Ajax at RKC Waalwijk

Updated

Ajax

88.0%8.5%3.5%
Ajax WinDrawWin
3.26Projected Goals 0.57
2Final Score 0

RKC Waalwijk

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Fortuna Sittard-325
W 0-1 vs Heerenveen-240
T 2-2 at Vitesse-155
W 1-2 vs Twente+150
L 0-6 at Feyenoord+650
RKC Waalwijk
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+290
L 0-3 at Willem II+320
L 3-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+600
L 2-1 vs Groningen+175
L 1-5 at PSV Eindhoven+2500

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-245--260-256--263-260-
RKC Waalwijk+525-+550+510-+520+550-
Draw+390-+400+410-+410+410-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-245-----255-255-
RKC Waalwijk+575----+625+625-
Draw+415----+415+415-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 40.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -256 to -263
RKC Waalwijk ML moved from +500 to +470

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 40.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -275 to -290
RKC Waalwijk ML moved from +710 to +625

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-105-o3¼-105o3½+100-o3½+100o3¼-105-
Underu3¼-115-u3¼-115u3½-120-u3½-120u3½-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-105 to o3¼-105
The Under moved from u3¼-115 to u3-115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.6%
 
No58.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.18%
Exactly 215.96%
Exactly 419.46%
Exactly 69.49%
Exactly 82.48%
Exactly 100.40%
 
Exactly 18.34%
Exactly 320.35%
Exactly 514.89%
Exactly 75.19%
Exactly 91.05%
Exactly 110.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 03.84%
Exactly 112.52%
Exactly 220.40%
Exactly 322.17%
Exactly 418.06%
Exactly 511.78%
Exactly 66.40%
Exactly 72.98%
Exactly 81.21%
Exactly 90.44%
Exactly 100.14%
Exact Goals Scored - RKC Waalwijk
Exactly 056.77%
Exactly 132.14%
Exactly 29.10%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.01%
Exactly 226.69%
Exactly 46.98%
Exactly 60.73%
 
Exactly 130.13%
Exactly 315.76%
Exactly 52.47%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 022.11%
Exactly 133.37%
Exactly 225.18%
Exactly 312.67%
Exactly 44.78%
Exactly 51.44%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - RKC Waalwijk
Exactly 076.94%
Exactly 120.17%
Exactly 22.64%
Exactly 30.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals71.91%
Wins by 3+ goals51.34%
Wins by 4+ goals31.76%
Wins by 5+ goals17.09%
RKC Waalwijk
Wins by 2+ goals0.72%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
RKC Waalwijk
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal16.02%
Wins by 2 goals20.57%
Wins by 3 goals19.58%
Wins by 4 goals14.68%
Wins by 5 goals9.03%
RKC Waalwijk
Wins by 1 goal2.78%
Wins by 2 goals0.61%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.82%2.18%
1.589.48%10.52%
2.573.52%26.48%
3.553.18%46.82%
4.533.72%66.28%
5.518.83%81.17%
6.59.33%90.67%
7.54.14%95.86%
8.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.16%3.84%
1.583.64%16.36%
2.563.24%36.76%
3.541.07%58.93%
4.523.01%76.99%
5.511.23%88.77%
6.54.83%95.17%
7.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals RKC Waalwijk Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.23%56.77%
1.511.09%88.91%
2.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.99%17.01%
1.552.86%47.14%
2.526.17%73.83%
3.510.41%89.59%
4.53.44%96.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
RKC Waalwijk
Score012
0
2.18%
1.23%
0.35%
1
7.11%
4.02%
1.14%
2
11.58%
6.56%
1.86%
3
12.58%
7.13%
2.02%
4
10.25%
5.81%
1.64%
5
6.68%
3.79%
1.07%
Ajax
1-07.11%
2-011.58%
2-16.56%
3-012.58%
3-17.13%
3-22.02%
4-010.25%
4-15.81%
4-21.64%
4-30.31%
5-06.68%
5-13.79%
5-21.07%
5-30.20%
Draw
0-02.18%
1-14.02%
2-21.86%
3-30.38%
RKC Waalwijk
0-11.23%
0-20.35%
1-21.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
RKC Waalwijk
Score012
0
17.01%
4.46%
0.58%
1
25.67%
6.73%
0.88%
2
19.37%
5.08%
0.67%
3
9.74%
2.55%
0.33%
4
3.68%
0.96%
0.13%
5
1.11%
0.29%
0.04%
6
0.28%
0.07%
0.01%
Ajax
1-025.67%
2-019.37%
2-15.08%
3-09.74%
3-12.55%
3-20.33%
4-03.68%
4-10.96%
4-20.13%
5-01.11%
5-10.29%
6-00.28%
Draw
0-017.01%
1-16.73%
2-20.67%
RKC Waalwijk
0-14.46%
0-20.58%
1-20.88%