Willem II at Twente

Updated

Willem II

27.3%24.4%48.3%
Willem II WinDrawTwente Win
1.18Projected Goals 1.64
2Final Score 6

Twente

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
W 1-0 at Zwolle+315
L 2-1 vs Heerenveen+125
L 0-2 at Groningen+285
W 2-1 at AZ Alkmaar+500
L 1-0 vs Twente+455
Twente
Money Line
L 0-1 at AZ Alkmaar+230
W 0-2 vs Groningen-320
L 1-6 at PSV Eindhoven+700
W 2-1 at Fortuna Sittard-120
T 2-2 vs Ajax+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+575-+800+950-+950+950-
Twente-235--315-333--333-315-
Draw+360-+420+430-+430+430-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II------
Twente------
Draw------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 50.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +825 to +800
Twente ML moved from -305 to -315

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-118-o2¾-120o2¾-113-o2¾-113o2¾-113-
Underu2¾-102-u2¾+100u2¾-107-u2¾-107u2¾+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.8%
 
No44.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.95%
Exactly 223.69%
Exactly 415.71%
Exactly 64.17%
Exactly 80.59%
 
Exactly 116.80%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 58.87%
Exactly 71.68%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 030.83%
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 221.35%
Exactly 38.37%
Exactly 42.46%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 019.31%
Exactly 131.76%
Exactly 226.11%
Exactly 314.31%
Exactly 45.88%
Exactly 51.93%
Exactly 60.53%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.09%
Exactly 223.11%
Exactly 43.28%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.38%
Exactly 310.06%
Exactly 50.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 057.99%
Exactly 131.60%
Exactly 28.61%
Exactly 31.56%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 046.71%
Exactly 135.56%
Exactly 213.53%
Exactly 33.43%
Exactly 40.65%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals10.94%
Wins by 3+ goals3.43%
Wins by 4+ goals0.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%
Twente
Wins by 2+ goals25.38%
Wins by 3+ goals10.71%
Wins by 4+ goals3.70%
Wins by 5+ goals1.06%
Wins by 6+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
Twente
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal16.36%
Wins by 2 goals7.52%
Wins by 3 goals2.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Twente
Wins by 1 goal22.86%
Wins by 2 goals14.67%
Wins by 3 goals7.01%
Wins by 4 goals2.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.82%
Wins by 6 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.05%5.95%
1.577.25%22.75%
2.553.56%46.44%
3.531.28%68.72%
4.515.56%84.44%
5.56.70%93.30%
6.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.17%30.83%
1.532.90%67.10%
2.511.55%88.45%
3.53.18%96.82%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.69%19.31%
1.548.93%51.07%
2.522.81%77.19%
3.58.50%91.50%
4.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.91%27.09%
1.537.54%62.46%
2.514.43%85.57%
3.54.37%95.63%
4.51.09%98.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
Twente
Score012345
0
5.95%
9.79%
8.05%
4.41%
1.81%
0.60%
1
7.01%
11.52%
9.47%
5.19%
2.13%
0.70%
2
4.12%
6.78%
5.57%
3.05%
1.26%
0.41%
3
1.62%
2.66%
2.19%
1.20%
0.49%
0.16%
4
0.48%
0.78%
0.64%
0.35%
0.14%
0.05%
5
0.11%
0.18%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Willem II
1-07.01%
2-04.12%
2-16.78%
3-01.62%
3-12.66%
3-22.19%
4-00.48%
4-10.78%
4-20.64%
4-30.35%
5-00.11%
5-10.18%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-05.95%
1-111.52%
2-25.57%
3-31.20%
4-40.14%
Twente
0-19.79%
0-28.05%
1-29.47%
0-34.41%
1-35.19%
2-33.05%
0-41.81%
1-42.13%
2-41.26%
3-40.49%
0-50.60%
1-50.70%
2-50.41%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
Twente
Score01234
0
27.09%
20.62%
7.85%
1.99%
0.38%
1
14.76%
11.24%
4.28%
1.09%
0.21%
2
4.02%
3.06%
1.17%
0.30%
0.06%
3
0.73%
0.56%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
Willem II
1-014.76%
2-04.02%
2-13.06%
3-00.73%
3-10.56%
3-20.21%
Draw
0-027.09%
1-111.24%
2-21.17%
Twente
0-120.62%
0-27.85%
1-24.28%
0-31.99%
1-31.09%
2-30.30%
0-40.38%
1-40.21%