15.4%
64.5%		20.1%
+1000
-435

2
4		-0.23941-0.43838
Fortuna Sittard
Groningen		19.6%
57.4%		22.9%
+575
-185

2
1		-1.94156-1.62995
Sparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord		13.2%
69.3%		17.5%
+420
-213

4
3		-1.72873-2.02526
Twente
Heracles Almelo		32.8%
40.5%		26.7%
-204
+530

2
0		-0.44961-1.11340
Groningen
Heerenveen		35.8%
35.4%		28.8%
+285
-102

2
0		-1.39723-1.02644
PSV Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard		69.4%
13.4%		17.2%
-169
+405

2
1		-0.50984-0.36582
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.