Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated 13 days ago

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Games for Jun 8, 2025

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
03/16/2025 01:30 PM	Feyenoord Twente	56.5% 21.0%	22.5%	+185 +151	6 2	-1.08572	-0.57169
03/16/2025 01:30 PM	Fortuna Sittard Groningen	19.6% 57.4%	22.9%	+340 -110	0 1	-0.69933	-0.55439
03/15/2025 08:00 PM	Heracles Almelo Heerenveen	28.8% 45.3%	25.9%	+330 -120	1 1	-1.33522	-1.35270
03/15/2025 07:00 PM	PSV Eindhoven RKC Waalwijk	79.3% 7.5%	13.2%	-335 +700	3 0	-0.31858	-0.23188
03/15/2025 05:45 PM	Zwolle Sparta Rotterdam	30.0% 45.5%	24.4%	+390 -141	1 1	-1.40552	-1.40944
03/09/2025 01:30 PM	Ajax Zwolle	83.4% 5.7%	10.9%	-180 +490	1 0	-0.48576	-0.18164
03/09/2025 11:15 AM	Utrecht Willem II	48.8% 27.0%	24.2%	+112 +260	3 2	-0.79410	-0.71801
03/08/2025 07:00 PM	Heerenveen PSV Eindhoven	15.4% 65.7%	18.9%	+1000 -455	1 2	-0.24710	-0.41957
03/08/2025 03:30 PM	Heracles Almelo Fortuna Sittard	39.7% 33.7%	26.6%	+205 +130	0 1	-0.88409	-1.08815
03/02/2025 03:45 PM	Willem II Sparta Rotterdam	30.9% 44.2%	24.9%	+420 -145	0 4	-0.56747	-0.81561
03/02/2025 01:30 PM	Zwolle Heracles Almelo	26.6% 48.9%	24.5%	+230 +125	2 4	-0.86022	-0.71627
03/02/2025 11:15 AM	AZ Alkmaar Heerenveen	60.4% 18.2%	21.3%	+117 +245	1 3	-1.27812	-1.70249
03/01/2025 07:00 PM	Twente Groningen	25.1% 49.0%	25.8%	+100 +285	1 1	-1.25481	-1.35321
02/28/2025 07:00 PM	Fortuna Sittard RKC Waalwijk	48.0% 27.1%	24.9%	+240 +115	2 1	-1.27172	-0.73474
02/23/2025 03:45 PM	Fortuna Sittard AZ Alkmaar	8.3% 77.9%	13.8%	+900 -345	0 1	-0.30400	-0.24963
02/16/2025 03:45 PM	Heracles Almelo Ajax	5.6% 82.9%	11.4%	+700 -323	0 4	-0.32352	-0.18694

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)	18.0	5.0	2.0	56.0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)	18.0	5.0	2.0	56.0	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
3	Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)	14.0	3.0	8.0	50.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
4	PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)	14.0	5.0	7.0	49.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
5	Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)	13.0	8.0	5.0	44.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
6	Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)	12.0	8.0	5.0	41.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
7	Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)	12.0	9.0	5.0	41.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
8	Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)	10.0	10.0	6.0	36.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)	10.0	11.0	5.0	35.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)	8.0	9.0	9.0	33.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)	9.0	11.0	6.0	33.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)	9.0	12.0	5.0	32.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)	8.0	14.0	4.0	28.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)	7.0	13.0	6.0	27.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
15	Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)	7.0	14.0	5.0	26.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
16	Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)	6.0	12.0	8.0	26.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
17	ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)	4.0	15.0	7.0	19.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
18	RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)	4.0	19.0	3.0	15.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.