Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated 12 days ago

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Games for Jun 6, 2025

Games for Jun 8, 2025

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/10/2025 02:30 PM	Heerenveen RKC Waalwijk	60.0% 18.2%	21.8%	+105 +215	1 3	-1.20118	-1.70386
05/09/2025 06:00 PM	Heracles Almelo Willem II	38.3% 34.6%	27.1%	+160 +165	2 1	-1.00209	-0.95875
05/04/2025 12:30 PM	Twente Sparta Rotterdam	36.6% 37.2%	26.2%	+195 +135	2 0	-1.13082	-1.00395
05/03/2025 07:00 PM	Fortuna Sittard PSV Eindhoven	9.5% 76.2%	14.2%	+1800 -909	1 4	-0.15199	-0.27181
05/03/2025 06:00 PM	RKC Waalwijk Groningen	11.4% 69.6%	19.0%	+690 -245	1 6	-0.38431	-0.36190
05/03/2025 04:45 PM	Feyenoord Heracles Almelo	56.0% 20.8%	23.1%	-175 +440	4 1	-0.49722	-0.57930
04/27/2025 12:30 PM	Sparta Rotterdam Ajax	4.8% 85.6%	9.6%	+500 -213	1 1	-1.63097	-2.34143
04/27/2025 10:15 AM	Willem II Fortuna Sittard	34.1% 40.0%	25.9%	+410 -145	0 1	-0.57433	-0.91542
04/25/2025 07:00 PM	Zwolle Feyenoord	11.5% 72.0%	16.4%	+1000 -460	0 4	-0.26081	-0.32782
04/25/2025 04:45 PM	Utrecht RKC Waalwijk	64.8% 15.3%	19.9%	-110 +270	4 0	-0.70229	-0.43346
04/24/2025 07:00 PM	PSV Eindhoven Twente	61.6% 18.1%	20.3%	-155 +340	3 1	-0.56333	-0.48415
04/23/2025 06:00 PM	Heracles Almelo Groningen	24.8% 48.6%	26.6%	+295 +100	1 4	-0.75675	-0.72181
04/20/2025 10:15 AM	Ajax Utrecht	72.8% 11.0%	16.2%	+100 +255	0 4	-1.31759	-2.21128
04/13/2025 02:45 PM	Ajax Willem II	82.5% 6.0%	11.5%	-300 +750	2 1	-0.33917	-0.19231
04/13/2025 12:30 PM	Twente Zwolle	40.2% 33.9%	25.8%	+100 +255	1 1	-1.36900	-1.35460
04/13/2025 12:30 PM	AZ Alkmaar Heracles Almelo	64.2% 15.5%	20.3%	+108 +245	0 1	-1.28562	-1.86304

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)	18.0	5.0	2.0	56.0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)	18.0	5.0	2.0	56.0	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
3	Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)	14.0	3.0	8.0	50.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
4	PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)	14.0	5.0	7.0	49.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
5	Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)	13.0	8.0	5.0	44.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
6	Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)	12.0	8.0	5.0	41.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
7	Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)	12.0	9.0	5.0	41.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
8	Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)	10.0	10.0	6.0	36.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)	10.0	11.0	5.0	35.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)	8.0	9.0	9.0	33.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)	9.0	11.0	6.0	33.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)	9.0	12.0	5.0	32.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)	8.0	14.0	4.0	28.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)	7.0	13.0	6.0	27.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
15	Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)	7.0	14.0	5.0	26.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
16	Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)	6.0	12.0	8.0	26.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
17	ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)	4.0	15.0	7.0	19.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
18	RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)	4.0	19.0	3.0	15.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.