Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 25, 2024

There are no games on the schedule today.
Games for Dec 24, 2024
Games for Dec 26, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Fortuna Sittard
Willem II		32.0%
42.7%		25.4%
+220
+140
+230
+120
0
0		-1.17063-1.27418-1.37196
Twente
RKC Waalwijk		55.8%
21.1%		23.1%
-312
+740
-260
+635
2
2		-1.77620-1.69011-1.46612
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar		29.4%
45.6%		25.0%
+105
+230
+115
+225
2
1		-0.77044-0.81482-1.22302
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard		71.7%
11.6%		16.7%
-123
+360
-130
+375
0
1		-1.56456-1.60664-2.15598
Groningen
Ajax		8.1%
76.7%		15.2%
+900
-385
+900
-375
1
3		-0.28454-0.28467-0.26558
Zwolle
Heerenveen		23.1%
54.1%		22.8%
+290
-120
+370
-150
1
1		-1.43687-1.47548-1.47867
Twente
Feyenoord		15.4%
65.0%		19.5%
+330
-130
+400
-155
1
2		-0.61721-0.54829-0.43043
RKC Waalwijk
Utrecht		11.0%
72.2%		16.8%
+690
-280
+700
-280
2
3		-0.35285-0.35637-0.32592
Sparta Rotterdam
PSV Eindhoven		11.0%
73.6%		15.4%
+1100
-500
+1150
-500
1
2		-0.23283-0.23231-0.30693
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar		15.8%
64.5%		19.7%
+440
-167
+480
-180
2
1		-1.73949-1.80722-1.84396
Ajax
RKC Waalwijk		88.0%
3.5%		8.5%
-260
+550
-255
+625
2
0		-0.39509-0.38003-0.12799
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam		29.9%
45.7%		24.4%
+390
-135
+425
-150
1
1		-1.38561-1.39707-1.41223
PSV Eindhoven
Willem II		68.0%
14.1%		17.9%
-333
+1000
-340
+800
2
0		-0.27068-0.30710-0.38547
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo		36.4%
36.1%		27.5%
+136
+185
+140
+175
1
2		-1.10588-1.06094-1.01910
PSV Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard		69.4%
13.4%		17.2%
-500
+1200
-490
+1100
3
1		-0.23216-0.23803-0.36582
Groningen
Heerenveen		35.8%
35.4%		28.8%
+198
+135
+170
+150
1
2		-0.88889-0.96703-1.03933
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.