Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo 		36.4%
36.1%		27.5%
+108
+215

1.22
1.21		2.43
o3-112
u3-108

Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
PSV Eindhoven
Zwolle		69.2%
13.5%		17.3%
-233
+500

4
0		-0.41069-0.36833
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam		81.6%
6.6%		11.8%
-142
+290

3
3		-1.51322-2.13843
Feyenoord
Groningen		45.6%
27.5%		26.9%
-109
+310

1
0		-0.71296-0.78579
Heerenveen
Utrecht		28.8%
46.2%		25.0%
+315
-122

2
2		-1.39711-1.38525
Sparta Rotterdam
Heracles Almelo		29.6%
45.1%		25.2%
+174
+140

0
3		-0.92606-0.79536
Fortuna Sittard
Twente		26.3%
49.7%		24.0%
+625
-240

2
3		-0.40122-0.69997
Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar		8.3%
78.0%		13.7%
+725
-323

2
2		-1.78421-1.98559
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar		25.7%
49.6%		24.7%
+168
+139

3
3		-1.37829-1.39893
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven		55.9%
21.7%		22.3%
+400
-159

2
2		-1.54825-1.49928
Utrecht
Fortuna Sittard		50.3%
26.1%		23.6%
+120
+220

0
1		-1.21073-1.34511
Twente
Sparta Rotterdam		36.6%
37.2%		26.2%
+142
+182

5
1		-0.93593-1.00395
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord		11.4%
72.2%		16.4%
+950
-360

0
2		-0.28868-0.32576
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles Almelo		64.2%
15.5%		20.3%
-159
+390

2
1		-0.53467-0.44377
Groningen
Utrecht		32.0%
40.2%		27.7%
+420
-143

1
0		-1.69168-1.13822
Heerenveen
Feyenoord		18.1%
60.8%		21.1%
+675
-294

0
1		-0.34219-0.49770
Zwolle
Ajax		4.2%
86.9%		8.9%
+775
-323

1
3		-0.32022-0.14076
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.