Twente at Ajax

Updated

Twente

5.6%10.9%83.5%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.69Projected Goals 3.03
1Final Score 2

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Fortuna Sittard-245
T 3-3 at Heerenveen-105
W 0-1 vs Heracles Almelo-550
L 0-1 at PSV Eindhoven+625
W 1-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-260
Ajax
Money Line
L 0-6 at Feyenoord+650
W 3-1 at Zwolle-180
T 2-2 at Sparta Rotterdam+115
T 2-2 vs Fortuna Sittard-190
W 0-2 vs Utrecht+100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+190-+145+147-+147+147-
Ajax+125-+180+181-+181+181-
Draw+255-+230+245-+245+245-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+155----+180+180-
Ajax+160----+150+150-
Draw+265----+240+240-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
Ajax: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +151 to +143
Ajax ML moved from +161 to +155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
Ajax: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Twente ML
Ajax ML moved from +175 to +155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120-o2¾-115o2¾+100-o2¾+100o2¾+100-
Underu2¾+100-u2¾-105u2¾-120-u2¾-120u2¾-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-135 to o3-128
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.7%
 
No52.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.42%
Exactly 216.74%
Exactly 419.34%
Exactly 68.94%
Exactly 82.21%
Exactly 100.34%
 
Exactly 18.99%
Exactly 320.78%
Exactly 514.40%
Exactly 74.75%
Exactly 90.92%
Exactly 110.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 049.84%
Exactly 134.71%
Exactly 212.08%
Exactly 32.80%
Exactly 40.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 04.85%
Exactly 114.67%
Exactly 222.20%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.95%
Exactly 510.26%
Exactly 65.18%
Exactly 72.24%
Exactly 80.85%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.84%
Exactly 226.50%
Exactly 46.56%
Exactly 60.65%
 
Exactly 130.75%
Exactly 315.23%
Exactly 52.26%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 072.44%
Exactly 123.36%
Exactly 23.77%
Exactly 30.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 024.63%
Exactly 134.51%
Exactly 224.18%
Exactly 311.30%
Exactly 43.96%
Exactly 51.11%
Exactly 60.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals1.34%
Wins by 3+ goals0.23%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals65.13%
Wins by 3+ goals43.93%
Wins by 4+ goals25.48%
Wins by 5+ goals12.78%
Wins by 6+ goals5.57%
Wins by 7+ goals2.11%
Wins by 8+ goals0.66%
Wins by 9+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Twente
Wins by 1 goal4.19%
Wins by 2 goals1.11%
Wins by 3 goals0.21%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal18.25%
Wins by 2 goals21.20%
Wins by 3 goals18.44%
Wins by 4 goals12.70%
Wins by 5 goals7.21%
Wins by 6 goals3.47%
Wins by 7 goals1.44%
Wins by 8 goals0.52%
Wins by 9 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.58%2.42%
1.588.59%11.41%
2.571.85%28.15%
3.551.07%48.93%
4.531.72%68.28%
5.517.32%82.68%
6.58.39%91.61%
7.53.63%96.37%
8.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.16%49.84%
1.515.45%84.55%
2.53.37%96.63%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.15%4.85%
1.580.48%19.52%
2.558.28%41.72%
3.535.88%64.12%
4.518.92%81.08%
5.58.66%91.34%
6.53.49%96.51%
7.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.16%17.84%
1.551.41%48.59%
2.524.91%75.09%
3.59.68%90.32%
4.53.12%96.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
Ajax
Score012345
0
2.42%
7.31%
11.07%
11.16%
8.45%
5.11%
1
1.68%
5.09%
7.71%
7.77%
5.88%
3.56%
2
0.59%
1.77%
2.68%
2.71%
2.05%
1.24%
3
0.14%
0.41%
0.62%
0.63%
0.48%
0.29%
Twente
1-01.68%
2-00.59%
2-11.77%
3-00.14%
3-10.41%
3-20.62%
Draw
0-02.42%
1-15.09%
2-22.68%
3-30.63%
Ajax
0-17.31%
0-211.07%
1-27.71%
0-311.16%
1-37.77%
2-32.71%
0-48.45%
1-45.88%
2-42.05%
3-40.48%
0-55.11%
1-53.56%
2-51.24%
3-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
Ajax
Score0123456
0
17.84%
25.00%
17.52%
8.18%
2.87%
0.80%
0.19%
1
5.75%
8.06%
5.65%
2.64%
0.92%
0.26%
0.06%
2
0.93%
1.30%
0.91%
0.43%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Twente
1-05.75%
2-00.93%
2-11.30%
Draw
0-017.84%
1-18.06%
2-20.91%
Ajax
0-125.00%
0-217.52%
1-25.65%
0-38.18%
1-32.64%
2-30.43%
0-42.87%
1-40.92%
2-40.15%
0-50.80%
1-50.26%
0-60.19%