Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 13, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Groningen
Zwolle 		48.3%
26.0%		25.7%
+148
+190

1.52
1.05		2.57
o2¾-125
u3-125

Games for Mar 12, 2026
Games for Mar 14, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
AZ Alkmaar
Zwolle		71.7%
11.6%		16.6%
-198
+450

1
3		-1.76422-2.15089
Heracles Almelo
Sparta Rotterdam		36.1%
37.1%		26.8%
+315
-119

0
2		-0.65969-0.99185
Feyenoord
Heerenveen		51.8%
24.2%		23.9%
+135
+176

2
2		-1.36485-1.43008
Zwolle
Twente		26.5%
49.6%		23.9%
+760
-323

1
1		-1.82313-1.43138
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard		71.7%
11.6%		16.7%
-149
+365

3
4		-1.58187-2.15598
Twente
Feyenoord		15.4%
65.0%		19.5%
+255
-104

1
1		-1.39804-1.63373
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht		52.2%
24.7%		23.0%
-121
+300

2
1		-0.64295-0.64919
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo		36.4%
36.1%		27.5%
+101
+245

3
0		-0.75078-1.01033
Feyenoord
Ajax		13.6%
67.8%		18.6%
+112
+215

0
2		-1.19515-0.38893
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam		41.0%
33.4%		25.6%
+128
+185

3
0		-0.87880-0.89099
Fortuna Sittard
Zwolle		33.0%
41.7%		25.3%
+162
+156

0
1		-0.98168-0.87383
Heracles Almelo
PSV Eindhoven		13.0%
69.2%		17.8%
+1600
-900

3
4		-0.15390-0.36792
Twente
Utrecht		25.3%
50.9%		23.8%
+176
+156

1
1		-1.26976-1.43553
Zwolle
Feyenoord		11.5%
72.0%		16.4%
+1350
-625

1
6		-0.19275-0.32782
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard		83.3%
5.7%		10.9%
-101
+260

3
1		-0.73748-0.18221
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen		57.1%
21.0%		21.9%
-107
+260

2
0		-0.68161-0.56021
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.