Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 31, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven 		9.5%
76.2%		14.2%
+1700
-1000

0.89
2.75		3.64
o3¾-120
u3¾+102

Games for Oct 30, 2025
Games for Nov 1, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
AZ Alkmaar
Twente		64.7%
15.6%		19.7%
+170
+155

3
2		-1.02910-0.43567
Heracles Almelo
PSV Eindhoven		13.0%
69.2%		17.8%
+2000
-1300

1
4		-0.12586-0.36792
RKC Waalwijk
Feyenoord		6.5%
80.9%		12.6%
+1400
-600

0
2		-0.19218-0.21249
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar		15.8%
62.5%		21.7%
+350
-122

0
3		-0.63637-0.47050
Utrecht
Twente		41.6%
32.6%		25.8%
+325
-120

0
2		-0.64582-1.12184
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord		36.8%
36.8%		26.4%
+120
+200

3
2		-0.83822-1.00032
Heerenveen
RKC Waalwijk		60.0%
18.2%		21.8%
+105
+215

1
3		-1.20118-1.70386
Heracles Almelo
Willem II		38.3%
34.6%		27.1%
+160
+165

2
1		-1.00209-0.95875
Twente
Sparta Rotterdam		36.6%
37.2%		26.2%
+195
+135

2
0		-1.13082-1.00395
Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven		9.5%
76.2%		14.2%
+1800
-909

1
4		-0.15199-0.27181
RKC Waalwijk
Groningen		11.4%
69.6%		19.0%
+690
-245

1
6		-0.38431-0.36190
Feyenoord
Heracles Almelo		56.0%
20.8%		23.1%
-175
+440

4
1		-0.49722-0.57930
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax		4.8%
85.6%		9.6%
+500
-213

1
1		-1.63097-2.34143
Willem II
Fortuna Sittard		34.1%
40.0%		25.9%
+410
-145

0
1		-0.57433-0.91542
Zwolle
Feyenoord		11.5%
72.0%		16.4%
+1000
-460

0
4		-0.26081-0.32782
Utrecht
RKC Waalwijk		64.8%
15.3%		19.9%
-110
+270

4
0		-0.70229-0.43346
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.